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Epidemic branching processes with and without vaccination

Probability 2021-06-15 v1

Abstract

Here we treat the transmission of disease through a population as a standard Galton-Watson branching process, modified to take the presence of vaccination into account. Vaccination reduces the number of secondary infections produced per infected individual. We show that introducing vaccination in a population therefore reduces the expected time to extinction of the infection. We also prove results relating the distribution of number of secondery infections with and without vaccinations.

Cite

@article{arxiv.math/0604607,
  title  = {Epidemic branching processes with and without vaccination},
  author = {Arni S. R. Srinivasa Rao and Chris T. Bauch},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:math/0604607},
  year   = {2021}
}

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17 pages