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We consider the problem of efficient simulation estimation of the density function at the tails, and the probability of large deviations for a sum of independent, identically distributed, light-tailed and non-lattice random vectors. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-26 Santanu Dey , Sandeep Juneja , Ankush Agarwal

In this paper, we discuss the application of extreme value theory in the context of stationary $\beta$-mixing sequences that belong to the Fr\'echet domain of attraction. In particular, we propose a methodology to construct bias-corrected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-24 Valérie Chavez-Demoulin , Armelle Guillou

We study the convergence of resistance metrics and resistance forms on a converging sequence of spaces. As an application, we study the existence and uniqueness of self-similar Dirichlet forms on Sierpinski gaskets with added rotated…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Shiping Cao

Extreme value theory has constructed asymptotic properties of the sample maximum. This study concerns probability distribution estimation of the sample maximum. The traditional approach is parametric fitting to the limiting distribution --…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-19 Taku Moriyama

Let X= {X_t, t \ge 0} be a continuous time random walk in an environment of i.i.d. random conductances {\mu_e \in [1, \infty), e \in E_d}, where E_d is the set of nonoriented nearest neighbor bonds on the Euclidean lattice Z^d and d\ge 3.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-28 Yimin Xiao , Xinghua Zheng

We study the one-arm probability in the level-set percolation of the discrete and metric-graph Gaussian free field (GFF) defined on a box with Dirichlet boundary conditions. For the metric-graph case, we establish asymptotic estimates on…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Yijie Bi , Yifan Gao , Xinyi Li

We prove a new sample complexity result for divergence regularized optimal transport. Our bound holds for probability measures on~$\mathbb{R}^d$ with exponential tail decay and for radial cost functions that satisfy a local Lipschitz…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Ruiyu Han , Johannes Wiesel

For a skew normal random sequence, convergence rates of the distribution of its partial maximum to the Gumbel extreme value distribution are derived. The asymptotic expansion of the distribution of the normalized maximum is given under an…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-06 Xin Liao , Zuoxiang Peng , Saralees Nadarajah , Xiaoqian Wang

In this work, we focus on some conditional extreme risk measures estimation for elliptical random vectors. In a previous paper, we proposed a methodology to approximate extreme quantiles, based on two extremal parameters. We thus propose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-26 Antoine Usseglio-Carleve

For an $n\times n$ Laplacian random matrix $L$ with Gaussian entries it is proven that the fluctuations of the largest eigenvalue and the largest diagonal entry of $L/\sqrt{n-1}$ are Gumbel. We first establish suitable non-asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-22 Santiago Arenas-Velilla , Victor Pérez-Abreu

We compute the second order asymptotics of the maximum of the absolute value of the log-characteristic polynomial of random Jacobi matrices whose coefficients satisfy some exponential integrability condition. In particular, by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Fanny Augeri , Ofer Zeitouni

Let $X_{1,n}\le\cdots\le X_{n,n}$ be the order statistics of $n$ independent random variables with a common distribution function $F$ having right heavy tail with tail index $\gamma$. Given known constants $d_{i,n}$, $1\le i\le n$, consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Lillian Achola Oluoch , László Viharos

We obtain large $n$ asymptotics of $n \times n$ Hankel determinants whose weight has a one-cut regular potential and Fisher-Hartwig singularities. We restrict our attention to the case where the associated equilibrium measure possesses…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-01-21 Christophe Charlier , Roozbeh Gharakhloo

In this work, we deal with extreme value theory in the context of continued fractions using techniques from probability theory, ergodic theory and real analysis. We give an upper bound for the rate of convergence in the Doeblin-Iosifescu…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-06 Anish Ghosh , Maxim Kirsebom , Parthanil Roy

Consider a random walk $S=(S_n:n\geq 0)$ that is ``perturbed'' by a stationary sequence $(\xi_n:n\geq 0)$ to produce the process $(S_n+\xi_n:n\geq0)$. This paper is concerned with computing the distribution of the all-time maximum…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Victor F. Araman , Peter W. Glynn

The multidimensional distributions with heavy tails attracted recently the attention of several papers on Applied Probability. However, the most of the works of the last decades are focused on multivariate regular variation, while the rest…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

There is an increasing interest to understand the dependence structure of a random vector not only in the center of its distribution but also in the tails. Extreme-value theory tackles the problem of modelling the joint tail of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-04 Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers , Michal Warchol

We study the tail behavior for the maximum of discrete Gaussian free field on a 2D box with Dirichlet boundary condition after centering by its expectation. We show that it exhibits an exponential decay for the right tail and a double…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-26 Jian Ding

The generalized extreme value distribution and its particular case, the Gumbel extreme value distribution, are widely applied for extreme value analysis. The Gumbel distribution has certain drawbacks because it is a non-heavy-tailed…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-12 E. C. Pinheiro , S. L. P. Ferrari

In this article we study the tail probability of the mass of critical Gaussian multiplicative chaos (GMC) associated to a general class of log-correlated Gaussian fields in any dimension, including the Gaussian free field (GFF) in dimension…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-06 Mo Dick Wong