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Let \{X_1, X_2, ...\} be a sequence of independent and identically distributed positive random variables of Pareto-type with index \alpha>0 and let \{N(t); t\geq 0\} be a counting process independent of the X_i's. For any fixed t\geq 0,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 S. A. Ladoucette , J. L. Teugels

The asymptotic analysis of covariance parameter estimation of Gaussian processes has been subject to intensive investigation. However, this asymptotic analysis is very scarce for non-Gaussian processes. In this paper, we study a class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-27 François Bachoc , José Bétancourt , Reinhard Furrer , Thierry Klein

We explicitly find the rate of exponential long-term convergence for the ruin probability in a level-dependent L\'evy-driven risk model, as time goes to infinity. Siegmund duality allows to reduce the pro blem to long-term convergence of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-02 Pierre-Olivier Goffard , Andrey Sarantsev

Lundberg-type inequalities for ruin probabilities of non-homogeneous risk models are presented in this paper. By employing martingale method, the upper bounds of ruin probabilities are obtained for the general risk models under weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-05 Qianqian Zhou , Alexander Sakhanenko , Junyi Guo

We consider two independent Goldstein-Kac telegraph processes $X_1(t)$ and $X_2(t)$ on the real line $\Bbb R$, both developing with finite constant speed $c>0$, that, at the initial time instant $t=0$, simultaneously start from the origin…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-24 Alexander D. Kolesnik

We derive a closed-form (infinite series) representation for the distribution of the ruin time for the Sparre Andersen model with exponentially distributed claims. This extends a recent result of Dickson et al. (2005) for such processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-07 K. A. Borovkov , D. C. M. Dickson

In this paper, the asymptotic behavior of the entrance probability of discounted aggregate claims of a certain family of rare sets is studied, considering the finite and infinite time horizons. This multivariate risk model, driven by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis , Hui Xu

Let $A_t=\sum_{s\le t} F(X_{s-},X_s)$ be a purely discontinuous additive functional of a subordinate Brownian motion $X=(X_t, \mathbb P_x)$. We give a sufficient condition on the non-negative function $F$ that guarantees that finiteness of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-16 Zoran Vondraček , Vanja Wagner

Let $\{X_i\}$ be a sequence of independent identically distributed random variables with an intermediate regularly varying (IR) right tail $\bar{F}$. Let $(N, C_1, ..., C_N)$ be a nonnegative random vector independent of the $\{X_i\}$ with…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-18 Mariana Olvera-Cravioto

The goal of this paper is to propose a new approach to asymptotic analysis of the finite predictor for stationary sequences. It produces the exact asymptotics of the relative prediction error and the partial correlation coefficients. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-03 P. Chigansky , M. Kleptsyna

Let (X_t, t>=0) be a Levy process started at 0, with Levy measure nu and T_x the first hitting time of level x>0: T_x:=inf{t>=0; X_t>x}. Let $F(theta, mu, rho,.) be the joint Laplace transform of (T_x, K_x, L_x): F(theta,mu,rho,x)…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Bernard Roynette , Pierre Vallois , Agnes Volpi

We consider a generalization of the classical risk model when the premium intensity depends on the current surplus of an insurance company. All surplus is invested in the risky asset, the price of which follows a geometric Brownian motion.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-28 Yuliya Mishura , Mykola Perestyuk , Olena Ragulina

In this paper, we build on the techniques developed in Albrecher et al. (2013), to generate initial-boundary value problems for ruin probabilities of surplus-dependent premium risk processes, under a renewal case scenario, Erlang (2) claim…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Corina Constantinescu , Zbigniew Palmowski , Jing Wang

We consider a surplus process of drifted fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst index $H>1/2$, which appears as a functional limit of drifted compound Poisson risk models with correlated claims, and this is a kind of representation of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Shota Nakamura , Yasutaka Shimizu

This paper provides the asymptotic analysis of the loss probability in the $GI/M/1/n$ queueing system as $n$ increases to infinity. The approach of this paper is alternative to that of the recent papers of Choi and Kim [2000] and Choi et al…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Vyacheslav M. Abramov

In this paper, we introduce a targeted exploration strategy for the non-asymptotic, finite-time case. The proposed strategy is applicable to uncertain linear time-invariant systems subject to sub-Gaussian disturbances. As the main result,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-17 Janani Venkatasubramanian , Johannes Köhler , Frank Allgöwer

In a general class of Bayesian nonparametric models, we prove that the posterior distribution can be asymptotically approximated by a Gaussian process. Our results apply to nonparametric exponential family that contains both Gaussian and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Zuofeng Shang , Guang Cheng

Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be independent copies of a random process $\{X(t), t\ge0\}$. For a given positive constant $u$, define the set of $r$th conjunctions $C_r(u):=\{t\in[0,1]: X_{r:n}(t)>u\}$ with $ X_{r:n}$ the $r$th largest…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-16 Chengxiu Ling

Maximum likelihood estimators for time-dependent mean functions within Gaussian processes are provided in the context of continuous observations. We find the widest possible class of mean functions for which the likelihood function can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-09 Mitsuki Kobayashi , Yuto Nishiwaki , Yasutaka Shimizu , Nobutoki Takaoka

If a given aggregate process $S$ is a compound mixed renewal process under a probability measure $P$, we provide a characterization of all probability measures $Q$ on the domain of $P$ such that $Q$ and $P$ are progressively equivalent and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Spyridon M. Tzaninis , Nikolaos D. Macheras