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Improving Importance Sampling estimators for rare event probabilities requires sharp approx- imations of the optimal density leading to a nearly zero-variance estimator. This paper presents a new way to handle the estimation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-15 Virgile Caron

We study the Ergodic Properties of Random Walks in stationary ergodic environments without uniform ellipticity under a minimal assumption. There are two main components in our work. The first step is to adopt the arguments of Lawler to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Ayan Ghosh

A Maximum Likelihood recursive state estimator is derived for non-linear and non-Gaussian state-space models. The estimator combines a particle filter to generate the conditional density and the Expectation Maximization algorithm to compute…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-22 Mohammad S. Ramadan , Robert R. Bitmead

We consider random walks in Dirichlet environment (RWDE) on $\Z ^d$, for $ d \geq 3 $, in the sub-ballistic case. We associate to any parameter $ (\alpha_1, ..., \alpha_{2d}) $ of the Dirichlet law a time-change to accelerate the walk. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-28 Élodie Bouchet

While most approaches to the problem of Inverse Reinforcement Learning (IRL) focus on estimating a reward function that best explains an expert agent's policy or demonstrated behavior on a control task, it is often the case that such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-01 Dexter R. R. Scobee , S. Shankar Sastry

We use the delta method and Stein's method to derive, under regularity conditions, explicit upper bounds for the distributional distance between the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a $d$-dimensional parameter and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Andreas Anastasiou , Robert E. Gaunt

We study the evolution of a random walker on a conservative dynamic random environment composed of independent particles performing simple symmetric random walks, generalizing results of [16] to higher dimensions and more general transition…

We develop a criterion for transience for a general model of branching Markov chains. In the case of multi-dimensional branching random walk in random environment (BRWRE) this criterion becomes explicit. In particular, we show that…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-12 Sebastian Müller

We consider a random walk in random environment in the low disorder regime on $\mathbb Z^d$. That is, the probability that the random walk jumps from a site $x$ to a nearest neighboring site $x+e$ is given by $p(e)+\epsilon \xi(x,e)$, where…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-11 David Campos , Alejandro F. Ramirez

Suppose one has a collection of parameters indexed by a (possibly infinite dimensional) set. Given data generated from some distribution, the objective is to estimate the maximal parameter in this collection evaluated at this distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-26 Alexander R. Luedtke , Mark J. van der Laan

The main approach to inference for multivariate extremes consists in approximating the joint upper tail of the observations by a parametric family arising in the limit for extreme events. The latter may be expressed in terms of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Raphaël Huser , Anthony C. Davison , Marc G. Genton

Reinforcement learning is the method of choice to train models in sampling-based setups with binary outcome feedback, such as navigation, code generation, and mathematical problem solving. In such settings, models implicitly induce a…

We study survival of nearest-neighbour branching random walks in random environment (BRWRE) on ${\mathbb Z}$. A priori there are three different regimes of survival: global survival, local survival, and strong local survival. We show that…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-31 Nina Gantert , Sebastian Müller , Serguei Popov , Marina Vachkovskaia

We consider a walker that at each step keeps the same direction with a probabilitythat depends on the time already spent in the direction the walker is currently moving. In this paper, we study some asymptotic properties of this persistent…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-15 Peggy Cénac , Basile De Loynes , Arnaud Le Ny , Yoann Offret

We study the maximal displacement of branching random walks in a class of time inhomogeneous environments. Specifically, binary branching random walks with Gaussian increments will be considered, where the variances of the increments change…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-07 Ofer Zeitouni , Ming Fang

Random walks in random environments (RWRE) model transport in quenched disorder, incorporating spatial heterogeneity, trapping, random drift, and random geometry. This paper summarizes discrete and continuous time formulations, identifies…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-14 Hazel Brookfield , Wei Zhou , Ian Weatherby

We introduce a class of nearest-neighbor integer random walks in random and non-random media, which includes excited random walks considered in the literature. At each site the random walker has a drift to the right, the strength of which…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Martin P. W. Zerner

The asymptotic normality of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) is a long established result. Explicit bounds for the distributional distance between the distribution of the MLE and the normal distribution have recently been obtained for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-20 Andreas Anastasiou

We consider random walks in random Dirichlet environment (RWDE) which is a special type of random walks in random environment where the exit probabilities at each site are i.i.d. Dirichlet random variables. On ${\mathbb Z}^d$, RWDE are…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-20 Christophe Sabot

We consider random walks in random Dirichlet environment (RWDE) which is a special type of random walks in random environment where the exit probabilities at each site are i.i.d. Dirichlet random variables. On $\Z^d$, RWDE are parameterized…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-20 Christophe Sabot