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This paper presents a new framework of identifying a series of cyber data attacks on power system synchrophasor measurements. We focus on detecting "unobservable" cyber data attacks that cannot be detected by any existing method that purely…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-03 Pengzhi Gao , Meng Wang , Joe H. Chow , Scott G. Ghiocel , Bruce Fardanesh , George Stefopoulos , Michael P. Razanousky

Sequential (online) change-point detection involves continuously monitoring time-series data and triggering an alarm when shifts in the data distribution are detected. We propose an algorithm for real-time identification of alterations in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 Yuhan Tian , Abolfazl Safikhani

As one of the largest and most complex systems on earth, power grid (PG) operation and control have stepped forward as a compound analysis on both physical and cyber layers which makes it vulnerable to assaults from economic and security…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-31 Wangkun Xu , Fei Teng

The problem of sequentially detecting an abrupt change in a sequence of independent and identically distributed (IID) random variables is addressed. Whereas previous approaches assume a known probability density function (PDF) at the start…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-11 James Falt , Steven D. Blostein

Dynamic security analysis is an important problem of power systems on ensuring safe operation and stable power supply even when certain faults occur. No matter such faults are caused by vulnerabilities of system components, physical…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-09 Qiang Wu , T. John Koo , Yoshihiko Susuki

We study the problem of detecting an abrupt change to the signal covariance matrix. In particular, the covariance changes from a "white" identity matrix to an unknown spiked or low-rank matrix. Two sequential change-point detection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-16 Liyan Xie , Yao Xie

Power system state estimation is being faced with different types of anomalies. These might include bad data caused by gross measurement errors or communication system failures. Sudden changes in load or generation can be considered as…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-11 Sajjad Asefi , Mile Mitrovic , Dragan Ćetenović , Victor Levi , Elena Gryazina , Vladimir Terzija

Increased connectivity and remote reprogrammability/reconfigurability features of embedded devices in current-day power systems (including interconnections between information technology -- IT -- and operational technology -- OT --…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-19 Prashanth Krishnamurthy , Ali Rasteh , Ramesh Karri , Farshad Khorrami

As contemporary software-intensive systems reach increasingly large scale, it is imperative that failure detection schemes be developed to help prevent costly system downtimes. A promising direction towards the construction of such schemes…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-27 Alexey Artemov , Evgeny Burnaev

This paper proposes a novel methodology for probabilistic dynamic security assessment and enhancement of power systems that considers load and generation variability, N-2 contingencies, and uncertain cascade propagation caused by uncertain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-05 Frédéric Sabot , Pierre-Etienne Labeau , Pierre Henneaux

Learning a dynamical system from input/output data is a fundamental task in the control design pipeline. In the partially observed setting there are two components to identification: parameter estimation to learn the Markov parameters, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-08 Han Wang , James Anderson

Dynamic networks consist of a sequence of time-varying networks, and it is of great importance to detect the network change points. Most existing methods focus on detecting abrupt change points, necessitating the assumption that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-13 Yuzhao Zhang , Jingnan Zhang , Yifan Sun , Junhui Wang

Demand-Side Management (DSM) is a vital tool that can be used to ensure power system reliability and stability. In future smart grids, certain portions of a customers load usage could be under automatic control with a cyber-enabled DSM…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-01 Kostas Hatalis , Parv Venkitasubramaniam , Shalinee Kishore

We consider the problem of detecting abrupt changes (i.e., large jump discontinuities) in the rate function of a point process. The rate function is assumed to be fully unknown, non-stationary, and may itself be a random process that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Anna Brandenberger , Elchanan Mossel , Anirudh Sridhar

Sequential change point detection for multivariate autocorrelated data is a very common problem in practice. However, when the sensing resources are limited, only a subset of variables from the multivariate system can be observed at each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-02 Haijie Xu , Xiaochen Xian , Chen Zhang , Kaibo Liu

In this paper, High-dimensional data analysis methods are proposed to deal with random matrix which is composed by the real data from power network before and after the fault. The mean spectral radius (MSR) of non-Hermitian random matrices…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-31 Y. Cao , L. Cai , C. Qiu , J. Gu , X. He , Q. Ai , Z. Jin

We consider online change detection of high dimensional data streams with sparse changes, where only a subset of data streams can be observed at each sensing time point due to limited sensing capacities. On the one hand, the detection…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-23 Jie Guo , Hao Yan , Chen Zhang , Steven Hoi

High dimensional piecewise stationary graphical models represent a versatile class for modelling time varying networks arising in diverse application areas, including biology, economics, and social sciences. There has been recent work in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-21 Hossein Keshavarz , George Michailidis , Yves Atchade

We consider detection and localization of an abrupt break in the covariance structure of high-dimensional random data. The paper proposes a novel testing procedure for this problem. Due to its nature, the approach requires a properly chosen…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Valeriy Avanesov

Continuously evolving cyber-attacks against industrial networks reduce the effectiveness of signature-based detection methods. Once malware has infiltrated a network (for example, entering via an unsecured device), it can infect further…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi , Mahdi Abolghasemi , Hideya Ochiai , Asha Rao , Conrad Sanderson
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