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The aim of this paper is to approximate a finite-state Markov process by another process with fewer states, called herein the approximating process. The approximation problem is formulated using two different methods. The first method,…

Using the results of precise large deviation and renewal theory for widely dependent random variables, this paper obtains the asymptotic estimation of the random-time ruin probability and the uniform asymptotic estimation of finite-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Yang Chen , Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

We estimate the distance in total variation between the law of a finite state Markov process at time t, starting from a given initial measure, and its unique invariant measure. We derive upper bounds for the time to reach the equilibrium.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Pierre MATHIEU , Pierre PICCO

We consider a certain sequence of random walks. The state space of the n-th random walk is the set of all strict partitions of n (that is, partitions without equal parts). We prove that, as n goes to infinity, these random walks converge to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-16 Leonid Petrov

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the survival probability of a multitype branching process in random environment. The class of processes we consider here corresponds, in the one-dimensional situation, to the strongly subcritical case.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Vladimir Vatutin , Vitali Wachtel

The paper deals with a new class of random walks strictly connected with the Pareto distribution. We consider stochastic processes in the sense of generalized convolution or weak generalized convolution following the idea given in [1]. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-02 Barbara H. Jasiulis-Gołdyn

As a model of trapping by biased motion in random structure, we study the time taken for a biased random walk to return to the root of a subcritical Galton-Watson tree. We do so for trees in which these biases are randomly chosen,…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-24 Gerard Ben Arous , Alan Hammond

In this article, we consider a Branching Random Walk on the real line. The genealogical structure is assumed to be given through a supercritical branching process in the i.i.d. environment and satisfies the Kesten-Stigum condition. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-02 Ayan Bhattacharya , Zbigniew Palmowski

We consider a Markov jump process on a general state space to which we apply a time-dependent weak perturbation over a finite time interval. By martingale-based stochastic calculus, under a suitable exponential moment bound for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Alessandra Faggionato , Vittoria Silvestri

For a continuous-time random walk $X=\{X_t,t\ge 0\}$ (in general non-Markov), we study the asymptotic behavior, as $t\rightarrow \infty$, of the normalized additive functional $c_t\int_0^{t} f(X_s)ds$, $t\ge 0$. Similarly to the Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Yuri Kondratiev , Yuliya Mishura , Georgiy Shevchenko

In arXiv:1609.05666v1 [math.PR] a functional limit theorem was proved. It states that symmetric processes associated with resistance metric measure spaces converge when the underlying spaces converge with respect to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-30 George Andriopoulos

We consider a random walk on a multidimensional integer lattice with random bounds on local times, conditioned on the event that it hits a high level before its death. We introduce an auxiliary "core" process that has a regenerative…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-19 Sergey Foss , Alexander Sakhanenko

Markov branching systems form a fundamental class of stochastic models that are extensively applied in biology, physics, finance, and other domains. These systems are distinguished by their continuous-time evolution and inherent branching…

The extremal behaviour of a Markov chain is typically characterized by its tail chain. For asymptotically dependent Markov chains existing formulations fail to capture the full evolution of the extreme event when the chain moves out of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-07 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Kirstin Strokorb , Jonathan A. Tawn , Adam Butler

We consider a branching random walk in the non-boundary case where the additive martingale $W_n$ converges a.s. and in mean to some non-degenerate limit $W_\infty$. We first establish the joint tail distribution of $W_\infty$ and the global…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-23 Xinxin Chen , Loïc de Raphélis , Heng Ma

We study a variable length Markov chain model associated with a group of stationary processes that share the same context tree but each process has potentially different conditional probabilities. We propose a new model selection and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-01 Alexandre Belloni , Roberto I. Oliveira

In this article, we generalize the recent Discrete Time Random Walk (DTRW) algorithm, which was introduced for the computation of probability densities of fractional diffusion. Although it has the same computational complexity and shares…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-08-20 Gurtek Gill , Peter Straka

We study a branching random walk with independent and identically distributed, heavy tailed displacements. The offspring law is supercritical and satisfies the Kesten-Stigum condition. We treat the case when the law of the displacements…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-30 Ayan Bhattacharya , Piotr Dyszewski , Nina Gantert , Zbigniew Palmowski

Random walk in random environment (RWRE) is a fundamental model of statistical mechanics, describing the movement of a particle in a highly disordered and inhomogeneous medium as a random walk with random jump probabilities. It has been…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-11 Alexander Drewitz , Alejandro F. Ramírez

We study the large-time asymptotic of renewal-reward processes with a heavy-tailed waiting time distribution. It is known that the heavy tail of the distribution produces an extremely slow dynamics, resulting in a singular large deviation…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-01-05 Hiroshi Horii , Raphael Lefevere , Takahiro Nemoto
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