English

Finite-time ruin probability for correlated Brownian motions

Probability 2020-04-30 v1

Abstract

Let (W1(s),W2(t)),s,t0(W_1(s), W_2(t)), s,t\ge 0 be a bivariate Brownian motion with standard Brownian motion marginals and constant correlation ρ(1,1)\rho \in (-1,1) and define the joint survival probability of both supremum functionals πρ(c1,c2;u,v)\pi_\rho(c_1,c_2; u, v) by πρ(c1,c2;u,v)=P(sups[0,1](W1(s)c1s)>u,supt[0,1](W2(t)c2t)>v),\pi_\rho(c_1,c_2; u, v)=\mathbb{P}\left(\sup_{s \in [0,1]} \left(W_1(s)-c_1s\right)>u,\sup_{t \in [0,1]} \left(W_2(t)-c_2t\right)>v\right) , where c1,c2Rc_1,c_2 \in \mathbb{R} and u,vu,v are given positive constants. Approximation of πρ(c1,c2;u,v)\pi_\rho(c_1,c_2; u, v) is of interest for the analysis of ruin probability in bivariate Brownian risk model as well as in the study of bivariate test statistics. In this contribution we derive tight bounds for πρ(c1,c2;u,v)\pi_\rho(c_1,c_2; u, v) in the case ρ(0,1)\rho \in (0,1) and obtain precise approximations by letting uu\to \infty and taking v=auv= au for some fixed positive constant aa and ρ(1,1).\rho \in (-1,1).

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2004.14015,
  title  = {Finite-time ruin probability for correlated Brownian motions},
  author = {Krzysztof Dȩbicki and Enkelejd Hashorva and Konrad Krystecki},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2004.14015},
  year   = {2020}
}

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35 pages