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Seasonal influenza is a significant public health concern in the United States and globally. While influenza vaccines are the single most effective intervention to reduce influenza morbidity and mortality, there is considerable debate…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-01-07 Eric Mooring , Shweta Bansal

The dynamics of strongly immunizing childhood infections is still not well understood. Although reports of successful modeling of several incidence data records can be found in the literature, the key determinants of the observed temporal…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-09 Ganna Rozhnova , Ana Nunes

Co-infecting parasites and pathogens remain a leading challenge for global public health due to their consequences for individual-level infection risk and disease progression. However, a clear understanding of the population-level…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-05 Erin E. Gorsich , Rampal S. Etienne , Jan Medlock , Brianna R. Beechler , Johannie M. Spaan , Robert S. Spaan , Vanessa O. Ezenwa , Anna E. Jolles

Here we treat the transmission of disease through a population as a standard Galton-Watson branching process, modified to take the presence of vaccination into account. Vaccination reduces the number of secondary infections produced per…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-15 Arni S. R. Srinivasa Rao , Chris T. Bauch

We model the impact of local vaccine mandates on the spread of vaccine-preventable infectious diseases, which in the absence of vaccines will mainly affect children. Examples of such diseases are measles, rubella, mumps and pertussis. To…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-29 Maddalena Donà , Pieter Trapman

Incidence of whooping cough, an infection caused by Bordetella pertussis and Bordetella parapertussis, has been on the rise since the 1980s in many countries. Immunological interactions, such as immune boosting and cross-immunity between…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-08-30 Tiffany Leung , Barry D. Hughes , Federico Frascoli , James M. McCaw

This paper investigates the effects of vaccination on the dynamics of infectious disease, which is spreading in a population concurrently with awareness. The model considers contributions to the overall awareness from a global information…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-14 G. O. Agaba , Y. N. Kyrychko , K. B. Blyuss

Despite high vaccine coverage, pertussis has re-emerged as a public health concern in many countries. One hypothesis posed for re-emergence is the waning of immunity. In some disease systems, the process of waning immunity can be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-10 Tiffany Leung , Barry D Hughes , Federico Frascoli , Patricia T Campbell , James M McCaw

Motivated by the increasing number of COVID-19 cases that have been observed in many countries after the vaccination and relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions, we propose a mathematical model on time-varying networks for the spread…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-09 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

The waning of immunity after recovery or vaccination is a major factor accounting for the severity and prolonged duration of an array of epidemics, ranging from COVID-19 to diphtheria and pertussis. To study the effectiveness of different…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-02-01 Shoshana Elgart

A cholera transmission model incorporating water-borne and horizontal transmissions as well as infectivity of deceased individuals is formulated and studied. The model also describes an imperfect and waning vaccination. Global stability of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-11 Abdramane Annour Saad , Julien Arino , Patrick M Tchepmo Djomegni , Mahamat S Daoussa Haggar

We investigate stochastic extinction in an epidemic model and the impact of random vaccinations in large populations. We show that, in the absence of vaccinations, the effective entropic barrier for extinction displays scaling with the…

Biological Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Mark Dykman , Ira B. Schwartz , Alexandra S. Landsman

Influenza is a contagious respiratory illness that causes significant human morbidity and mortality, affecting 5-15% of the population in a typical epidemic season. Human influenza epidemics are caused by types A and B, with roughly 25% of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-14 Yidan Pan , Michael W. Deem

Vaccination is essential for the management of infectious diseases, many of which continue to pose devastating public health and economic challenges across the world. However, many vaccines are imperfect having only a partial protective…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-04 Hetsron L. Nyandjo-Bamen , Jean Marie Ntaganda , Aurelien Tellier , Olivier Menoukeu-Pamen

The rapid outbreak of bird flu challenges the outcome of effective vaccine for the upcoming years. The recent research established different norms to eliminate flu pandemics. This can be made possible with skilled experimental analyses and…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-06 Baby Jerald , T. R. Gopalakrishnan Nair

This work consists of an epidemic model with vaccination coupled with an opinion dynamics. Our objective was to study how disease risk perception can influence opinions about vaccination and therefore the spreading of the disease.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-20 Marcelo A. Pires , André L. Oestereich , Nuno Crokidakis

We examine here the effects of recurrent vaccination and waning immunity on the establishment of an endemic equilibrium in a population. An individual-based model that incorporates memory effects for transmission rate during infection and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-22 Félix Foutel-Rodier , Arthur Charpentier , Hélène Guérin

This is an epidemiological SIRV model based study that is designed to analyze the impact of vaccination in containing infection spread, in a 4-tiered population compartment comprised of susceptible, infected, recovered and vaccinated…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-14 Ewa Grela , Michael Stich , Amit K Chattopadhyay

In the face of serious infectious diseases, governments endeavour to implement containment measures such as public vaccination at a macroscopic level. Meanwhile, individuals tend to protect themselves by avoiding contacts with infections at…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-10-20 Xiao-Long Peng , Xin-Jian Xu , Michael Small , Xinchu Fu , Zhen Jin

Population heterogeneity, especially in individuals' contact networks, plays an important role in transmission dynamics of infectious diseases. For vaccine-preventable diseases, outstanding issues like vaccine hesitancy and availability of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-12-29 Alina Glaubitz , Feng Fu
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