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For supercritical multitype branching processes in continuous time, we investigate the evolution of types along those lineages that survive up to some time t. We establish almost-sure convergence theorems for both time and population…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Hans-Otto Georgii , Ellen Baake

A discrete time branching process where the offspring distribution is generation-dependent, and the number of reproductive individuals is controlled by a random mechanism is considered. This model is a Markov chain but, in general, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Miguel González , Carmen Minuesa , Manuel Mota , Inés del Puerto , Alfonso Ramos

This paper gives a new flavor of what Peter Jagers and his co-authors call `the path to extinction'. In a neutral population with constant size $N$, we assume that each individual at time $0$ carries a distinct type, or allele. We consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Guillaume Achaz , Amaury Lambert , Emmanuel Schertzer

For a generalized continuous state branching process with non-vanishing diffusion part, finite expectation and a directed ("left-to-right") interaction, we construct the height process of its forest of genealogical trees. The connection…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-13 Zenghu Li , Etienne Pardoux , Anton Wakolbinger

The constant rate birth--death process is a popular null model for speciation and extinction. If one removes extinct and non-sampled lineages, this process induces `reconstructed trees' which describe the relationship between extant…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-01 Tanja Stadler , Mike Steel

We consider a continuous population whose dynamics is described by the standard stationary Fleming-Viot process, so that the genealogy of $n$ uniformly sampled individuals is distributed as the Kingman $n$-coalescent. In this note, we study…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-07 Amaury Lambert , Emmanuel Schertzer

We present a new model for seed banks, where direct ancestors of individuals may have lived in the near as well as the very far past. The classical Wright-Fisher model, as well as a seed bank model with bounded age distribution considered…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-02 Jochen Blath , Adrian González Casanova , Noemi Kurt , Dario Spanò

This paper gives a complete characterization of infinitely divisible semimartingales, i.e., semimartingales whose finite dimensional distributions are infinitely divisible. An explicit and essentially unique decomposition of such…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-02 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Jan Rosinski

We derive the asymptotic behavior of the total, active and inactive branch lengths of the seed bank coalescent, when the size of the initial sample grows to infinity. Those random variables have important applications for populations…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-28 Adrián González Casanova , Lizbeth Peñaloza , Arno Siri-Jégousse

We give the asymptotic distribution of the length of partial coalescent trees for Beta and related coalescents. This allows us to give the asymptotic distribution of the number of (neutral) mutations in the partial tree. This is a first…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-04 Jean-François Delmas , Jean-Stéphane Dhersin , Arno Siri-Jegousse

We consider a model of a population in which individuals are sampled from different species. The Yule-Kingman nested coalescent describes the genealogy of the sample when each species merges with another randomly chosen species with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-20 Toni Gui

We show that any semi-algebraic sweeping process admits piecewise absolutely continuous solutions, and any such bounded trajectory must have finite length. Analogous results hold more generally for sweeping processes definable in o-minimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Aris Daniilidis , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy

Consider a Bellman--Harris-type branching process, in which individuals evolve independently of one another, giving birth after a random time $T$ to a random number $L$ of children. In this article, we study the asymptotic behaviour of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Sergey Bocharov , Simon C. Harris , Bastien Mallein

We consider a population with non-overlapping generations, whose size goes to infinity. It is described by a discrete genealogy which may be time non-homogeneous and we pay special attention to branching trees in varying environments. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-22 Vincent Bansaye , Chunmao Huang

We introduce a new model of random tree that grows like a random recursive tree, except at some exceptional "doubling events" when the tree is replaced by two copies of itself attached to a new root. We prove asymptotic results for the size…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Jakob E. Björnberg , Cécile Mailler

Phylogenetics uses alignments of molecular sequence data to learn about evolutionary trees relating species. Along branches, sequence evolution is modelled using a continuous-time Markov process characterised by an instantaneous rate…

Certain Markov processes, or deterministic evolution equations, have the property that they are dual to a stochastic process that exhibits extinction versus unbounded growth, i.e., the total mass in such a process either becomes zero, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jan M. Swart

We consider catalytic branching populations. They consist of a catalyst population evolving according to a critical binary branching process in continuous time with a constant branching rate and a reactant population with a branching rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Andreas Greven , Lea Popovic , Anita Winter

Crump-Mode-Jagers (CMJ) trees generalize Galton-Watson trees by allowing individuals to live for an arbitrary duration and give birth at arbitrary times during their life-time. In this paper, we exhibit a simple condition under which the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-25 E. Schertzer , F. Simatos

Coalescent histories are combinatorial structures that describe for a given gene tree and species tree the possible lists of branches of the species tree on which the gene tree coalescences take place. Properties of the number of coalescent…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-13 Filippo Disanto , Noah A. Rosenberg