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Let $(Y,X_1,...,X_m)$ be a random vector. It is desired to predict $Y$ based on $(X_1,...,X_m)$. Examples of prediction methods are regression, classification using logistic regression or separating hyperplanes, and so on. We consider the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Eitan Greenshtein

We propose a general theorem providing upper bounds for the risk of an empirical risk minimizer (ERM).We essentially focus on the binary classification framework. We extend Tsybakov's analysis of the risk of an ERM under margin type…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Pascal Massart , Élodie Nédélec

The inferential models (IM) framework provides prior-free, frequency-calibrated, posterior probabilistic inference. The key is the use of random sets to predict unobservable auxiliary variables connected to the observable data and unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Ryan Martin , Chuanhai Liu

Machine learning models have exhibited exceptional results in various domains. The most prevalent approach for learning is the empirical risk minimizer (ERM), which adapts the model's weights to reduce the loss on a training set and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Koby Bibas

While mixture of linear regressions (MLR) is a well-studied topic, prior works usually do not analyze such models for prediction error. In fact, {\em prediction} and {\em loss} are not well-defined in the context of mixtures. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-27 Avishek Ghosh , Arya Mazumdar , Soumyabrata Pal , Rajat Sen

The theoretical and empirical performance of Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) often suffers when loss functions are poorly behaved with large Lipschitz moduli and spurious sharp minimizers. We propose and analyze a counterpart to ERM…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-08 Matthew Norton , Johannes O. Royset

In this work, we establish risk bounds for the Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) with both dependent and heavy-tailed data-generating processes. We do so by extending the seminal works of Mendelson [Men15, Men18] on the analysis of ERM with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Abhishek Roy , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Murat A. Erdogdu

We present the first mini-batch algorithm for maximizing a non-negative monotone decomposable submodular function, $F=\sum_{i=1}^N f^i$, under a set of constraints. We consider two sampling approaches: uniform and weighted. We first show…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-03 Gregory Schwartzman

The observations in many applications consist of counts of discrete events, such as photons hitting a detector, which cannot be effectively modeled using an additive bounded or Gaussian noise model, and instead require a Poisson noise…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-10-13 Zachary T. Harmany , Roummel F. Marcia , Rebecca M. Willett

We study a class of iterated empirical risk minimization (ERM) procedures in which two successive ERMs are performed on the same dataset, and the predictions of the first estimator enter as an argument in the loss function of the second.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-02 Hugo Cui , Yue M. Lu

In this paper, we present a simple analysis of {\bf fast rates} with {\it high probability} of {\bf empirical minimization} for {\it stochastic composite optimization} over a finite-dimensional bounded convex set with exponential concave…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-12 Tianbao Yang , Zhe Li , Lijun Zhang

We consider the sparsification of sums $F : \mathbb{R}^n \to \mathbb{R}$ where $F(x) = f_1(\langle a_1,x\rangle) + \cdots + f_m(\langle a_m,x\rangle)$ for vectors $a_1,\ldots,a_m \in \mathbb{R}^n$ and functions $f_1,\ldots,f_m : \mathbb{R}…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Arun Jambulapati , James R. Lee , Yang P. Liu , Aaron Sidford

The aim of this paper is to extend worst risk minimization, also called worst average loss minimization, to the functional realm. This means finding a functional regression representation that will be robust to future distribution shifts on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Philip Kennerberg , Ernst C. Wit

We study a marginal empirical likelihood approach in scenarios when the number of variables grows exponentially with the sample size. The marginal empirical likelihood ratios as functions of the parameters of interest are systematically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-07 Jinyuan Chang , Cheng Yong Tang , Yichao Wu

Although there exist plentiful theories of empirical risk minimization (ERM) for supervised learning, current theoretical understandings of ERM for a related problem---stochastic convex optimization (SCO), are limited. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-08 Lijun Zhang , Tianbao Yang , Rong Jin

We study inference with a small labeled sample, a large unlabeled sample, and high-quality predictions from an external model. We link prediction-powered inference with empirical likelihood by stacking supervised estimating equations based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-19 Guanghui Wang , Mengtao Wen , Changliang Zou

It is well known that Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) may attain minimax suboptimal rates in terms of the mean squared error (Birg\'e and Massart, 1993). In this paper, we prove that, under relatively mild assumptions, the suboptimality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Gil Kur , Eli Putterman , Alexander Rakhlin

We consider the problem of robustly predicting as well as the best linear combination of $d$ given functions in least squares regression, and variants of this problem including constraints on the parameters of the linear combination. For…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

We study recovery of piecewise-constant signals on graphs by the estimator minimizing an $l_0$-edge-penalized objective. Although exact minimization of this objective may be computationally intractable, we show that the same statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-29 Zhou Fan , Leying Guan

We study Empirical Risk Minimizers (ERM) and Regularized Empirical Risk Minimizers (RERM) for regression problems with convex and $L$-Lipschitz loss functions. We consider a setting where $|\cO|$ malicious outliers contaminate the labels.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-28 Geoffrey Chinot
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