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We study the asymptotic behavior of a multidimensional random walk in a general cone. We find the tail asymptotics for the exit time and prove integral and local limit theorems for a random walk conditioned to stay in a cone. The main step…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-04 Denis Denisov , Vitali Wachtel

We consider a random walk on $\R^d$ in a polynomially mixing random environment that is refreshed at each time step. We use a martingale approach to give a necessary and sufficient condition for the almost-sure functional central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-14 Mathew Joseph , Firas Rassoul-Agha

We construct a renewal structure for random walks on surface groups. The renewal times are defined as times when the random walks enters a particular type of a cone and never leaves it again. As a consequence, the trajectory of the random…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-16 Peter Haissinsky , Pierre Mathieu , Sebastian Mueller

In this paper we consider a compound Poisson risk model with regularly varying claim sizes. For this model in [1] an asymptotic formula for the finite time ruin probability is provided when the time is scaled by the mean excess function. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Søren Asmussen , Dominik Kortschak

Let $(X_n)_{n\geq 0}$ be a Markov chain with values in a finite state space $\mathbb X$ starting at $X_0=x \in \mathbb X$ and let $f$ be a real function defined on $\mathbb X$. Set $S_n=\sum_{k=1}^{n} f(X_k)$, $n\geqslant 1$. For any $y \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-20 Ion Grama , Ronan Lauvergnat , Emile Le Page

In this paper we consider a stochastic process that may experience random reset events which bring suddenly the system to the starting value and analyze the relevant statistical magnitudes. We focus our attention on monotonous…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-01-21 Miquel Montero , Javier Villarroel

The well-scaled transition to the diffusion limit in the framework of the theory of continuous-time random walk (CTRW)is presented starting from its representation as an infinite series that points out the subordinated character of the CTRW…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Rudolf Gorenflo , Francesco Mainardi , Alessandro Vivoli

This paper presents a novel model for bivariate stochastic fluid processes that incorporate a ruin-dependent behavioral switch. Unlike typical models that assume a shared underlying process, our model allows each process to operate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Hamed Amini , Andreea Minca , Oscar Peralta

For two nonstandard renewal risk models, we investigate the precise large deviations of the finite-time ruin probability and a random sum of the net-loss process, and the asymptotics of the random-time ruin probability. Notably, in one of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-11 Yang Chen , Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

The upper extremes of a Markov chain with regulary varying stationary marginal distribution are known to exhibit under general conditions a multiplicative random walk structure called the tail chain. More generally, if the Markov chain is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Johan Segers

We consider random walks with finite second moment which drifts to $-\infty$ and have heavy tail. We focus on the events when the minimum and the final value of this walk belong to some compact set. We first specify the associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-12 Vincent Bansaye , Vladimir Vatutin

Using the language of regular variation, we give a sufficient condition for a point process to be in the superposition domain of attraction of a strictly stable point process. This sufficient condition is then used to obtain an explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-27 Ayan Bhattacharya , Rajat Subhra Hazra , Parthanil Roy

We investigate the effects of markovian resseting events on continuous time random walks where the waiting times and the jump lengths are random variables distributed according to power law probability density functions. We prove the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-10 Vicenç Méndez , Axel Masó-Puigdellosas , Trifce Sandev , Daniel Campos

This paper explores a conditional Gibbs theorem for a random walkinduced by i.i.d. (X_{1},..,X_{n}) conditioned on an extreme deviation of its sum (S_{1}^{n}=na_{n}) or (S_{1}^{n}>na_{n}) where a_{n}\rightarrow\infty. It is proved that when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-04 Michel Broniatowski , Zhansheng Cao

In this paper, we obtain the finite-horizon and infinite-horizon ruin probability asymptotics for risk processes with claims of subexponential tails for non-stationary arrival processes that satisfy a large deviation principle. As a result,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-16 Lingjiong Zhu

Motivated by applications to COVID dynamics, we describe a branching process in random environments model $\{Z_n\}$ whose characteristics change when crossing upper and lower thresholds. This introduces a cyclical path behavior involving…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Giacomo Francisci , Anand N. Vidyashankar

We develop a martingale approximation approach to studying the limiting behavior of quadratic forms of Markov chains. We use the technique to examine the asymptotic behavior of lag-window estimators in time series and we apply the results…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-16 Yves F. Atchade , Matias D. Cattaneo

The rotor-router model is a deterministic process analogous to a simple random walk on a graph. This paper is concerned with a generalized model, functional-router model, which imitates a Markov chain possibly containing irrational…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2015-08-12 Takeharu Shiraga , Yukiko Yamauchi , Shuji Kijima , Masafumi Yamashita

We consider continuous time risk processes in which the claim sizes are dependent and non-identically distributed phase-type distributions. The class of distributions we propose is easy to characterize and allows to incorporate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-28 Oscar Peralta , Matthieu Simon

We explicitly compute the limiting transient distribution of the search-cost in the move-to-front Markov chain when the number of objects tends to infinity, for general families of deterministic or random request rates. Our techniques are…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-30 Javiera Barrera , Joaquín Fontbona
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