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For a fixed $T$ and $k \geq 2$, a $k$-dimensional vector stochastic differential equation $dX_t=\mu(X_t, \theta)dt+\nu(X_t)dW_t,$ is studied over a time interval $[0,T]$. Vector of drift parameters $\theta$ is unknown. The dependence in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Miljenko Huzak , Snježana Lubura Strunjak , Andreja Vlahek Štrok

Realistic models of biological processes typically involve interacting components on multiple scales, driven by changing environment and inherent stochasticity. Such models are often analytically and numerically intractable. We revisit a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-19 K. Bodova , E. Szep , N. H. Barton

We analyse the splitting algorithm performance in the estimation of rare event probabilities and this in a discrete multidimensional framework. For this we assume that each threshold is partitioned into disjoint subsets and the probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-10 Agnès Lagnoux , Pascal Lezaud

Continuous-time Markov processes over finite state-spaces are widely used to model dynamical processes in many fields of natural and social science. Here, we introduce an maximum likelihood estimator for constructing such models from data…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-01 Robert T. McGibbon , Vijay S. Pande

We propose a novel method for drift estimation of multiscale diffusion processes when a sequence of discrete observations is given. For the Langevin dynamics in a two-scale potential, our approach relies on the eigenvalues and the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-15 Assyr Abdulle , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Andrea Zanoni

We consider a continuous time process that is self-exciting and ergodic, called threshold Chan-Karolyi-Longstaff-Sanders (CKLS) process. This process is a generalization of various models in econometrics, such as Vasicek model,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Sara Mazzonetto , Benoît Nieto

Based on Malliavin calculus tools and approximation results, we show how to compute a maximum likelihood type estimator for a rather general differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H>1/2. Rates of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-05 Alexandra Chronopoulou , Samy Tindel

We consider Fokker-Planck equations in the whole Euclidean space, driven by Levy processes, under the action of confining drifts, as in the classical Ornstein-Ulhenbeck model. We introduce a new PDE method to get exponential or…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-11-01 Alessio Porretta

We develop generic and efficient importance sampling estimators for Monte Carlo evaluation of prices of single- and multi-asset European and path-dependent options in asset price models driven by L\'evy processes, extending earlier works…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-17 Adrien Genin , Peter Tankov

Filtering and parameter estimation under partial information for multiscale problems is studied in this paper. After proving mean square convergence of the nonlinear filter to a filter of reduced dimension, we establish that the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Andrew Papanicolaou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We identify generic protocols achieving optimal power extraction from a single active particle subject to continuous feedback control under the assumption that its spatial trajectory, but not its instantaneous self-propulsion force, is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-11-08 Luca Cocconi , Jacob Knight , Connor Roberts

While short-range dependence is widely assumed in the literature for its simplicity, long-range dependence is a feature that has been observed in data from finance, hydrology, geophysics and economics. In this paper, we extend a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-20 Michele Nguyen , Almut E. D. Veraart

This paper first strictly proved that the growth of the second moment of a large class of Gaussian processes is not greater than power function and the covariance matrix is strictly positive definite. Under these two conditions, the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-21 Shifei Luo

The aim of this paper is to study the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the drift coefficient for fractional stochastic heat equation driven by an additive space-time noise. We consider the traditional for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Igor Cialenco , Francisco Delgado-Vences , Hyun-Jung Kim

Modern methods of generative modelling and unpaired data translation based on Schr\"odinger bridges and stochastic optimal control theory aim to transform an initial density to a target one in an optimal way. In the present paper, we assume…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Nikita Puchkin , Denis Suchkov , Alexey Naumov , Denis Belomestny

We propose a new method for the estimation of a semiparametric tempered stable L\'{e}vy model. The estimation procedure combines iteratively an approximate semiparametric method of moment estimator, Truncated Realized Quadratic Variations…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-25 José E. Figueroa-López , Ruoting Gong , Yuchen Han

We propose a novel estimation framework for path-dependent functionals of Levy processes from discretely observed data. Traditional approaches rely on Monte Carlo simulation of full paths, which requires complete model specification and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Yasutaka Shimizu , Hiroshi Shiraishi

Identifying the full entropy production of active particles is a challenging task. We introduce a microscopic, thermodynamically consistent model, which leads to active Ornstein-Uhlenbeck statistics in the continuum limit. Our minimal model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-12-15 Jonas H. Fritz , Udo Seifert

In this paper, we consider an ergodic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with jumps driven by a Brownian motion and a compensated Poisson process, whose drift and diffusion coefficients as well as its jump intensity depend on unknown parameters.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-14 Ngoc Khue Tran

We consider nonparametric statistical inference for L\'evy processes sampled irregularly, at low frequency. The estimation of the jump dynamics as well as the estimation of the distributional density are investigated. Non-asymptotic risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-23 Johanna Kappus
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