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We prove new results on lazy random walks on finite graphs. To start, we obtain new estimates on return probabilities $P^t(x,x)$ and the maximum expected hitting time $t_{\rm hit}$, both in terms of the relaxation time. We also prove a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-19 Roberto I. Oliveira , Yuval Peres

We provide escape rates formulae for piecewise expanding interval maps with `random holes'. Then we obtain rigorous approximations of invariant densities of randomly perturbed metabstable interval maps. We show that our escape rates…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Wael Bahsoun , Sandro Vaienti

In this paper, we consider a stochastic process that may experience random reset events which relocate the system to its starting position. We focus our attention on a one-dimensional, monotonic continuous-time random walk with a constant…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-10-11 Miquel Montero , Axel Masó-Puigdellosas , Javier Villarroel

In the context of countable groups of polynomial volume growth, we consider a large class of random walks that are allowed to take long jumps along multiple subgroups according to power law distributions. For such a random walk, we study…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-26 Zhen-Qing Chen , Takashi Kumagai , Laurent Saloff-Coste , Jian Wang , Tianyi Zheng

We study the connection between transport phenomenon and escape rate statistics in two-dimensional standard map. For the purpose of having an open phase space, we let the momentum co-ordinate vary freely and restrict only angle with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-07 L. Lugosi , T. Kovács

We study the distributions of event-time returns and clock-time returns at different microscopic timescales using ultra-high-frequency data extracted from the limit-order books of 23 stocks traded in the Chinese stock market in 2003. We…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Gao-Feng Gu , Wei Chen , Wei-Xing Zhou

We develop and generalize the theory of extreme value for non-stationary stochastic processes, mostly by weakening the uniform mixing condition that was previously used in this setting. We apply our results to non-autonomous dynamical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Sandro Vaienti

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

We study time series concerning rare events. The occurrence of a rare event is depicted as a jump of constant intensity always occurring in the same direction, thereby generating an asymmetric diffusion process. We consider the case where…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Paolo Grigolini , Luigi Palatella , Giacomo Raffaelli

Intermittent large amplitude events are seen in the temporal evolution of a state variable of many dynamical systems. Such intermittent large events suddenly start appearing in dynamical systems at a critical value of a system parameter and…

In this paper we consider a class of one-dimensional interacting particle systems in equilibrium, constituting a dynamic random environment, together with a nearest-neighbor random walk that on occupied/vacant sites has a local drift to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-13 L. Avena , F. den Hollander , F. Redig

Despite having been studied for decades, first passage processes remain an active area of research. In this contribution we examine a particle diffusing in an annulus with an inner absorbing boundary and an outer reflective boundary. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-05 Charles Antoine , Julian Talbot

We introduce a general methodology of update rules accounting for arbitrary interevent time distributions in simulations of interacting agents. In particular we consider update rules that depend on the state of the agent, so that the update…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-19 Juan Fernández-Gracia , V. M. Eguíluz , M. San Miguel

We consider the discrete time unitary dynamics given by a quantum walk on the lattice $\Z^d$ performed by a quantum particle with internal degree of freedom, called coin state, according to the following iterated rule: a unitary update of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-20 Alain Joye

We find a general formula for the distribution of time-averaged observables for systems modeled according to the sub-diffusive continuous time random walk. For Gaussian random walks coupled to a thermal bath we recover ergodicity and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Adi Rebenshtok , Eli Barkai

We obtain a description of the Poincar\'e recurrences of chaotic systems in terms of the ergodic theory of transient chaos. It is based on the equivalence between the recurrence time distribution and an escape time distribution obtained by…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2008-04-29 Eduardo G. Altmann , Tamas Tel

We start by reviewing recent probabilistic results on ergodic sums in a large class of (non-uniformly) hyperbolic dynamical systems. Namely, we describe the central limit theorem, the almost-sure convergence to the gaussian and other stable…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-05-09 J. -R. Chazottes

What happens when a continuously evolving stochastic process is interrupted with large changes at random intervals $\tau$ distributed as a power-law $\sim \tau^{-(1+\alpha)};\alpha>0$? Modeling the stochastic process by diffusion and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-06-22 Apoorva Nagar , Shamik Gupta

This book provides a comprehensive introduction for the study of extreme events in the context of dynamical systems. The introduction provides a broad overview of the interdisciplinary research area of extreme events, underlining its…

In this paper we consider a stochastic process that may experience random reset events which bring suddenly the system to the starting value and analyze the relevant statistical magnitudes. We focus our attention on monotonous…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-01-21 Miquel Montero , Javier Villarroel