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We study design-unbiased estimation of the finite-population total $\sum_{i=1}^N y_i$ when each outcome satisfies known bounds $y_i\in[a_i,b_i]$. For any sampling design with inclusion probabilities $\pi_i>0$, we prove a sharp lower bound…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-21 P. M. Aronow , Patrick Lopatto

In this article asymptotic expressions for the final prediction error (FPE) and the accumulated prediction error (APE) of the least squares predictor are obtained in regression models with nonstationary regressors. It is shown that the term…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ching-Kang Ing , Chor-Yiu Sin

Most high-dimensional estimation and prediction methods propose to minimize a cost function (empirical risk) that is written as a sum of losses associated to each data point. In this paper we focus on the case of non-convex losses, which is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-17 Song Mei , Yu Bai , Andrea Montanari

We discuss stability for a class of learning algorithms with respect to noisy labels. The algorithms we consider are for regression, and they involve the minimization of regularized risk functionals, such as L(f) := 1/N sum_i…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Cynthia Rudin

We propose a "small-uniform" statistic for the inference of the functional PCA estimator in a functional linear regression model. The literature has shown two extreme behaviors: on the one hand, the FPCA estimator does not converge in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Raymond C. W. Leung , Yu-Man Tam

Estimating linear, mean-square continuous functionals is a pivotal challenge in statistics. In high-dimensional contexts, this estimation is often performed under the assumption of exact model sparsity, meaning that only a small number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-04 Jelena Bradic , Victor Chernozhukov , Whitney K. Newey , Yinchu Zhu

We establish a new concentration result for regularized risk minimizers which is similar to an oracle inequality. Applying this inequality to regularized least squares minimizers like least squares support vector machines, we show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ingo Steinwart , Don Hush , Clint Scovel

In various applied areas such as reliability engineering, molecular biology, finance, etc., the measure of uncertainty of a probability distribution plays an important role. In the present work, we consider the estimation of a function of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-09 Lakshmi Kanta Patra , Shrajal Bajpai , Neeraj Misra

We propose a general methodology for the construction and analysis of minimax estimators for a wide class of functionals of finite dimensional parameters, and elaborate on the case of discrete distributions, where the alphabet size $S$ is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-11 Jiantao Jiao , Kartik Venkat , Yanjun Han , Tsachy Weissman

This work considers the problem of binary classification: given training data $x_1, \dots, x_n$ from a certain population, together with associated labels $y_1,\dots, y_n \in \left\{0,1 \right\}$, determine the best label for an element $x$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-04 Nicolas Garcia Trillos , Ryan Murray

Theoretically, the conditional expectation of a square-integrable random variable $Y$ given a $d$-dimensional random vector $X$ can be obtained by minimizing the mean squared distance between $Y$ and $f(X)$ over all Borel measurable…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-22 Patrick Cheridito , Balint Gersey

Many convex optimization problems with important applications in machine learning are formulated as empirical risk minimization (ERM). There are several examples: linear and logistic regression, LASSO, kernel regression, quantile…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Song Bian , Zhao Song , Junze Yin

Empirical risk minimization stands behind most optimization in supervised machine learning. Under this scheme, labeled data is used to approximate an expected cost (risk), and a learning algorithm updates model-defining parameters in search…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-25 James Schmidt

In approximation of functions based on point values, least-squares methods provide more stability than interpolation, at the expense of increasing the sampling budget. We show that near-optimal approximation error can nevertheless be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Abdellah Chkifa , Matthieu Dolbeault

Estimation problems with constrained parameter spaces arise in various settings. In many of these problems, the observations available to the statistician can be modelled as arising from the noisy realization of the image of a random linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Reese Pathak , Martin J. Wainwright , Lin Xiao

This paper has two main goals: (a) establish several statistical properties---consistency, asymptotic distributions, and convergence rates---of stationary solutions and values of a class of coupled nonconvex and nonsmoothempirical risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-08 Zhengling Qi , Ying Cui , Yufeng Liu , Jong-Shi Pang

This paper studies empirical risk minimization (ERM) problems for large-scale datasets and incorporates the idea of adaptive sample size methods to improve the guaranteed convergence bounds for first-order stochastic and deterministic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-05 Aryan Mokhtari , Alejandro Ribeiro

We characterize the squared prediction risk of ensemble estimators obtained through subagging (subsample bootstrap aggregating) regularized M-estimators and construct a consistent estimator for the risk. Specifically, we consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Takuya Koriyama , Pratik Patil , Jin-Hong Du , Kai Tan , Pierre C. Bellec

Uniform convergence of empirical norms - empirical measures of squared functions - is a topic which has received considerable attention in the literature on empirical processes. The results are relevant as empirical norms occur due to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-22 Sara van de Geer

In the regression model with errors in variables, we observe $n$ i.i.d. copies of $(Y,Z)$ satisfying $Y=f_{\theta^0}(X)+\xi$ and $Z=X+\epsilon$ involving independent and unobserved random variables $X,\xi,\epsilon$ plus a regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Cristina Butucea , Marie-Luce Taupin
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