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Related papers: Frequentist confidence intervals for orbits

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We study the frequentist properties of confidence intervals computed by the method known to statisticians as the Profile Likelihood. It is seen that the coverage of these intervals is surprisingly good over a wide range of possible…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Wolfgang A. Rolke , Angel M. Lopez , Jan Conrad

By representing the range of fair betting odds according to a pair of confidence set estimators, dual probability measures on parameter space called frequentist posteriors secure the coherence of subjective inference without any prior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-02 David R. Bickel

Confidence intervals are an established means of portraying uncertainty about an inferred parameter and can be generated through the use of confidence distributions. For a confidence distribution to be ideal, it must maintain frequentist…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-16 Alexander Wimbush , Nicholas Gray , Scott Ferson

Confidence intervals for a binomial parameter or for the ratio of Poisson means are commonly desired in high energy physics (HEP) applications such as measuring a detection efficiency or branching ratio. Due to the discreteness of the data,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-12-23 Robert D. Cousins , Kathryn E. Hymes , Jordan Tucker

Here we show how to determine the orbital parameters of a system composed of a star and N companions (that can be planets, brown-dwarfs or other stars), using a simple Fourier analysis of the radial velocity data of the star. This method…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-08-01 Alexandre C. M. Correia

In this review, we summarize the observed statistical properties of visual binaries in various young stellar clusters. The binary frequency, orbital period distribution and mass ratio distribution are considered for populations of both…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 G. Duchene , J. Bouvier , J. Eisloffel , T. Simon

The original frequentist approach for computing confidence intervals involves the construction of the confidence belt which provides a mapping of the observation in data into a subset of values for the parameter. There are different…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-01-18 Kristian Damlund Gregersen , Jørgen Beck Hansen

We present orbital elements for twenty-two single-line binaries, nine of them studied for the first time, determined from a joint spectroscopic and astrometric solution. The astrometry is based on interferometric measurements obtained with…

Binary stars plays important role in the evolution of stellar populations . The intrinsic binary fraction ($f_{bin}$) of O and B-type (OB) stars in LAMOST DR5 was investigated in this work. We employed a cross-correlation approach to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-01-05 Feng Luo , Yong-Heng Zhao , Jiao Li , Yan-Jun Guo , Chao Liu

Context: New spectroscopic surveys will increase the number of astronomical objects requiring characterization by over tenfold.. Machine learning tools are required to address this data deluge in a fast and accurate fashion. Most machine…

Orbits of 44 close and fast visual binaries are computed using the latest speckle observations; 23 orbits are determined for the first time, the rest are revisions, some quite substantial. Six combined orbits use radial velocities. The…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-08-30 Andrei Tokovinin

The proposed approach extends the confidence posterior distribution to the semi-parametric empirical Bayes setting. Whereas the Bayesian posterior is defined in terms of a prior distribution conditional on the observed data, the confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-02 David R. Bickel

To determine the parameters (masses, orbital period) of a binary, one requires among others the inclination, which is best determined from a visual orbit. The next generation of interferometers can provide visual orbits for a large number…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Frank Verbunt

Observations of gravitational waves emitted by merging compact binaries have provided tantalising hints about stellar astrophysics, cosmology, and fundamental physics. However, the physical parameters describing the systems, (mass, spin,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-29 Colm Talbot , Jacob Golomb

As a classical problem, covariance estimation has drawn much attention from the statistical community for decades. Much work has been done under the frequentist and the Bayesian frameworks. Aiming to quantify the uncertainty of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-17 W. Jenny Shi , Jan Hannig , Randy C. S. Lai , Thomas C. M. Lee

Planets and satellites orbiting a binary system exist in the solar system and extrasolar planetary systems. Their orbits can be significantly different from Keplerian orbits, if they are close to the binary and the secondary-to-primary mass…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-03 Jason Man Yin Woo , Man Hoi Lee

Many recently developed Bayesian methods have focused on sparse signal detection. However, much less work has been done addressing the natural follow-up question: how to make valid inferences for the magnitude of those signals after…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Spencer Woody , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , James G. Scott

We present orbital elements, orbital parallaxes and individual component masses, for fourteen spatially resolved double-line spectroscopic binaries derived doing a simultaneous fit of their visual orbit and radial velocity curve. This was…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-02-16 Jennifer Anguita-Aguero , Rene A. Mendez , Ruben M. Claveria , Edgardo Costa

Reacting against the limitation of statistics to decision procedures, R. A. Fisher proposed for inductive reasoning the use of the fiducial distribution, a parameter-space distribution of epistemological probability transferred directly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-01 David R. Bickel

Results of speckle observations at the 4.1-m SOAR telescope in 2012 (158 measures of 121 systems, 27 non-resolutions) are reported. The aim is to follow fast orbital motion of recently discovered or neglected close binaries and sub-systems.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 Andrei Tokovinin