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Many systems in physics, engineering, and biology exhibit multiscale stochastic dynamics, where low-dimensional slow variables evolve under the influence of high-dimensional fast processes. In practice, observations are often limited to a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Anan Saha , Arnab Ganguly

Existing variance reduction techniques used in stochastic simulations for rare event analysis still require a substantial number of model evaluations to estimate small failure probabilities. In the context of complex, nonlinear finite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Liuyun Xu , Seymour M. J. Spence

In a view for a simple model where natural selection at the individual level is confronted to selection effects at the group level, we consider some individual-based models of some large population subdivided into a large number of groups.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-13 Aurélien Velleret

The definition of metastable states is an ubiquitous task in the design and analysis of molecular simulations, and is a crucial input in a variety of acceleration methods for the sampling of long configurational trajectories. Although…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-04-16 Noé Blassel , Tony Lelièvre , Gabriel Stoltz

Correlations and other collective phenomena in a schematic model of heterogeneous binary agents (individual spin-glass samples) are considered on the complete graph and also on 2d and 3d regular lattices. The system's stochastic dynamics is…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2014-02-25 Imre Kondor , István Csabai , Gábor Papp , Enys Mones , Gábor Czimbalmos , Máté Csaba Sándor

A stochastic model for a chemical reaction network is embedded in a one-parameter family of models with species numbers and rate constants scaled by powers of the parameter. A systematic approach is developed for determining appropriate…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-09 Hye-Won Kang , Thomas G. Kurtz

Stochastic approximation is a foundation for many algorithms found in machine learning and optimization. It is in general slow to converge: the mean square error vanishes as $O(n^{-1})$. A deterministic counterpart known as quasi-stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Caio Kalil Lauand , Sean Meyn

Establishing appropriate mathematical models for complex systems in natural phenomena not only helps deepen our understanding of nature but can also be used for state estimation and prediction. However, the extreme complexity of natural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-27 Cheng Fang , Jinqiao Duan

Stochastic versions of proximal methods have gained much attention in statistics and machine learning. These algorithms tend to admit simple, scalable forms, and enjoy numerical stability via implicit updates. In this work, we propose and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-09 Haoyu Jiang , Jason Xu

Frequency-dependent selection reflects the interaction between different species as they battle for limited resources in their environment. In a stochastic evolutionary game the species relative fitnesses guides the evolutionary dynamics…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lea Popovic , Liam Peuckert

This paper presents a stochastic model predictive control approach for nonlinear systems subject to time-invariant probabilistic uncertainties in model parameters and initial conditions. The stochastic optimal control problem entails a cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Stefan Streif , Matthias Karl , Ali Mesbah

The asymptotic behavior for fully coupled multiscale stochastic systems becomes much complicated when the fast processes do not locate in a compact space. An example is constructed to show that the averaged coefficients may become…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Shen Wang , Jinghai Shao

We consider a system of reaction-diffusion equations in a bounded interval of the real line, with emphasis on the metastable dynamics, whereby the time-dependent solution approaches the steady state in an asymptotically exponentially long…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-06-27 Marta Strani

We present a novel characterization of slow variables for continuous Markov processes that provably preserve the slow timescales. These slow variables are known as reaction coordinates in molecular dynamical applications, where they play a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Andreas Bittracher , Christof Schütte

This work explores the trade-off between the number of samples required to accurately build models of dynamical systems and the degradation of performance in various control objectives due to a coarse approximation. In particular, we show…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-01 Stephen Tu , Ross Boczar , Andrew Packard , Benjamin Recht

Stochastic resetting, the procedure of stopping and re-initializing random processes, has recently emerged as a powerful tool for accelerating processes ranging from queuing systems to molecular simulations. However, its usefulness is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-18 Tommer D. Keidar , Ofir Blumer , Barak Hirshberg , Shlomi Reuveni

For a large class of processes with an absorbing state, statistical properties of the surviving sample attain time-independent values in the quasi-stationary (QS) regime. We propose a practical simulation method for studying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Marcelo Martins de Oliveira , Ronald Dickman

Atomistic modelling of phase transitions, chemical reactions, or other rare events that involve overcoming high free energy barriers usually entails prohibitively long simulation times. Introducing a bias potential as a function of an…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-11-06 Federico Giberti , Bingqing Cheng , Gareth Aneurin Tribello , Michele Ceriotti

Dynamical systems describe the changes in processes that arise naturally from their underlying physical principles, such as the laws of motion or the conservation of mass, energy or momentum. These models facilitate a causal explanation for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-11 Michelle Carey , James O. Ramsay

This paper addresses the challenge of model uncertainty in quantitative finance, where decisions in portfolio allocation, derivative pricing, and risk management rely on estimating stochastic models from limited data. In practice, the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-10 Hans Buehler , Blanka Horvath , Yannick Limmer , Thorsten Schmidt