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In this study, we address the central issue of statistical inference for Markov jump processes using discrete time observations. The primary problem at hand is to accurately estimate the infinitesimal generator of a Markov jump process, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-19 F. Baltazar-Larios , Luz Judith R. Esparza

We propose quantum algorithms that provide provable speedups for Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods commonly used for sampling from probability distributions of the form $\pi \propto e^{-f}$, where $f$ is a potential function. Our…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-04-07 Guneykan Ozgul , Xiantao Li , Mehrdad Mahdavi , Chunhao Wang

We propose a macroscopic market making model \`a la Avellaneda-Stoikov, using continuous processes for orders instead of discrete point processes. The model intends to bridge the gap between market making and optimal execution problems,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-08 Ivan Guo , Shijia Jin , Kihun Nam

The dynamics of an infinite system of point particles in $\mathbb{R}^d$, which hop and interact with each other, is described at both micro- and mesoscopic levels. The states of the system are probability measures on the space of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-21 Christoph Berns , Yuri kondratiev , Yuri Kozitsky , Oleksandr Kutoviy

Markov jump processes (or continuous-time Markov chains) are a simple and important class of continuous-time dynamical systems. In this paper, we tackle the problem of simulating from the posterior distribution over paths in these models,…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-21 Vinayak Rao , Yee Whye Teh

Let $K = \{0,1,...,q-1\}$. We use a special class of translation invariant measures on $K^\mathbb{Z}$ called algebraic measures to study the entropy rate of a hidden Markov processes. Under some irreducibility assumptions of the Markov…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-08-30 Katy Marchand , Jaideep Mulherkar , Bruno Nachtergaele

In piecewise-deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) the state of a finite-dimensional system evolves continuously, but the evolutive equation may change randomly as a result of discrete switches. A running cost is integrated along the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Elliot Cartee , Antonio Farah , April Nellis , Jacob van Hook , Alexander Vladimirsky

Optimal designs minimize the number of experimental runs (samples) needed to accurately estimate model parameters, resulting in algorithms that, for instance, efficiently minimize parameter estimate variance. Governed by knowledge of past…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-03 Nicholas W. Barendregt , Emily G. Webb , Zachary P. Kilpatrick

We derive sufficient and necessary optimality conditions in terms of a stochastic maximum principle (SMP) for controls associated with cost functionals of mean-field type, under dynamics driven by a class of Markov chains of mean-field type…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Salah Eddine Choutri , Hamidou Tembine

We investigate the problem of minimizing the entropy production for a physical process that can be described in terms of a Markov jump dynamics. We show that, without any further constraints, a given time-evolution may be realized at…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-16 Andreas Dechant

Markov State Modeling has recently emerged as a key technique for analyzing rare events in thermal equilibrium molecular simulations and finding metastable states. Here we export this technique to the study of friction, where strongly…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-11-09 F. Pellegrini , F. P. Landes , A. Laio , S. Prestipino , E. Tosatti

We propose an efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo method for sampling equilibrium distributions for stochastic lattice models, capable of handling correctly long and short-range particle interactions. The proposed method is a Metropolis-type…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2010-06-21 Evangelia Kalligiannaki , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Petr Plechac

Markov jump processes are widely used to model natural and engineered processes. In the context of biological or chemical applications one typically refers to the chemical master equation (CME), which models the evolution of the probability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-07-05 Wei Zhang , Carsten Hartmann , Max von Kleist

In this paper, a class of piecewise deterministic Markov processes with underlying fast dynamic is studied. Using a "penalty method" , an averaging result is obtained when the underlying dynamic is infinitely accelerated. The features of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-31 Alexandre Genadot

Markov State Models (MSM) are widely used to elucidate dynamic properties of molecular systems from unbiased Molecular Dynamics (MD). However, the implementation of reweighting schemes for MSMs to analyze biased simulations, for example…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-11-26 Stefanie Kieninger , Luca Donati , Bettina G. Keller

The use of coordinate processes for the modelling of impulse control for general Markov processes typically involves the construction of a probability measure on a countable product of copies of the path space. In addition, admissibility of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-02 K. L. Helmes , R. H. Stockbridge , C. Zhu

We construct and study branching Markov processes on the space of finite configurations of the state space of a given standard process, controlled by a branching kernel and a killing one. In particular, we may start with a superprocess,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-03 Lucian Beznea , Oana Lupascu

Fluid dynamical simulations are often performed using cheap macroscopic models like the Euler equations. For rarefied gases under near-equilibrium conditions, however, macroscopic models are not sufficiently accurate and a simulation using…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-31 Julian Koellermeier , Hannes Vandecasteele

Filyokov and Karpov [Inzhenerno-Fizicheskii Zhurnal 13, 624 (1967)] have proposed a theory of non-equilibrium steady states in direct analogy with the theory of equilibrium states : the principle is to maximize the Shannon entropy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-03-07 Cecile Monthus

This paper investigates the optimization problem of an infinite stage discrete time Markov decision process (MDP) with a long-run average metric considering both mean and variance of rewards together. Such performance metric is important…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-11 Li Xia