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We propose nonparametric identification and semiparametric estimation of joint potential outcome distributions in the presence of confounding. First, in settings with observed confounding, we derive tighter, covariate-informed bounds on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Jianle Sun , Kun Zhang

Parameter estimation for non-stationary stochastic differential equations (SDE) with an arbitrary nonlinear drift, and nonlinear diffusion is accomplished in combination with a non-parametric clustering methodology. Such a model-based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-07 Vyacheslav Boyko , Sebastian Krumscheid , Nikki Vercauteren

Fractional calculus provides a rigorous mathematical framework to describe anomalous stochastic processes by generalizing the notion of classical differential equations to their fractional-order counterparts. By introducing the fractional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-04 Ehsan Kharazmi , Mohsen Zayernouri

Growing-dimensional data with likelihood unavailable are often encountered in various fields. This paper presents a penalized exponentially tilted likelihood (PETL) for variable selection and parameter estimation for growing dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-09 Nian-Sheng Tang , Xiao-Dong Yan , Pu-Ying Zhao

In this work, we introduce a novel estimator of the predictive risk with Poisson data, when the loss function is the Kullback-Leibler divergence, in order to define a regularization parameter's choice rule for the Expectation Maximization…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-26 Paolo Massa , Federico Benvenuto

Stochastic versions of proximal methods have gained much attention in statistics and machine learning. These algorithms tend to admit simple, scalable forms, and enjoy numerical stability via implicit updates. In this work, we propose and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-09 Haoyu Jiang , Jason Xu

A rich literature exists on constructing non-parametric estimators with optimal asymptotic properties. In addition to asymptotic guarantees, it is often of interest to design estimators with desirable finite-sample properties; such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-14 Herbert P. Susmann , Yiting Li , Mara A. McAdams-DeMarco , Wenbo Wu , Iván Díaz

We consider a problem of parameter estimation for the state space model described by linear stochastic differential equations. We assume that an unobservable Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process drives another observable process by the linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-25 Masahiro Kurisaki

This paper studies the sparse identification problem of unknown sparse parameter vectors in stochastic dynamic systems. Firstly, a novel sparse identification algorithm is proposed, which can generate sparse estimates based on least squares…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Ziming Wang , Xinghua Zhu

We present large sample results for partitioning-based least squares nonparametric regression, a popular method for approximating conditional expectation functions in statistics, econometrics, and machine learning. First, we obtain a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Yingjie Feng

We consider the problem of minimizing a convex function that is evolving according to unknown and possibly stochastic dynamics, which may depend jointly on time and on the decision variable itself. Such problems abound in the machine…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Joshua Cutler , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Zaid Harchaoui

We extend the theory from Fan and Li (2001) on penalized likelihood-based estimation and model-selection to statistical and econometric models which allow for non-negativity constraints on some or all of the parameters, as well as…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-07 Heino Bohn Nielsen , Anders Rahbek

The likelihood function is a fundamental component in Bayesian statistics. However, evaluating the likelihood of an observation is computationally intractable in many applications. In this paper, we propose a non-parametric approximation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-24 Viet Anh Nguyen , Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh , Man-Chung Yue , Daniel Kuhn , Wolfram Wiesemann

A biomechanical model often requires parameter estimation and selection in a known but complicated nonlinear function. Motivated by observing that data from a head-neck position tracking system, one of biomechanical models, show…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 Hojun You , Kyubaek Yoon , Wei-Ying Wu , Jongeun Choi , Chae Young Lim

This paper addresses the task of estimating a covariance matrix under a patternless sparsity assumption. In contrast to existing approaches based on thresholding or shrinkage penalties, we propose a likelihood-based method that regularizes…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-13 Jason Xu , Kenneth Lange

This paper develops a general theory on rates of convergence of penalized spline estimators for function estimation when the likelihood functional is concave in candidate functions, where the likelihood is interpreted in a broad sense that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Jianhua Z. Huang , Ya Su

The Fokker-Planck equations describe time evolution of probability densities of stochastic dynamical systems and are thus widely used to quantify random phenomena such as uncertainty propagation. For dynamical systems driven by non-Gaussian…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-04 Xu Sun , Jinqiao Duan

We consider the probabilistic numerical scheme for fully nonlinear PDEs suggested in \cite{cstv}, and show that it can be introduced naturally as a combination of Monte Carlo and finite differences scheme without appealing to the theory of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-26 Arash Fahim , Nizar Touzi , Xavier Warin

This paper investigates the partial linear model by Least Absolute Deviation (LAD) regression. We parameterize the nonparametric term using Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) and formulate a penalized LAD problem for estimation. Specifically, our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-27 Lechen Feng , Haoran Li , Lucky Li , Xingqiu Zhao

A parameter estimation problem is considered for a stochastic parabolic equation with multiplicative noise under the assumption that the equation can be reduced to an infinite system of uncoupled diffusion processes. From the point of view…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-10 Igor Cialenco , Sergey V. Lototsky