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In this paper we survey some recent results on the central limit theorem and its weak invariance principle for stationary sequences. We also describe several maximal inequalities that are the main tool for obtaining the invariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad , Sergey Utev

In this paper, we study parametric nonlinear regression under the Harris recurrent Markov chain framework. We first consider the nonlinear least squares estimators of the parameters in the homoskedastic case, and establish asymptotic theory…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-15 Degui Li , Dag Tjøstheim , Jiti Gao

We consider nonparametric prediction with multiple covariates, in particular categorical or functional predictors, or a mixture of both. The method proposed bases on an extension of the Nadaraya-Watson estimator where a kernel function is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-05 Leonie Selk , Jan Gertheiss

We give rates of convergence in the strong invariance principle for stationary sequences satisfying some projective criteria. The conditions are expressed in terms of conditional expectations of partial sums of the initial sequence. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-02 Jérôme Dedecker , Paul Doukhan , Florence Merlevède

We construct a class of nonnegative martingale processes that oscillate indefinitely with high probability. For these processes, we state a uniform rate of the number of oscillations and show that this rate is asymptotically close to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-18 Jan Leike , Marcus Hutter

Using cumulative residual processes, we propose joint goodness-of-fit tests for conditional means and variances functions in the context of nonlinear time series with martingale difference innovations. The main challenge comes from the fact…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-02 Kilani Ghoudi , Naâmane Laïb , Mohamed Chaouch

In this paper, we study moment and concentration inequalities for the spectral norm of sums of dependent random matrices. We establish novel Rosenthal-Burkholder inequalities for discrete-time matrix local martingales,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Yang Peng , Yuchen Xin , Zhihua Zhang

In 1991 Stute introduced a class of estimators called conditional U-statistics. They can be seen as a generalization of the Nadaraya-Watson estimator, and their strong pointwise consistency to the general regression function has been…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 J. Dony , D. M. Mason

Bifurcating autoregressive processes, which can be seen as an adaptation of au-toregressive processes for a binary tree structure, have been extensively studied during the last decade in a parametric context. In this work we do not specify…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-12 Siméon Valère Bitseki Penda , Adélaïde Olivier

We propose novel parameter estimation algorithms for a class of dynamical systems with nonlinear parametrization. The class is initially restricted to smooth monotonic functions with respect to a linear functional of the parameters. We show…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ivan Tyukin , Danil Prokhorov , Cees van Leeuwen

This paper is devoted to the nonparametric estimation of the derivative of the regression function in a nonparametric regression model. We implement a very efficient and easy to handle statistical procedure based on the derivative of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Bernard Bercu , Sami Capderou , Gilles Durrieu

We establish sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the existence and exponential ergodicity of the Q-process, the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

This paper presents a Hayashi-Yoshida type estimator for the covariation matrix of continuous It\^o semimartingales observed with noise. The coordinates of the multivariate process are assumed to be observed at highly frequent…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-24 Kim Christensen , Mark Podolskij , Mathias Vetter

We show that spline and wavelet series regression estimators for weakly dependent regressors attain the optimal uniform (i.e. sup-norm) convergence rate $(n/\log n)^{-p/(2p+d)}$ of Stone (1982), where $d$ is the number of regressors and $p$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-06 Xiaohong Chen , Timothy Christensen

We characterize recurrence and transience of nonnegative multivariate autoregressive processes of order one with random contractive coefficient matrix, of subcritical multitype Galton-Watson branching processes in random environment with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-18 Martin P. W. Zerner

We study the harmonic moments of Galton-Watson processes, possibly non homogeneous, with positive values. Good estimates of these are needed to compute unbiased estimators for non canonical branching Markov processes, which occur, for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Didier Piau

Distribution regression seeks to estimate the conditional distribution of a multivariate response given a continuous covariate. This approach offers a more complete characterization of dependence than traditional regression methods.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Rong Tang , Yun Yang

This paper is devoted to the estimators of the mean that provide strong non-asymptotic guarantees under minimal assumptions on the underlying distribution. The main ideas behind proposed techniques are based on bridging the notions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-07 Stanislav Minsker

This paper derives limit properties of nonparametric kernel regression estimators without requiring existence of density for regressors in $\mathbb{R}^{q}.$ In functional regression limit properties are established for multivariate…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-08 Marcia Schafgans , Victoria Zinde-Walsh

We study nonparametric regression and classification for path-valued data. We introduce a functional Nadaraya-Watson estimator that combines the signature transform from rough path theory with local kernel regression. The signature…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-21 Christian Bayer , Davit Gogolashvili , Luca Pelizzari