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A branching process in varying environment with generation-dependent immigration is a modification of the standard branching process in which immigration is allowed and the reproduction and immigration laws may vary over the generations.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-31 Miguel González , Goetz Kersting , Carmen Minuesa , Inés del Puerto

The diffusive epidemic process is a paradigmatic example of an absorbing state phase transition in which healthy and infected individuals spread with different diffusion constants. Using stochastic activity spreading simulations in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-02 Borislav Polovnikov , Patrick Wilke , Erwin Frey

The question of whether a population will persist or go extinct is of key interest throughout ecology and biology. Various mathematical techniques allow us to generate knowledge regarding individual behaviour, which can be analysed to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-28 Stuart T. Johnston , Matthew J. Simpson , Edmund J. Crampin

We introduce a kinetic model that couples the movement of a population of individuals with the dynamics of a pathogen in the same population. We consider that transmission occurs when a susceptible and an infectious individual are…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-01-30 Carolina Strecht-Fernandes , Fabio A. C. C. Chalub

We are interested in modelling Darwinian evolution, resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. Our models are rooted in the microscopic, stochastic description of a population…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Nicolas Champagnat , Régis Ferrière , Sylvie Méléard

The analysis of contagion-diffusion processes in metapopulations is a powerful theoretical tool to study how mobility influences the spread of communicable diseases. Nevertheless, many metapopulation approaches use indistinguishable agents…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-20 Pablo Valgañón , David Soriano-Paños , Alex Arenas , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes

Population dynamics is constrained by the environment, which needs to obey certain conditions to support population growth. We consider a standard model for the evolution of a single species population density, that includes reproduction,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-18 E. H. Colombo , C. Anteneodo

We introduce and study a model stemming from game theory for the spread of an epidemic throughout a given population. Each agent is allowed to choose an action whose value dictates to what extent they limit their social interactions, if at…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-20 Sayar Karmakar , Moumanti Podder , Souvik Roy , Soumyarup Sadhukhan

The recent COVID-19 pandemic has led to an increasing interest in the modeling and analysis of infectious diseases. The pandemic has made a significant impact on the way we behave and interact in our daily life. The past year has witnessed…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-17 Shutian Liu , Yuhan Zhao , Quanyan Zhu

We consider an individual-based spatially structured population for Darwinian evolution in an asexual population. The individuals move randomly on a bounded continuous space according to a reflected brownian motion. The dynamics involves…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Helene Leman

There are various cases of animal movement where behaviour broadly switches between two modes of operation, corresponding to a long distance movement state and a resting or local movement state. Here a mathematical description of this…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-01 Jake P. Taylor-King , Emiel van Loon , Gabriel Rosser , S. Jon Chapman

We consider a trait-structured population subject to mutation, birth and competition of logistic type, where the number of coexisting types may fluctuate. Applying a limit of rare mutations to this population while keeping the population…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-05 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert

The biological theory of adaptive dynamics proposes a description of the long-term evolution of a structured asexual population. It is based on the assumptions of large population, rare mutations and small mutation steps, that lead to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert

An organism that is newly introduced into an existing population has a survival probability that is dependent on both the population density of its environment and the competition it experiences with the members of that population.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-17 Jason M. Gray , Rowan J. Barker-Clarke , Jacob G. Scott , Michael Hinczewski

Characterizing the spatial extent of epidemics at the outbreak stage is key to controlling the evolution of the disease. At the outbreak, the number of infected individuals is typically small, so that fluctuations around their average are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-03-21 Eric Dumonteil , Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso , Andrea Zoia

The spread of an epidemic disease and the population's collective behavioural response are deeply intertwined, influencing each other's evolution. Such a co-evolution typically has been overlooked in mathematical models, limiting their…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-10-24 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Mengbin Ye , Alessandro Rizzo , Ming Cao

Darwinian evolution can be modeled in general terms as a flow in the space of fitness (i.e. reproductive rate) distributions. In the diffusion approximation, Tsimring et al. have showed that this flow admits "fitness wave" solutions:…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-30 Matteo Smerlak , Ahmed Youssef

We perform an analytical sensitivity analysis for a model of a continuous-time branching process evolving on a fixed network. This allows us to determine the relative importance of the model parameters to the growth of the population on the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-08 Sophie Hautphenne , Gautier Krings , Jean-Charles Delvenne , Vincent D. Blondel

Many species see their range shifted poleward in response to global warming and need to keep pace in order to survive. To understand the effect of climate change on species ranges and its consequences on population dynamics, we consider a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Juliette Bouhours , Thomas Giletti

A packed community of exponentially proliferating microbes will spread in size exponentially. However, due to nutrient depletion, mechanical constraints, or other limitations, exponential proliferation is not indefinite, and the spreading…

Biological Physics · Physics 2026-02-02 Meiyi Yao , Joshua M. Jones , Joseph W. Larkin , Andrew Mugler