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We analyze the hitting time distributions of stock price returns in different time windows, characterized by different levels of noise present in the market. The study has been performed on two sets of data from US markets. The first one is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Davide Valenti , Bernardo Spagnolo , Giovanni Bonanno

To know the statistical distribution of a variable is an important problem in management of resources. Distributions of the power law type are observed in many real systems. However power law distributions have an infinite variance and thus…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Hari M. Gupta , Jose R. Campanha

We find a general formula for the distribution of time averaged observables for weakly non-ergodic systems. Such type of ergodicity breaking is known to describe certain systems which exhibit anomalous fluctuations, e.g. blinking quantum…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Adi Rebenshtok , Eli Barkai

We study the transition to synchronization in large, dense networks of chaotic circle maps, where an exact solution of the mean-field dynamics in the infinite network and all-to-all coupling limit is known. In dense networks of finite size…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-07-06 Hans Muller Mendonca , Ralf Tönjes , Tiago Pereira

The double Pareto distribution is a heavy-tailed distribution with a power-law tail, that is generated via geometric Brownian motion with an exponentially distributed observation time. In this study, we examine a modified model wherein the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-30 Ken Yamamoto , Takashi Bando , Hirokazu Yanagawa , Yoshihiro Yamazaki

As a significant factor in urban planning, traffic forecasting and prediction of epidemics, modeling patterns of human mobility draws intensive attention from researchers for decades. Power-law distribution and its variations are observed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-10-28 Xiao Liang , Xudong Zheng , Weifeng Lv , Tongyu Zhu , Ke Xu

The average time between two occurrences of the same event, referred to as its return time (or return period), is a useful statistical concept for practical applications. For instance insurances or public agency may be interested by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-03-13 Thibault Lestang , Francesco Ragone , Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Corentin Herbert , Freddy Bouchet

For a broad class of random walks with anisotropic scattering kernel and absorption, we derive explicit formulas that allow expressing the moments of the collision number $n_V$ performed in a volume $V$ as a function of the particle…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-01-09 Andrea Zoia , Eric Dumonteil , Alain Mazzolo

This paper is devoted to the development of adaptive control schemes for uncertain discrete-time systems, which guarantee robust, global, exponential convergence to the desired equilibrium point of the system. The proposed control scheme…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-09-02 Iasson Karafyllis , Maria Kontorinaki , Markos Papageorgiou

This is an attempt to address diffusion phenomena from the point of view of information theory. We imagine a regular hamiltonian system under the random perturbation of thermal (molecular) noise and chaotic instability. The irregularity of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Qiuping A. Wang

Continuous-time reinforcement learning offers an appealing formalism for describing control problems in which the passage of time is not naturally divided into discrete increments. Here we consider the problem of predicting the distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-20 Harley Wiltzer , David Meger , Marc G. Bellemare

We introduce preferential behavior into the study on statistical mechanics of money circulation. The computer simulation results show that the preferential behavior can lead to power laws on distributions over both holding time and amount…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Ning Ding , Yougui Wang

This paper deals with the state estimation of linear time-invariant systems using distributed observers with local sampled-data measurement and aperiodic communication. Each observer agent perceives partial information of the system to be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-11 Shimin Wang , Ya-Jun Pan , Martin Guay

We investigate the dynamic behavior of spin reversal events in the dilute Ising model, focusing on the influence of static disorder introduced by pinned spins. Our Monte Carlo simulations reveal that in a homogeneous, defect-free system,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-07 Federico Ettori , Timothy J. Sluckin , Paolo Biscari

We present analytical results for the distribution of first hitting times of random walks (RWs) on random regular graphs (RRGs) of degree $c \ge 3$ and a finite size $N$. Starting from a random initial node at time $t=1$, at each time step…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-03-22 Ido Tishby , Ofer Biham , Eytan Katzav

A very simple event frequency approximation algorithm that is sensitive to event timeliness is suggested. The algorithm iteratively updates categorical click-distribution, producing (path of) a random walk on a standard $n$-dimensional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-29 Alexander Kushkuley

We construct inducing schemes for general multi-dimensional piecewise expanding maps where the base transformation is Gibbs-Markov and the return times have exponential tails. Such structures are a crucial tool in proving statistical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-02-18 Peyman Eslami

This paper is about statistical properties of quasistatic dynamical systems. These are a class of non-stationary systems that model situations where the dynamics change very slowly over time due to external influence. We focus on the case…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-07-05 Juho Leppänen

A new proof is given for the formula for the expected return time of a random walk on a graph. This proof makes use of known relationships between electric resistance and random walks.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-06 Greg Markowsky

We study the recurrence to mistake dynamical balls, that is, dynamical balls that admit some errors and whose proportion of errors decrease tends to zero with the length of the dynamical ball. We prove, under mild assumptions, that the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-11-05 Jerome Rousseau , Paulo Varandas , Yun Zhao