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This paper proposes a method to detect change points in dynamic social networks using Fr\'echet statistics. We address two main questions: (1) what metric can quantify the distances between graph Laplacians in a dynamic network and enable…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Rui Luo , Vikram Krishnamurthy

We propose a novel and efficient method, that we shall call TopRank in the following paper, for detecting change-points in high-dimensional data. This issue is of growing concern to the network security community since network anomalies…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-18 Céline Lévy-Leduc , François Roueff

Changepoint detection is commonly formulated by minimizing the sum of in-sample losses to quantify the model's overall fit. However, for flexible modeling procedures -- especially those involving high-dimensional parameter spaces or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Chengde Qian , Guanghui Wang , Zhaojun Wang , Changliang Zou

Information diffusion in online social networks is affected by the underlying network topology, but it also has the power to change it. Online users are constantly creating new links when exposed to new information sources, and in turn…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-04-04 Mehrdad Farajtabar , Yichen Wang , Manuel Gomez Rodriguez , Shuang Li , Hongyuan Zha , Le Song

Detection of change-points in a sequence of high-dimensional observations is a very challenging problem, and this becomes even more challenging when the sample size (i.e., the sequence length) is small. In this article, we propose some…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Trisha Dawn , Angshuman Roy , Alokesh Manna , Anil K. Ghosh

Functional data analysis, which models data as realizations of random functions over a continuum, has emerged as a useful tool for time series data. Often, the goal is to infer the dynamic connections (or time-varying conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Chunshan Liu , Daniel R. Kowal , James Doss-Gollin , Marina Vannucci

Transition points mark qualitative changes in the macroscopic properties of large complex systems. Explosive transitions, exhibiting properties of both continuous and discontinuous phase transitions, have recently been uncovered in network…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-01 Nora Molkenthin , Malte Schröder , Marc Timme

We propose the first Bayesian methods for detecting change points in high-dimensional mean and covariance structures. These methods are constructed using pairwise Bayes factors, leveraging modularization to identify significant changes in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-25 Jaehoon Kim , Kyoungjae Lee , Lizhen Lin

Topological data analysis (TDA) provides a set of data analysis tools for extracting embedded topological structures from complex high-dimensional datasets. In recent years, TDA has been a rapidly growing field which has found success in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-09 Xiaojun Zheng , Simon Mak , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie

This paper proposes a novel methodology for the online detection of changepoints in the factor structure of large matrix time series. Our approach is based on the well-known fact that, in the presence of a changepoint, a factor model can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-28 Yong He , Xin-bing Kong , Lorenzo Trapani , Long Yu

In multiple change-point problems, different data segments often follow different distributions, for which the changes may occur in the mean, scale or the entire distribution from one segment to another. Without the need to know the number…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-29 Changliang Zou , Guosheng Yin , Long Feng , Zhaojun Wang

We introduce a novel Bayesian method that can detect multiple structural breaks in the mean and variance of a length $T$ time-series. Our method quantifies uncertainty by returning $\alpha$-level credible sets around the estimated locations…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 Davis Berlind , Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

In the world, in which acceptance and the identification with social communities are highly desired, the ability to predict evolution of groups over time appears to be a vital but very complex research problem. Therefore, we propose a new,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Stanisław Saganowski , Piotr Bródka , Michał Koziarski , Przemysław Kazienko

Networks are widely used in the biological, physical, and social sciences as a concise mathematical representation of the topology of systems of interacting components. Understanding the structure of these networks is one of the outstanding…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-06-21 M. E. J. Newman , E. A. Leicht

Change point analysis has applications in a wide variety of fields. The general problem concerns the inference of a change in distribution for a set of time-ordered observations. Sequential detection is an online version in which new data…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-16 David S. Matteson , Nicholas A. James

Networks observed in real world like social networks, collaboration networks etc., exhibit temporal dynamics, i.e. nodes and edges appear and/or disappear over time. In this paper, we propose a generative, latent space based, statistical…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-11-08 Shubham Gupta , Gaurav Sharma , Ambedkar Dukkipati

Cascading chains of events are a salient feature of many real-world social, biological, and financial networks. In social networks, social reciprocity accounts for retaliations in gang interactions, proxy wars in nation-state conflicts, or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-05 Eric C. Hall , Rebecca M. Willett

This paper introduces a novel Bayesian approach to detect changes in the variance of a Gaussian sequence model, focusing on quantifying the uncertainty in the change point locations and providing a scalable algorithm for inference. Such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

To quantify the fundamental evolution of time-varying networks, and detect abnormal behavior, one needs a notion of temporal difference that captures significant organizational changes between two successive instants. In this work, we…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-08-17 Nathan D Monnig , Francois G Meyer

High-dimensional streaming data are becoming increasingly ubiquitous in many fields. They often lie in multiple low-dimensional subspaces, and the manifold structures may change abruptly on the time scale due to pattern shift or occurrence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-13 Ruiyu Xu , Jianguo Wu , Xiaowei Yue , Yongxiang Li
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