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Markov Population Model is a commonly used framework to describe stochastic systems. Their exact analysis is unfeasible in most cases because of the state space explosion. Approximations are usually sought, often with the goal of reducing…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-05-19 Luca Bortolussi , Rytis Paškauskas

The paper is devoted to the optimal control of a system with two time-scales, in a regime when the limit equation is not of averaging type but, in the spirit of Wong-Zakai principle, it is a stochastic differential equation for the slow…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Franco Flandoli , Giuseppina Guatteri , Umberto Pappalettera , Gianmario Tessitore

This work proposes a machine-learning framework for constructing statistical models of errors incurred by approximate solutions to parameterized systems of nonlinear equations. These approximate solutions may arise from early termination of…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2019-02-18 Brian A. Freno , Kevin T. Carlberg

We propose a robust parameter estimation method for dynamical systems based on Statistical Learning techniques which aims to estimate a set of parameters that well fit the dynamics in order to obtain robust evidences about the qualitative…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-26 Diego Marcondes

Model predictive control strategies require to solve in an sequential manner, many, possibly non-convex, optimization problems. In this work, we propose an interacting stochastic agent system to solve those problems. The agents evolve in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-21 Giacomo Borghi , Michael Herty

Contextual stochastic optimization is an advanced methodology to model uncertainty in the presence of contextual information during decision planning processes. Although classical methodologies focus on minimizing the expectation of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Man Yiu Tsang , Tony Sit , Hoi Ying Wong

We discuss applications of a recently developed method for model reduction based on linear response theory of weakly coupled dynamical systems. We apply the weak coupling method to simple stochastic differential equations with slow and fast…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-21 Jeroen Wouters , Stamen I. Dolaptchiev , Valerio Lucarini , Ulrich Achatz

In this paper, we propose a stochastic cellular automaton model of traffic flow extending two exactly solvable stochastic models, i.e., the asymmetric simple exclusion process and the zero range process. Moreover it is regarded as a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-05-26 Masahiro Kanai , Katsuhiro Nishinari , Tetsuji Tokihiro

The state of many physical, biological and socio-technical systems evolves by combining smooth local transitions and abrupt resetting events to a set of reference values. The inclusion of the resetting mechanism not only provides the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-21 Oriol Artime

Reliable forward uncertainty quantification in engineering requires methods that account for aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. In many applications, epistemic effects arising from uncertain parameters and model form dominate prediction…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Akash Yadav , Ruda Zhang

We prove a fractional averaging principle for interacting slow-fast systems. The mode of convergence is in H\"older norm in probability. The main technical result is a quenched ergodic theorem on the conditioned fractional dynamics. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Xue-Mei Li , Julian Sieber

Increasing effort is put into the development of methods for learning mechanistic models from data. This task entails not only the accurate estimation of parameters but also a suitable model structure. Recent work on the discovery of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Justin N. Kreikemeyer , Philipp Andelfinger , Adelinde M. Uhrmacher

We consider dynamical systems evolving near an equilibrium statistical state where the interest is in modelling long term behavior that is consistent with thermodynamic constraints. We adjust the distribution using an entropy-optimizing…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2014-11-25 Keith Myerscough , Jason Frank , Benedict Leimkuhler

We propose a simple model for sample space reducing (SSR) stochastic process, where the dynamical variable denoting the size of the state space is continuous. In general, one can view the model as a multiplicative stochastic process, with a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-25 Rahul Chhimpa , Avinash Chand Yadav\

In this work, we introduce an information-theoretic approach for considering changes in dynamics of finitely dimensional open quantum systems governed by master equations. This experimentally motivated approach arises from considering how…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-05-03 Katarzyna Macieszczak

Stochastic ordering among distributions has been considered in a variety of scenarios. Economic studies often involve research about the ordering of investment strategies or social welfare. However, as noted in the literature, stochastic…

In this paper we develop a perturbation method to predict the rate of occurrence of rare events for singularly perturbed stochastic systems using a probability density function approach. In contrast to a stochastic normal form approach, we…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Christoffer R. Heckman , Ira B. Schwartz

We propose a novel gradient-based online optimization framework for solving stochastic programming problems that frequently arise in the context of cyber-physical and robotic systems. Our problem formulation accommodates constraints that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Hao Ma , Melanie Zeilinger , Michael Muehlebach

Present-day atomistic simulations generate long trajectories of ever more complex systems. Analyzing these data, discovering metastable states, and uncovering their nature is becoming increasingly challenging. In this paper, we first use…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-06-23 Pietro Novelli , Luigi Bonati , Massimiliano Pontil , Michele Parrinello

A method is provided for approximating random slow manifolds of a class of slow-fast stochastic dynamical systems. Thus approximate, low dimensional, reduced slow systems are obtained analytically in the case of sufficiently large time…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-03-12 Jian Ren , Jinqiao Duan , Christopher K. R. T. Jones