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Increasingly larger data sets of processes in space and time ask for statistical models and methods that can cope with such data. We show that the solution of a stochastic advection-diffusion partial differential equation provides a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-18 Fabio Sigrist , Hans R. Künsch , Werner A. Stahel

Parameter sensitivity analysis is a powerful tool in the building and analysis of biochemical network models. For stochastic simulations, parameter sensitivity analysis can be computationally expensive, requiring multiple simulations for…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-06-04 Patrick B. Warren , Rosalind J. Allen

Any performance analysis based on stochastic simulation is subject to the errors inherent in misspecifying the modeling assumptions, particularly the input distributions. In situations with little support from data, we investigate the use…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-12 Soumyadip Ghosh , Henry Lam

A Poisson line process is a random set of straight lines contained in the plane, as the image of the map $(x,v)\mapsto (x+vt)_{t\in\mathbb{R}}$, for each point $(x,v)$ of a Poisson process in the space-velocity plane. By associating a step…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Pablo A. Ferrari , Stefano Olla

Aims. Numerical test-particle simulations are a reliable and frequently used tool to test analytical transport theories and to predict mean-free paths. The comparison between solutions of the diffusion equation and the particle flux is used…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2016-02-17 R. C. Tautz , J. Bolte , A. Shalchi

For a fixed $T$ and $k \geq 2$, a $k$-dimensional vector stochastic differential equation $dX_t=\mu(X_t, \theta)dt+\nu(X_t)dW_t,$ is studied over a time interval $[0,T]$. Vector of drift parameters $\theta$ is unknown. The dependence in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Miljenko Huzak , Snježana Lubura Strunjak , Andreja Vlahek Štrok

Stochastic quantization in physics has been considered to provide a path integral representation of a probability distribution for Ito processes. It has been indicated that the stochastic quantization can involve a potential term, if the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Masakazu Sano

Max-stable processes are a popular tool for the study of environmental extremes, and the extremal skew-$t$ process is a general model that allows for a flexible extremal dependence structure. For inference on max-stable processes with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-21 B. Beranger , A. G. Stephenson , S. A. Sisson

We study robust nonlinear filtering for stochastic models driven by L\'evy processes, where the signal and observation processes are coupled through common Brownian and jump noise. Robustness, defined as the continuous dependence of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Sharan Srinivasan , Vijay Gupta , Harsha Honnappa

In this paper, we aim to study the diffusion approximation for multi-scale McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations. More precisely, we prove the weak convergence of slow process $X^\varepsilon$ in $C([0,T];\mathbb{R}^n)$ towards the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Wei Hong , Shihu Li , Xiaobin Sun

In this paper we present a novel approach towards variance reduction for discretised diffusion processes. The proposed approach involves specially constructed control variates and allows for a significant reduction in the variance for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Denis Belomestny , Stefan Häfner , Mikhail Urusov

We investigate the existence of a robust, i.e., continuous, representation of the conditional distribution in a stochastic filtering model for multidimensional correlated jump-diffusions. Even in the absence of jumps, it is known that in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-29 Andrew L. Allan , Jost Pieper , Josef Teichmann

We propose a multi-step Richardson-Romberg extrapolation method for the computation of expectations $E f(X_{_T})$ of a diffusion $(X_t)_{t\in [0,T]}$ when the weak time discretization error induced by the Euler scheme admits an expansion at…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-03 Gilles Pagès

This paper introduces the path derivatives, in the spirit of Dupire's functional It\^o calculus, for the controlled paths in the rough path theory with possibly non-geometric rough paths. The theory allows us to deal with rough integration…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-24 Christian Keller , Jianfeng Zhang

We consider stochastic differential equations dY=V(Y)dX driven by a multidimensional Gaussian process X in the rough path sense. Using Malliavin Calculus we show that Y(t) admits a density for t in (0,T] provided (i) the vector fields…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-29 Thomas Cass , Peter Friz

Global dynamics in nonlinear stochastic systems is often difficult to analyze rigorously. Yet, many excellent numerical methods exist to approximate these systems. In this work, we propose a method to bridge the gap between computation and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-07 Maxime Breden , Christian Kuehn

The one-dimensional SDE with non Lipschitz diffusion coefficient $dX_{t} = b(X_{t})dt + \sigma X_{t}^{\gamma} dB_{t}, \ X_{0}=x, \ \gamma<1$ is widely studied in mathematical finance. Several works have proposed asymptotic analysis of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-26 Giovanni Conforti , Stefano De Marco , Jean-Dominique Deuschel

Doubly-stochastic point processes model the occurrence of events over a spatial domain as an inhomogeneous Poisson process conditioned on the realization of a random intensity function. They are flexible tools for capturing spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-28 Si Cheng , Jon Wakefield , Ali Shojaie

Reflected diffusions in polyhedral domains are commonly used as approximate models for stochastic processing networks in heavy traffic. Stationary distributions of such models give useful information on the steady state performance of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-24 Amarjit Budhiraja , Jiang Chen , Sylvain Rubenthaler

In this article, we consider diffusion approximations for a general class of stochastic recursions. Such recursions arise as models for population growth, genetics, financial securities, multiplicative time series, numerical schemes and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-13 David Kelly