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We establish and generalise several bounds for various random walk quantities including the mixing time and the maximum hitting time. Unlike previous analyses, our derivations are based on rather intuitive notions of local expansion…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Thomas Sauerwald , Luca Zanetti

We study the statistical distribution of the closest encounter between observations computed along different trajectories of a mixing dynamical system. At the limit of large trajectories, the distribution is of Gumbel type and depends on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-04-29 Théophile Caby

In this note we discuss limit distribution of normalized return times for shrinking targets and draw a necessary and sufficient condition using sweep-out sequence in order for the limit distribution to be exponential with parameter $1$. The…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-10-30 Xuan Zhang

We study general random dynamical systems of continuous maps on some compact metric space. Assuming a local contraction condition and uniqueness of the stationary measure, we establish probabilistic limit laws such as the central limit…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Katrin Gelfert , Graccyela Salcedo

We study returns in dynamical systems: when a set of points, initially populating a prescribed region, swarms around phase space according to a deterministic rule of motion, we say that the return of the set occurs at the earliest moment…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-13 Giorgio Mantica , Sandro Vaienti

A second-order random walk on a graph or network is a random walk where transition probabilities depend not only on the present node but also on the previous one. A notable example is the non-backtracking random walk, where the walker is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-28 Dario Fasino , Arianna Tonetto , Francesco Tudisco

This paper is a first step in the study of the recurrence behavior in random dynamical systems and randomly perturbed dynamical systems. In particular we define a concept of quenched and annealed return times for systems generated by the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-10-12 Philippe Marie , Jerome Rousseau

We study the distribution of maxima (Extreme Value Statistics) for sequences of observables computed along orbits generated by random transformations. The underlying, deterministic, dynamical system can be regular or chaotic. In the former…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Davide Faranda , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Valerio Lucarini , Giorgio Turchetti , Sandro Vaienti

We consider the superposition of symmetric simple exclusion dynamics speeded-up in time, with spin-flip dynamics in a one-dimensional interval with periodic boundary conditions. We show that the mixing time has an exponential lower bound in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-28 Kenkichi Tsunoda

We consider random walk on the structure given by a random hypergraph in the regime where there is a unique giant component. We give the asymptotics for hitting times, cover times, and commute times and show that the results obtained for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Amine Helali , Matthias Löwe

We consider $\psi$-mixing dynamical systems $(\mathcal{X},T,B,\mu)$ and we find conditions on families of sets $\{\mathcal{U}_n\subset \mathcal{X}:n\in\mathbb{N}\}$ so that $\mu(\mathcal{U}_n)\tau_n$ tends in law to an exponential random…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-07-07 Italo Cipriano

We obtain quenched hitting distributions to be compound Poissonian for a certain class of random dynamical systems. The theory is general and designed to accommodate non-uniformly expanding behavior and targets that do not overlap much with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Lucas Amorim , Nicolai Haydn , Sandro Vaienti

We study the distribution of the occurrence of rare patterns in sufficiently mixing Gibbs random fields on the lattice $\mathbb{Z}^d$, $d\geq 2$. A typical example is the high temperature Ising model. This distribution is shown to converge…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-10 M. Abadi , J. -R. Chazottes , F. Redig , E. Verbitskiy

We show that the probability distribution function that best fits the distribution of return times between two consecutive visits of a chaotic trajectory to finite size regions in phase space deviates from the exponential statistics by a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-13 Murilo S. Baptista , Dariel M. Maranhao , Jose C. Sartorelli

Using the results of Ding, Lee, Peres [3], we develop formulas to compute the hitting times and cover times for random walks on groups. We developed an explicit formula for hitting times in terms of the irreducible representations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Christopher Zhang

We prove quenched laws of hitting time statistics for random subshifts of finite type. In particular we prove a dichotomy between the law for periodic and for non-periodic points. We show that this applies to random Gibbs measures.

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-11-06 Jérôme Rousseau , Mike Todd

We study analytically and numerically the extreme value distribution of observables defined along the temporal evolution of a dynamical system. The convergence to the Gumbel law of observable recurrences gives information on the fractal…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Théophile Caby , Davide Faranda , Sandro Vaienti , Pascal Yiou

We establish abstract local limit theorems for hitting times and return-times of suitable sequences (A_{l}) of asymptotically rare events in ergodic probability preserving dynamical systems, including versions for tuples of consecutive…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-08-28 Max Auer , Roland Zweimüller

For non-uniformly hyperbolic dynamical systems we consider the time series of maxima along typical orbits. Using ideas based upon quantitative recurrence time statistics we prove convergence of the maxima (under suitable normalization) to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-09-11 Mark Holland , Pau Rabassa , Alef Sterk

We prove the equivalence between the existence of a non-trivial hitting time statistics law and Extreme Value Laws in the case of dynamical systems with measures which are not absolutely continuous with respect to Lebesgue. This is a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-09-14 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd