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We establish an invariance principle for a one-dimensional random walk in a dynamical random environment given by a speed-change exclusion process. The jump probabilities of the walk depend on the configuration of the exclusion in a finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-17 Milton Jara , Otávio Menezes

The three-parameter generalized extreme value distribution arises from classical univariate extreme value theory and is in common use for analyzing the far tail of observed phenomena. Curiously, important asymptotic properties of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-17 Likun Zhang , Benjamin Shaby

The maximum likelihood principle is widely used in statistics, and the associated estimators often display good properties. indeed maximum likelihood estimators are guaranteed to be asymptotically efficient under mild conditions. However in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-01 Christophe Culan , Claude Adnet

Maximum likelihood estimation is a common method of estimating the parameters of the probability distribution from a given sample. This paper aims to introduce the maximum likelihood estimation in the framework of sublinear expectation. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Xinpeng Li , Yue Liu , Jiaquan Lu

In this article, we study linearly edge-reinforced random walk on general multi-level ladders for large initial edge weights. For infinite ladders, we show that the process can be represented as a random walk in a random environment, given…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Franz Merkl , Silke W. W. Rolles

We consider the classical estimation problem of an unknown drift parameter within classes of nondegenerate diffusion processes. Using rough path theory (in the sense of T. Lyons), we analyze the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Joscha Diehl , Peter Friz , Hilmar Mai

We consider a random walk on $\R^d$ in a polynomially mixing random environment that is refreshed at each time step. We use a martingale approach to give a necessary and sufficient condition for the almost-sure functional central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-14 Mathew Joseph , Firas Rassoul-Agha

We present an approximated maximum likelihood method for the multifractal random walk processes of [E. Bacry et al., Phys. Rev. E 64, 026103 (2001)]. The likelihood is computed using a Laplace approximation and a truncation in the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-03 Ola Løvsletten , Martin Rypdal

We introduce an exactly-solvable model of random walk in random environment that we call the Beta RWRE. This is a random walk in $\mathbb{Z}$ which performs nearest neighbour jumps with transition probabilities drawn according to the Beta…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-19 Guillaume Barraquand , Ivan Corwin

We study a symmetric random walk (RW) in one spatial dimension in environment, formed by several zones of finite width, where the probability of transition between two neighboring points and corresponding diffusion coefficient are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-04-03 A. V. Nazarenko , V. Blavatska

Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-31 Alexis Bienvenüe , Christian Y. Robert

We study maximum likelihood estimation in log-linear models under conditional Poisson sampling schemes. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions for existence of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the model parameters and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-24 Stephen E. Fienberg , Alessandro Rinaldo

We are interested in the random walk in random environment on an infinite tree. Lyons and Pemantle [11] give a precise recurrence/transience criterion. Our paper focuses on the almost sure asymptotic behaviours of a recurrent random walk…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yueyun Hu , Zhan Shi

We consider a random walk in i.i.d. random environment with distribution $\nu$ on Z. The problem we are interested in is to provide an estimator of the cumulative distribution function (c.d.f.) F of $\nu$ from the observation of one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Roland Diel , Matthieu Lerasle

We take the point of view of the particle in a multidimensional nearest neighbor random walk in random environment (RWRE). We prove a quenched large deviation principle and derive a variational formula for the quenched rate function. Most…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-10 Jeffrey M. Rosenbluth

We introduce an original way to estimate the memory parameter of the elephant random walk, a fascinating discrete time random walk on integers having a complete memory of its entire history. Our estimator is nothing more than a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-21 Bernard Bercu , Lucile Laulin

In a finite mixture of location-scale distributions maximum likelihood estimator does not exist because of the unboundedness of the likelihood function when the scale parameter of some mixture component approaches zero. In order to study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Kentaro Tanaka , Akimichi Takemura

We consider a recurrent random walk (RW) in random environment (RE) on a strip. We prove that if the RE is i. i. d. and its distribution is not supported by an algebraic subsurface in the space of parameters defining the RE then the RW…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Erwin Bolthausen , Ilya Goldsheid

Maximum likelihood estimation of a location parameter fails when the density have unbounded mode. An alternative approach is considered by leaving out a data point to avoid the unbounded density in the full likelihood. This modification…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-04 Thanakorn Nitithumbundit , Jennifer S. K. Chan

We consider random walks in dynamic random environments and propose a criterion which, if satisfied, allows to decompose the random walk trajectory into i.i.d. increments, and ultimately to prove limit theorems. The criterion involves the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-20 Julien Allasia , Rangel Baldasso , Oriane Blondel , Augusto Teixeira