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We introduce a framework for quantifying propagation of uncertainty arising in a dynamic setting. Specifically, we define dynamic uncertainty sets designed explicitly for discrete stochastic processes over a finite time horizon. These…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-05 Marlon Moresco , Mélina Mailhot , Silvana M. Pesenti

We study a generalization of the Brownian bridge as a stochastic process that models the position and velocity of inertial particles between the two end-points of a time interval. The particles experience random acceleration and are assumed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-07-15 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon Georgiou

Random metastability occurs when an externally forced or noisy system possesses more than one state of apparent equilibrium. This work investigates fluctuations in a class of random dynamical systems, arising from randomly perturbing a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Cecilia González-Tokman , Joshua Peters

In this paper, a risk-aware motion control scheme is considered for mobile robots to avoid randomly moving obstacles when the true probability distribution of uncertainty is unknown. We propose a novel model predictive control (MPC) method…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-01-15 Astghik Hakobyan , Insoon Yang

We study a Markov process with two components: the first component evolves according to one of finitely many underlying Markovian dynamics, with a choice of dynamics that changes at the jump times of the second component. The second…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-14 Bertrand Cloez , Martin Hairer

A continuously measured quantum system with multiple jump channels gives rise to a stochastic process described by random jump times and random emitted symbols, representing each jump channel. While much is known about the waiting time…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-06-21 Gabriel T. Landi

The question of optimally approximating an arbitrary probability measure in the Wasserstein distance by a discrete one with uniform weights is considered. Estimates are obtained for the optimal approximation distance, with an explicit rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Benjamin Seeger

Stochastic localization is a pathwise analysis technique originating from convex geometry. This paper explores certain algorithmic aspects of stochastic localization as a computational tool. First, we unify various existing stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Tom Alberts , Yiming Xu , Qiang Ye

We present a novel $Q$-learning algorithm tailored to solve distributionally robust Markov decision problems where the corresponding ambiguity set of transition probabilities for the underlying Markov decision process is a Wasserstein ball…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Ariel Neufeld , Julian Sester

In this technical note, we study the mean square stability-based analysis of stochastic continuous-time linear networked systems. The stochastic uncertainty is assumed to enter multiplicatively in system dynamics through input and output…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-09 Sai Pushpak , Amit Diwadkar , Umesh Vaidya

In this work we investigate gradient estimation for a class of contracting stochastic systems on a continuous state space. We find conditions on the one-step transitions, namely differentiability and contraction in a Wasserstein distance,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-25 Thomas Flynn

We provide a general steady-state diffusion approximation result which bounds the Wasserstein distance between the reversible measure $\mu$ of a diffusion process and the measure $\nu$ of an approximating Markov chain. Our result is…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-15 Thomas Bonis

The quadratic Wasserstein metric has shown its power in measuring the difference between probability densities, which benefits optimization objective function with better convexity and is insensitive to data noise. Nevertheless, it is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-28 Zhengyang Li , Yijia Tang , Jing Chen , Hao Wu

We provide quantitative bounds for the long time behavior of a class of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes with state space Rd \times E where E is a finite set. The continuous component evolves according to a smooth vector field that…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-07 Michel Benaïm , Stéphane Le Borgne , Florent Malrieu , Pierre-André Zitt

A generalization of the Wasserstein metric, the integrated transportation distance, establishes a novel distance between probability kernels of Markov systems. This metric serves as the foundation for an efficient approximation technique,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Zhengqi Lin , Andrzej Ruszczynski

We consider a stochastic process driven by a diffusion and jumps. We devise a technique, which is based on a discrete record of observations, for identifying the times when jumps larger than a suitably defined threshold occurred. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cecilia Mancini

This paper conducts sensitivity analysis of random constraint and variational systems related to stochastic optimization and variational inequalities. We establish efficient conditions for well-posedness, in the sense of robust Lipschitzian…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-13 Boris S. Mordukhovich , Pedro Pérez-Aros

In this paper, we consider the problem of propagating an uncertain distribution by a possibly non-linear function and quantifying the resulting uncertainty. We measure the uncertainty using the Wasserstein distance, and for a given input…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-13 Eduardo Figueiredo , Steven Adams , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Luca Laurenti

This work introduces a general framework for establishing the long time accuracy for approximations of Markovian dynamical systems on separable Banach spaces. Our results illuminate the role that a certain uniformity in Wasserstein…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-02-06 Nathan E. Glatt-Holtz , Cecilia F. Mondaini

In this work we study systems consisting of a group of moving particles. In such systems, often some important parameters are unknown and have to be estimated from observed data. Such parameter estimation problems can often be solved via a…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-11 Chen Cheng , Linjie Wen , Jinglai Li
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