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Continuous-time stochastic systems have attracted a lot of attention recently, due to their wide-spread use in finance for modelling price-dynamics. More recently models taking into accounts shocks have been developed by assuming that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-07 L. Gerencser , M. Manfay

The adapted Wasserstein distance is a metric for quantifying distributional uncertainty and assessing the sensitivity of stochastic optimization problems on time series data. A computationally efficient alternative to it, is provided by the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-10 Beatrice Acciaio , Songyan Hou , Gudmund Pammer

Advances in experimental techniques allow the collection of high-resolution spatio-temporal data that track individual motile entities. These tracking data can be used to calibrate mathematical models describing the motility of individual…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-21 Arianna Ceccarelli , Alexander P. Browning , Tai Chaiamarit , Ilan Davis , Ruth E. Baker

We study stochastic Nash equilibrium problems subject to heterogeneous uncertainty on the expected valued cost functions of the individual agents, where we assume no prior knowledge of the underlying probability distributions of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Georgios Pantazis , Barbara Franci , Sergio Grammatico

We present a general duality result for Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization that holds for any Kantorovich transport cost, measurable loss function, and nominal probability distribution. Assuming an interchangeability principle…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Luhao Zhang , Jincheng Yang , Rui Gao

Many scientific systems, such as cellular populations or economic cohorts, are naturally described by probability distributions that evolve over time. Predicting how such a system would have evolved under different forces or initial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-26 Tristan Luca Saidi , Gonzalo Mena , Larry Wasserman , Florian Gunsilius

Optimal transport provides an inherently geometric and highly structured framework for studying spaces of probability measures, supplying a rich theoretical toolkit for contemporary statistics, machine learning, and generative modelling. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Riccardo Passeggeri , Rohan M. Shenoy , Pengcheng Ye

Logistic regression models are widely used in the social and behavioral sciences and in high-stakes domains, due to their simplicity and interpretability properties. At the same time, such domains are permeated by distribution shifts, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Qingshi Sun , Nathan Justin , Andres Gomez , Phebe Vayanos

We address a class of Markov jump linear systems that are characterized by the underlying Markov process being time-inhomogeneous with a priori unknown transition probabilities. Necessary and sufficient conditions for uniform stochastic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-11-24 Collin C. Lutz , Daniel J. Stilwell

This paper presents a robust and efficient method for tracking topological features in time-varying scalar data. Structures are tracked based on the optimal matching between persistence diagrams with respect to the Wasserstein metric. This…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-01-03 Maxime Soler , Mélanie Plainchault , Bruno Conche , Julien Tierny

Stochastic gradient descent is an optimisation method that combines classical gradient descent with random subsampling within the target functional. In this work, we introduce the stochastic gradient process as a continuous-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Jonas Latz

This paper introduces a novel methodology for the identification of switching dynamics for switched autoregressive linear models. Switching behavior is assumed to follow a Markov model. The system's outputs are contaminated by possibly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-03-28 Sarah Hojjatinia , Constantino M. Lagoa

In this paper, we investigate the problem of system identification for autonomous Markov jump linear systems (MJS) with complete state observations. We propose switched least squares method for identification of MJS, show that this method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Borna Sayedana , Mohammad Afshari , Peter E. Caines , Aditya Mahajan

The primary choice to summarize a finite collection of random objects is by using measures of central tendency, such as mean and median. In the field of optimal transport, the Wasserstein barycenter corresponds to the Fr\'{e}chet or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Kisung You , Dennis Shung , Mauro Giuffrè

Many stochastic physical systems evolve smoothly over time in the sense that the distribution of states changes regularly across time steps. The transition from current state to the next state can often be modeled as the combination of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Jules Berman , Tobias Blickhan , Benjamin Peherstorfer

The performance of mobile ad hoc networks in general and that of the routing algorithm, in particular, can be heavily affected by the intrinsic dynamic nature of the underlying topology. In this paper, we build a new analytical/numerical…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2018-11-09 Arta Cika , Mihai-Alin Badiu , Justin P. Coon

We consider split-step Milstein methods for the solution of stiff stochastic differential equations with an emphasis on systems driven by multi-channel noise. We show their strong order of convergence and investigate mean-square stability…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-11-27 V. Reshniak , A. Q. M. Khaliq , D. A. Voss , G. Zhang

This paper proposes a novel analysis for the Scaffold algorithm, a popular method for dealing with data heterogeneity in federated learning. While its convergence in deterministic settings--where local control variates mitigate client…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-11 Paul Mangold , Alain Durmus , Aymeric Dieuleveut , Eric Moulines

We study the safety verification problem for discrete-time stochastic systems. We propose an approach for safety verification termed set-erosion strategy that verifies the safety of a stochastic system on a safe set through the safety of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-04 Zishun Liu , Saber Jafarpour , Yongxin Chen

We present a simple approach to study the one-dimensional pressureless Euler system via adhesion dynamics in the Wasserstein space of probability measures with finite quadratic moments. Starting from a discrete system of a finite number of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Luca Natile , Giuseppe Savaré