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This paper investigates the Parisian ruin probability for processes with power-asymmetric behavior of the variance near the unique optimal point. We derive the exact asymptotics as the ruin boundary tends to infinity and extend the previous…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-12 Pavel Ievlev

We study boundary non-crossing probabilities $$ P_{f,u} := \mathrm P\big(\forall t\in \mathbb T\ X_t + f(t)\le u(t)\big) $$ for continuous centered Gaussian process $X$ indexed by some arbitrary compact separable metric space $\mathbb T$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-16 Enkelejd Hashorva , Yuliya Mishura , Georgiy Shevchenko

This paper investigates ruin probabilities for a two-dimensional fractional Brownian risk model with a proportional reinsurance scheme. We focus on joint and simultaneous ruin probabilities in a finite-time horizon. The risk processes of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-02 Krzysztof Kȩpczyński

We investigate the asymptotic of ruin probabilities when the company combines the life- and non-life insurance businesses and invests its reserve into a risky asset with stochastic volatility and drift driven by a two-state Markov process.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-10 Anastasiya Ellanskaya , Yuri Kabanov

We analyze the classical Brownian risk models discussing the approximation of ruin probabilities (classical, {\gamma}-reflected, Parisian and cumulative Parisian) for the case that ruin can occur only on specific discrete grids. A practical…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-29 Grigori Jasnovidov

We study the ruin problem over a risk process described by a discrete-time Markov model. In contrast to previous studies that focused on the asymptotic behaviour of ruin probabilities for large values of the initial capital, we provide a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-26 Ilya Tkachev , Alessandro Abate

In this paper, we study finite-time ruin probabilities for the compound Markov binomial risk model - a discrete-time model where claim sizes are modulated by a finite-state ergodic Markov chain. In the classic (non-modulated) case, the risk…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-23 Zbigniew Palmowski , Lewis Ramsden , Apostolos D. Papaioannou

In this paper we evaluate the probability of the discrete time Parisian ruin that occurs when surplus process stays below or at zero at least for some fixed duration of time $d>0$. We identify expressions for the ruin probabilities within…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-16 Irmina Czarna , Zbigniew Palmowski , Przemysław Światek

In this short note, we derive explicit formulas for the joint densities of the time to ruin and the number of claims until ruin in perturbed classical risk models, by constructing several auxiliary random processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-22 Peng Liu , Chunsheng Zhang , Lanpeng Ji

Define a $\gamma$-reflected process $W_\gamma(t)=Y_H(t)-\gamma\inf_{s\in[0,t]}Y_H(s)$, $t\ge0$ with input process $\{Y_H(t), t\ge 0\}$ which is a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in (0,1)$ and a negative linear trend. In risk…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-12 Peng Liu , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

We consider a classical risk process with arrival of claims following a non-stationary Hawkes process. We study the asymptotic regime when the premium rate and the baseline intensity of the claims arrival process are large, and claim size…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-22 Zailei Cheng , Youngsoo Seol

Let $B(t), t\in \mathbb{R}$ be a standard Brownian motion. Define a risk process \label{Rudef} R_u^{\delta}(t)=e^{\delta t}\left(u+c\int^{t}_{0}e^{-\delta s}d s-\sigma\int_{0}^{t}e^{-\delta s}d B(s)\right), t\geq0, where $u\geq 0$ is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-14 Long Bai , Li Luo

This paper deals with the discrete-time risk model with nonidentically distributed claims. We suppose that the claims repeat with time periods of three units, that is, claim distributions coincide at times $\{1,4,7,\ldots\}$, at times…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Andrius Grigutis , Agneška Korvel , Jonas Šiaulys

In ruin theory, the net profit condition intuitively means that the incurred random claims on average do not occur more often than premiums are gained. The breach of the net profit condition causes guaranteed ruin in few but simple cases…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-08 Andrius Grigutis , Arvydas Karbonskis , Jonas Šiaulys

Let $(W_1(s), W_2(t)), s,t\ge 0$ be a bivariate Brownian motion with standard Brownian motion marginals and constant correlation $\rho \in (-1,1).$ Parisian ruin is defined as a classical ruin that happens over an extended period of time,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-28 Konrad Krystecki

Let $(W_1(s), W_2(t)), s,t\ge 0$ be a bivariate Brownian motion with standard Brownian motion marginals and constant correlation $\rho \in (-1,1)$ and define the joint survival probability of both supremum functionals $\pi_\rho(c_1,c_2; u,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Konrad Krystecki

This article studies asymptotic approximations of ruin probabilities of multivariate random walks with heavy-tailed increments. Under our assumptions, the distributions of the increments are closely connected to multivariate…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-12 Miriam Hägele

We study a multidimensional renewal risk model, with common counting process and cadlag returns. Considering that the claim vectors have common distribution from some multivariate distribution class with heavy tail, are mutually weakly…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-18 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

We establish an exact asymptotic formula for the square variation of certain partial sum processes. Let $\{X_{i}\}$ be a sequence of independent, identically distributed mean zero random variables with finite variance $\sigma$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-07 Allison Lewko , Mark Lewko

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that a weighted sum of centered i.i.d. random variables X_k does not exceed a constant barrier. For regular random walks, the results follow easily from classical fluctuation theory,…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-24 Frank Aurzada , Christoph Baumgarten