Related papers: Extremes of Aggregated Dirichlet Risks

Expectile bears some interesting properties in comparison to the industry wide expected shortfall in terms of assessment of tail risk. We study the relationship between expectile and expected shortfall using duality results and the link to…

Consider the set of Borel probability measures on $\mathbf{R}^k$ and endow it with the topology of weak convergence. We show that the subset of all probability measures which belong to the domain of attraction of some multivariate extreme…

In this paper, we investigate the analyticity of a class of exponential Dirichlet series. We then explicitly determine the coefficients of their power series decomposition and provide an estimate for the remainder. As an application, we…

We study the extreme value distribution of stochastic processes modeled by superstatistics. Classical extreme value theory asserts that (under mild asymptotic independence assumptions) only three possible limit distributions are possible,…

The risk of occurrence of atypical phenomena is a cross-cutting concern in several areas, such as engineering, climatology, finance, actuarial, among others. Extreme value theory is the natural tool to approach this theme. Many of these…

Let $\{\xi_1,\xi_2,\ldots\}$ be a sequence of independent but not necessarily identically distributed random variables. In this paper, the sufficient conditions are found under which the tail probability…

For a given parametric probability model, we consider the risk of the maximum likelihood estimator with respect to $\alpha$-divergence, which includes the special cases of Kullback--Leibler divergence, the Hellinger distance and $\chi^2$…

Let $\{Z(\tau,s), (\tau,s)\in [a,b]\times[0,T]\}$ with some positive constants $a,b,T$ be a centered Gaussian random field with variance function $\sigma^{2}(\tau,s)$ satisfying $\sigma^{2}(\tau,s)=\sigma^{2}(\tau)$. We firstly derive the…

We consider random Schr\"odinger operators of the form $\Delta+\xi$, where $\Delta$ is the lattice Laplacian on $\mathbb Z^d$ and $\xi$ is an i.i.d. random field, and study the extreme order statistics of the eigenvalues for this operator…

We investigate asymptotic behaviour of probabilities of large deviations for normalized combinatorial sums. We find a zone in which these probabilities are equivalent to the tail of the standard normal law. Our conditions are similar to the…

In this paper we consider the convex hull of a spherically symmetric sample in $R^d$. Our main contributions are some new asymptotic results for the expectation of the number of vertices, number of facets, area and the volume of the convex…

Let $\{X(\mathbf{t}):\mathbf{t}=(t_1, t_2, \ldots, t_d)\in[0,\infty)^d\}$ be a centered stationary Gaussian field with almost surely continuous sample paths, unit variance and correlation function $r$ satisfying conditions $r(\mathbf{t})<1$…

These lecture notes offer a gentle introduction to the two-dimensional Discrete Gaussian Free Field with particular attention paid to the scaling limits of the level sets at heights proportional to the absolute maximum. The bulk of the text…

We equip the polytope of $n\times n$ Markov matrices with the normalized trace of the Lebesgue measure of $\mathbb{R}^{n^2}$. This probability space provides random Markov matrices, with i.i.d. rows following the Dirichlet distribution of…

We study the asymptotics for the maximum on a random time interval of a random walk with a long-tailed distribution of its increments and negative drift. We extend to a general stopping time a result by Asmussen (1998), simplify its proof,…

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of sums of functions of the increments of a given semimartingale, taken along a regular grid whose mesh goes to 0. The function of the $i$th increment may depend on the current time, and also…

In this paper we establish the error rate of first order asymptotic approximation for the tail probability of sums of log-elliptical risks. Our approach is motivated by extreme value theory which allows us to impose only some weak…

We consider asymptotic distributions of maximum deviations of sample covariance matrices, a fundamental problem in high-dimensional inference of covariances. Under mild dependence conditions on the entries of the data matrices, we establish…

For a multivariate random walk with i.i.d. jumps satisfying the Cramer moment condition and having a mean vector with at least one negative component, we derive the exact asymptotics of the probability of ever hitting the positive orthant…

Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be independent copies of a stationary process $\{X(t), t\ge0\}$. For given positive constants $u,T$, define the set of $r$th conjunctions $ C_{r,T,u}:= \{t\in [0,T]: X_{r:n}(t) > u\}$ with $X_{r:n}(t)$…