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Strong solutions of p-dimensional stochastic differential equations that can be represented locally in explicit simulation form are considered. The following three-way equivalence is established: 1) There exists such a representation from…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-13 Michael A. Kouritzin , Bruno Remillard

Motivated by a problematic coming from mathematical finance, this paper is devoted to existing and additional results of continuity and differentiability of the It\^o map associated to rough differential equations. These regularity results…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-16 Nicolas Marie

We propose a new sensitivity analysis methodology for complex stochastic dynamics based on the Relative Entropy Rate. The method becomes computationally feasible at the stationary regime of the process and involves the calculation of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-04-16 Yannis Pantazis , Markos A. Katsoulakis

We consider the problem of estimating the roughness of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model that arises as a nonlinear function of fractional Brownian motion with drift. To this end, we introduce a new estimator that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-17 Xiyue Han , Alexander Schied

Conventional approaches for simulating steady-state distributions of particles under diffusive and advective transport at high P\'eclet numbers involve solving the diffusion and advection equations in at least two dimensions. Here, we…

For an arbitrary diffusion process $X$ with time-homogeneous drift and variance parameters $\mu(x)$ and $\sigma^2(x)$, let $V_\varepsilon$ be $1/\varepsilon$ times the total time $X(t)$ spends in the strip…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Nils Lid Hjort , Rafail Zalmonovich Khasminskii

Strong invariance principles describe the error term of a Brownian approximation of the partial sums of a stochastic process. While these strong approximation results have many applications, the results for continuous-time settings have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-17 Ardjen Pengel , Joris Bierkens

We study the problem of parameter estimation for a univariate discretely observed ergodic diffusion process given as a solution to a stochastic differential equation. The estimation procedure we propose consists of two steps. In the first…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Shota Gugushvili , Peter Spreij

We investigate robust parameter estimation and testing procedure for multivariate diffusion processes observed at high frequency via the minimum density power divergence estimator (MDPDE). Within a general diffusion framework and under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Sourojyoti Barick

We provide the first generic exact simulation algorithm for multivariate diffusions. Current exact sampling algorithms for diffusions require the existence of a transformation which can be used to reduce the sampling problem to the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Jose Blanchet , Fan Zhang

We consider the path approximation of Bessel processes and develop a new and efficient algorithm. This study is based on a recent work by the authors, on the path approximation of the Brownian motion, and on the construction of specific own…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-02 Madalina Deaconu , Samuel Herrmann

Since diffusion processes arise in so many different fields, efficient tech-nics for the simulation of sample paths, like discretization schemes, represent crucial tools in applied probability. Such methods permit to obtain approximations…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-22 Samuel Herrmann , Cristina Zucca

We consider the solution to a stochastic differential equation with a drift function which depends smoothly on some real parameter $\lambda$, and admitting a unique invariant measure for any value of $\lambda$ around $\lambda$ = 0. Our aim…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-07 Roland Assaraf , Benjamin Jourdain , Tony Lelièvre , Raphaël Roux

We consider a Poisson equation in $\mathbb R^d$ for the elliptic operator corresponding to an ergodic diffusion process. Optimal regularity and smoothness with respect to the parameter are obtained under mild conditions on the coefficients.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-11 Michael Röckner , Longjie Xie

Stochastic computational models in the form of pure jump processes occur frequently in the description of chemical reactive processes, of ion channel dynamics, and of the spread of infections in populations. For spatially extended models,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-23 Augustin Chevallier , Stefan Engblom

We present methodology for estimating the stochastic intensity of a doubly stochastic Poisson process. Statistical and theoretical analyses of traffic traces show that these processes are appropriate models of high intensity traffic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-24 Ruixin Wang , Prateek Jaiwal , Harsha Honnappa

We consider multi-dimensional Gaussian processes and give a new condition on the covariance, simple and sharp, for the existence of stochastic area(s). Gaussian rough paths are constructed with a variety of weak and strong approximation…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-04 Peter Friz , Nicolas Victoir

In the present paper we propose a new stochastic diffusion process with drift proportional to the Weibull density function defined as X $\epsilon$ = x, dX t = $\gamma$ t (1 - t $\gamma$+1) - t $\gamma$ X t dt + $\sigma$X t dB t , t…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-26 H Elotma

We consider the classical estimation problem of an unknown drift parameter within classes of nondegenerate diffusion processes. Using rough path theory (in the sense of T. Lyons), we analyze the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Joscha Diehl , Peter Friz , Hilmar Mai

We construct the "expected signature matching" estimator for differential equations driven by rough paths and we prove its consistency and asymptotic normality. We use it to estimate parameters of a diffusion and a fractional diffusions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-16 Anastasia Papavasiliou , Christophe Ladroue