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Measuring entropy production of a system directly from the experimental data is highly desirable since it gives a quantifiable measure of the time-irreversibility for non-equilibrium systems and can be used as a cost function to optimize…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-16 Prashant Singh , Karel Proesmans

We consider chemical reaction networks modeled by a discrete state and continuous in time Markov process for the vector copy number of the species and provide a novel particle filter method for state and parameter estimation based on exact…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-24 Muruhan Rathinam , Mingkai Yu

Asymptotic properties of Markov Processes, such as steady state probabilities or hazard rate for absorbing states can be efficiently calculated by means of linear algebra even for large-scale problems. This paper discusses the methods for…

Performance · Computer Science 2017-05-17 Vitali Volovoi

We present metrics for measuring state similarity in Markov decision processes (MDPs) with infinitely many states, including MDPs with continuous state spaces. Such metrics provide a stable quantitative analogue of the notion of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Norman Ferns , Prakash Panangaden , Doina Precup

When clustering molecular dynamics (MD) trajectories into a few metastable conformational states, the Markov state models (MSMs) assumption of timescale separation between fast intrastate fluctuations and rarely occurring interstate…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-01-17 Sofia Sartore , Franziska Teichmann , Gerhard Stock

We study the problem of efficient exploration in order to learn an accurate model of an environment, modeled as a Markov decision process (MDP). Efficient exploration in this problem requires the agent to identify the regions in which…

A major challenge for community ecology is using spatio-temporal data to infer parameters of dynamical models without conducting laborious experiments. We present a novel framework from statistical physics -- Maximum Caliber -- to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-07 Zachary Jackson , Mathew A. Leibold , Robert D. Holt , BingKan Xue

We develop the method of Maximum Entropy (ME) as a technique to generate approximations to probability distributions. The central results consist in (a) justifying the use of relative entropy as the uniquely natural criterion to select a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-07-24 Chih-Yuan Tseng , Ariel Caticha

We propose a hybrid moment method for the multi-scale kinetic equations in the framework of the regularized moment method [7]. In this method, the fourth order moment system is chosen as the governing equations in the fluid region. When…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-04-14 Weiming Li , Peng Song , Yanli Wang

Modeling unknown systems from data is a precursor of system optimization and sequential decision making. In this paper, we focus on learning a Markov model from a single trajectory of states. Suppose that the transition model has a small…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-30 Ziwei Zhu , Xudong Li , Mengdi Wang , Anru Zhang

We investigate the problem of synthesizing optimal control policies for Markov decision processes (MDPs) with both qualitative and quantitative objectives. Specifically, our goal is to achieve a given linear temporal logic (LTL) task with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-08 Yu Chen , Shaoyuan Li , Xiang Yin

Isolating slower dynamics from fast fluctuations has proven remarkably powerful, but how do we proceed from partial observations of dynamical systems for which we lack underlying equations? Here, we construct maximally-predictive states by…

Biological Physics · Physics 2023-02-28 Antonio Carlos Costa , Tosif Ahamed , David Jordan , Greg Stephens

We study a class of Markov processes that combine local dynamics, arising from a fixed Markov process, with regenerations arising at a state-dependent rate. We give conditions under which such processes possess a given target distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Andi Q. Wang , Murray Pollock , Gareth O. Roberts , David Steinsaltz

A Markov process is registered. At random moment $\theta$ the distribution of observed sequence changes. Using probability maximizing approach the optimal stopping rule for detecting the change is identified. Some explicit solution is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Wojciech Sarnowski , Krzysztof Szajowski

The use of heuristics to assess the convergence and compress the output of Markov chain Monte Carlo can be sub-optimal in terms of the empirical approximations that are produced. Typically a number of the initial states are attributed to…

To sample from a given target distribution, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling relies on constructing an ergodic Markov chain with the target distribution as its invariant measure. For any MCMC method, an important question is how to…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-15 Federica Milinanni , Pierre Nyquist

We study the problem of synthesizing a controller that maximizes the entropy of a partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) subject to a constraint on the expected total reward. Such a controller minimizes the predictability of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-16 Michael Hibbard , Yagiz Savas , Bo Wu , Takashi Tanaka , Ufuk Topcu

Near equilibrium, thermodynamic intuition suggests that fast, irreversible processes will dissipate more energy and entropy than slow, quasistatic processes connecting the same initial and final states. Here, we test the hypothesis that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-07 Rebecca A. Bone , Daniel J. Sharpe , David J. Wales , Jason R. Green

Schr\"odinger bridges have emerged as an enabling framework for unveiling the stochastic dynamics of systems based on marginal observations at different points in time. The terminology "bridge'' refers to a probability law that suitably…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-05 Olga Movilla Miangolarra , Asmaa Eldesoukey , Tryphon T. Georgiou

We consider a stochastic process which is (a) described by a continuous-time Markov chain on only short time-scales and (b) constrained to conserve a number of hidden quantities on long time-scales. We assume that the transition matrix of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-27 Vitaly Vanchurin
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