Related papers: Multi-Step-Ahead Time Series Prediction using Mult…
Multi-step-ahead time series prediction is one of the most challenging research topics in the field of time series modeling and prediction, and is continually under research. Recently, the multiple-input several multiple-outputs (MISMO)…
Support vector regression (SVR) is one of the most popular machine learning algorithms aiming to generate the optimal regression curve through maximizing the minimal margin of selected training samples, i.e., support vectors. Recent…
Highly accurate interval forecasting of a stock price index is fundamental to successfully making a profit when making investment decisions, by providing a range of values rather than a point estimate. In this study, we investigate the…
An accurate load forecasting has always been one of the main indispensable parts in the operation and planning of power systems. Among different time horizons of forecasting, while short-term load forecasting (STLF) and long-term load…
Epidemics of influenza are major public health concerns. Since influenza prediction always relies on the weekly clinical or laboratory surveillance data, typically the weekly Influenza-like illness (ILI) rate series, accurate…
Multi-step forecasting (MSF) in time-series, the ability to make predictions multiple time steps into the future, is fundamental to almost all temporal domains. To make such forecasts, one must assume the recursive complexity of the…
Nowadays Big Data are becoming more and more important. Many sectors of our economy are now guided by data-driven decision processes. Big Data and business intelligence applications are facilitated by the MapReduce programming model while,…
Load forecasting has always been a challenge for grid operators due to the growing complexity of power systems. The increase in extreme weather and the need for energy from customers has led to load forecasting sometimes failing. This…
The development of next-generation autonomous control of fission systems, such as nuclear power plants, will require leveraging advancements in machine learning. For fission systems, accurate prediction of nuclear transport is important to…
Electricity consumption forecasting has vital importance for the energy planning of a country. Of the enabling machine learning models, support vector regression (SVR) has been widely used to set up forecasting models due to its superior…
A new smoothing method for solving ? -support vector regression (?-SVR), tolerating a small error in fitting a given data sets nonlinearly is proposed in this study. Which is a smooth unconstrained optimization reformulation of the…
Support vector machine modeling is a new approach in machine learning for classification showing good performance on forecasting problems of small samples and high dimensions. Later, it promoted to Support Vector Regression (SVR) for…
Long-term price forecasting remains a formidable challenge due to the inherent uncertainty over the long term, despite some success in short-term predictions. Nonetheless, accurate long-term forecasts are essential for high-net-worth…
This paper studies the addition of linear constraints to the Support Vector Regression (SVR) when the kernel is linear. Adding those constraints into the problem allows to add prior knowledge on the estimator obtained, such as finding…
The increasing integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) calls for new monitoring and operational planning tools to ensure stability and sustainability in distribution grids. One idea is to use existing monitoring tools in…
Hierarchical support vector regression (HSVR) models a function from data as a linear combination of SVR models at a range of scales, starting at a coarse scale and moving to finer scales as the hierarchy continues. In the original…
The purpose of this paper is to propose a time-varying vector autoregressive model (TV-VAR) for forecasting multivariate time series. The model is casted into a state-space form that allows flexible description and analysis. The volatility…
Making an accurate prediction of an unknown system only from a short-term time series is difficult due to the lack of sufficient information, especially in a multi-step-ahead manner. However, a high-dimensional short-term time series…
Recent developments in computers and automated data collection strategies have greatly increased the interest in statistical modeling of dynamic networks. Many of the statistical models employed for inference on large-scale dynamic networks…
The sequential minimal optimization (SMO) algorithm and variants thereof are the de facto standard method for solving large quadratic programs for support vector machine (SVM) training. In this paper we propose a simple yet powerful…