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We consider the problem of estimating a parameter associated to a Bayesian inverse problem. Treating the unknown initial condition as a nuisance parameter, typically one must resort to a numerical approximation of gradient of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-17 Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Deng Lu

This paper introduces a novel optimization-based approach for parametric nonlinear system identification. Building upon the prediction error method framework, traditionally used for linear system identification, we extend its capabilities…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Léo Simpson , Jonas Asprion , Simon Muntwiler , Johannes Köhler , Moritz Diehl

This paper is concerned with nonparametric estimation of the weighted stochastic block model. We first show that the model implies a set of multilinear restrictions on the joint distribution of edge weights of certain subgraphs involving…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-10 Koen Jochmans

We construct an unbiased estimator for function value evaluated at the solution of a partial differential equation with random coefficients. We show that the variance and expected computational cost of our estimator are finite and our…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-23 Jose Blanchet , Fengpei Li , Xiaoou Li

We discuss the fundamental issue of identification in linear instrumental variable (IV) models with unknown IV validity. With the assumption of the "sparsest rule", which is equivalent to the plurality rule but becomes operational in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-06 Yiqi Lin , Frank Windmeijer , Xinyuan Song , Qingliang Fan

Penalized spline estimation with discrete difference penalties (P-splines) is a popular estimation method for semiparametric models, but the classical least-squares estimator is highly sensitive to deviations from its ideal model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-24 Ioannis Kalogridis , Stefan Van Aelst

A step-search sequential quadratic programming method is proposed for solving nonlinear equality constrained stochastic optimization problems. It is assumed that constraint function values and derivatives are available, but only stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Albert S. Berahas , Miaolan Xie , Baoyu Zhou

Conditional estimation given specific covariate values (i.e., local conditional estimation or functional estimation) is ubiquitously useful with applications in engineering, social and natural sciences. Existing data-driven non-parametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-13 Viet Anh Nguyen , Fan Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Erick Delage , Yinyu Ye

Estimating conditional dependence graphs and precision matrices are some of the most common problems in modern statistics and machine learning. When data are fully observed, penalized maximum likelihood-type estimators have become standard…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-09 Roger Fan , Byoungwook Jang , Yuekai Sun , Shuheng Zhou

The Wallace--Freeman estimator is a classical invariant point estimator whose large-sample properties have not been fully developed in a modern asymptotic framework. We show that the estimator can be formulated as a penalised M-estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Enes Makalic , Daniel F. Schmidt

High throughput genetic sequencing arrays with thousands of measurements per sample and a great amount of related censored clinical data have increased demanding need for better measurement specific model selection. In this paper we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-31 Jelena Bradic , Jianqing Fan , Jiancheng Jiang

In biometrics and related fields, the Cox proportional hazards model are widely used to analyze with covariate adjustment. However, when some covariates are not observed, an unbiased estimator usually cannot be obtained. Even if there are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-06 Shunichiro Orihara

We study a new parametric approach for particular hidden stochastic models such as the Stochastic Volatility model. This method is based on contrast minimization and deconvolution. After proving consistency and asymptotic normality of the…

Applications · Statistics 2013-03-15 Salima El Kolei

We study a least square-type estimator for an unknown parameter in the drift coefficient of a stochastic differential equation with additive fractional noise of Hurst parameter H>1/2. The estimator is based on discrete time observations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Andreas Neuenkirch , Samy Tindel

Consider the problem of joint parameter estimation and prediction in a Markov random field: i.e., the model parameters are estimated on the basis of an initial set of data, and then the fitted model is used to perform prediction (e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Martin J. Wainwright

We present a unifying view on various statistical estimation techniques including penalization, variational and thresholding methods. These estimators will be analyzed in the context of statistical linear inverse problems including…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-11 Markus Haltmeier , Housen Li , Axel Munk

Estimating the number of communities is a fundamental problem in network analysis under the stochastic block model (SBM). In this paper, we study penalized estimators for this task based on normalized likelihood criteria. We show that a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Andressa Cerqueira , Felipe Baptistão

We present a model-based output-only method for identifying from time series the parameters governing the dynamics of stochastically forced oscillators. In this context, suitable models of the oscillator's damping and stiffness properties…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-10-04 Edouard Boujo , Nicolas Noiray

We study the problem of parametric estimation for continuously observed stochastic processes driven by additive small fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index 0<H<1/2 and 1/2<H<1. Under some assumptions on the drift coefficient, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Shohei Nakajima , Yasutaka Shimizu

Gradient-based solvers risk convergence to local optima, leading to incorrect researcher inference. Heuristic-based algorithms are able to ``break free" of these local optima to eventually converge to the true global optimum. However, given…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-17 Zachary Porreca