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Real-world complex systems such as ecological communities and neuron networks are essential parts of our everyday lives. These systems are composed of units which interact through intricate networks. The ability to predict sudden changes in…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-07-05 Deniz Eroglu , Matteo Tanzi , Sebastian van Strien , Tiago Pereira

Change-point detection has garnered significant attention due to its broad range of applications, including epidemic disease outbreaks, social network evolution, image analysis, and wireless communications. In an online setting, where new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-26 Zihan Wang

The design of reliable indicators to anticipate critical transitions in complex systems is an im portant task in order to detect a coming sudden regime shift and to take action in order to either prevent it or mitigate its consequences. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-14 Martin Heßler , Oliver Kamps

$Anomaly$ $detection$ problems (also called $change$-$point$ $detection$ problems) have been studied in data mining, statistics and computer science over the last several decades in applications such as medical condition monitoring and…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-12-23 Bhaskar DasGupta , Mano Vikash Janardhanan , Farzane Yahyanejad

Large-scale online campaigns, malicious or otherwise, require a significant degree of coordination among participants, which sparked interest in the study of coordinated online behavior. State-of-the-art methods for detecting coordinated…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Serena Tardelli , Leonardo Nizzoli , Maurizio Tesconi , Mauro Conti , Preslav Nakov , Giovanni Da San Martino , Stefano Cresci

We introduce a new class of latent process models for dynamic relational network data with the goal of detecting time-dependent structure. Network data are often observed over time, and static network models for such data may fail to…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-15 Lucy F. Robinson , Carey E. Priebe

Social learning algorithms provide models for the formation of opinions over social networks resulting from local reasoning and peer-to-peer exchanges. Interactions occur over an underlying graph topology, which describes the flow of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-15 Valentina Shumovskaia , Konstantinos Ntemos , Stefan Vlaski , Ali H. Sayed

The interaction among spreading processes on a complex network is a nontrivial phenomenon of great importance. It has recently been realized that cooperative effects among infective diseases can give rise to qualitative changes in the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-25 Byungjoon Min , Claudio Castellano

We study the problem of online network change point detection. In this setting, a collection of independent Bernoulli networks is collected sequentially, and the underlying distributions change when a change point occurs. The goal is to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-15 Yi Yu , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

An important task in network analysis is the detection of anomalous events in a network time series. These events could merely be times of interest in the network timeline or they could be examples of malicious activity or network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-08-03 Timothy La Fond , Jennifer Neville , Brian Gallagher

While there have been a lot of recent developments in the context of Bayesian model selection and variable selection for high dimensional linear models, there is not much work in the presence of change point in literature, unlike the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-26 Nilabja Guha , Jyotishka Datta

Complex networks, modeled as large graphs, received much attention during these last years. However, data on such networks is only available through intricate measurement procedures. Until recently, most studies assumed that these…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Matthieu Latapy , Clemence Magnien

We propose a method to infer the presence and location of change-points in the distribution of a sequence of independent data taking values in a general metric space, where change-points are viewed as locations at which the distribution of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-15 Paromita Dubey , Hans-Georg Müller

We consider change-point estimation in a sequence of high-dimensional signals given noisy observations. Classical approaches to this problem such as the filtered derivative method are useful for sequences of scalar-valued signals, but they…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-08 Yong Sheng Soh , Venkat Chandrasekaran

This paper considers the problem of detecting topology variations in dynamical networks. We consider a network whose behavior can be represented via a linear dynamical system. The problem of interest is then that of finding conditions under…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-04-17 G. Battistelli , P. Tesi

We consider the offline change point detection and localization problem in the context of piecewise stationary networks, where the observable is a finite sequence of networks. We develop algorithms involving some suitably modified CUSUM…

This paper is concerned with the estimation of time-varying networks for high-dimensional nonstationary time series. Two types of dynamic behaviors are considered: structural breaks (i.e., abrupt change points) and smooth changes. To…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Mengyu Xu , Xiaohui Chen , Wei Biao Wu

We provide an overview of the state-of-the-art in the area of sequential change-point detection assuming discrete time and known pre- and post-change distributions. The overview spans over all major formulations of the underlying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-21 Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

Interactive networks representing user participation and interactions in specific "events" are highly dynamic, with communities reflecting collective behaviors that evolve over time. Predicting these community evolutions is crucial for…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Yanmei Hu , Yihang Wu , Biao Cai

Differential equations are a ubiquitous tool to study dynamics, ranging from physical systems to complex systems, where a large number of agents interact through a graph with non-trivial topological features. Data-driven approximations of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-26 Vaiva Vasiliauskaite , Nino Antulov-Fantulin
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