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Related papers: Forecasting the solar activity cycle: new insights

200 papers

Understanding the irregular variation of the solar cycle is crucial due to its significant impact on global climates and the heliosphere. Since the polar magnetic field determines the amplitude of the next solar cycle, variations in the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-25 Pawan Kumar

The details of the dynamo process in the Sun are an important aspect of research in solar-terrestrial physics and astrophysics. The surface part of the dynamo can be constrained by direct observations, but the subsurface part lacks direct…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-29 Congyi Zhong , Jie jiang , Zebin Zhang

We point out the difficulties in carrying out direct numerical simulation of the solar dynamo problem and argue that kinematic mean-field models are our best theoretical tools at present for explaining various aspects of the solar cycle in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 Arnab Rai Choudhuri

Magnetohydrodynamic interactions between plasma flows and magnetic fields is fundamental to the origin and sustenance of the 11-year sunspot cycle. These processes are intrinsically three-dimensional (3D) in nature. Our goal is to construct…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-03-06 R. Kumar , L. Jouve , D. Nandy

In this thesis, various studies are performed leading to better understanding of the 11-year solar cycle and its theoretical modeling with the flux transport dynamo model. Although this is primarily a theoretical thesis, there is a part…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-04-26 Gopal Hazra

One of the most striking manifestations of orderly behavior emerging out of complex interactions in any astrophysical system is the 11-year cycle of sunspots. However, direct sunspot observations and reconstructions of long-term solar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-04-24 Chitradeep Saha , Suprabha Mukhopadhyay , Dibyendu Nandy

Accurate prediction of the 11-year solar cycle remains a major challenge in solar physics and is important for space weather forecasting. A persistent property of the cycle is its asymmetry: the rise phase is usually much shorter than the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-02-18 Soumitra Hazra , Allan Sacha Brun , Laurene Jouve

Prediction of solar activity cycles is challenging because physical processes inside the Sun involve a broad range of multiscale dynamics that no model can reproduce and because the available observations are highly limited and cover mostly…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-09-30 Irina N. Kitiashvili

Dynamo models relying on the Babcock-Leighton mechanism are successful in reproducing most of the solar magnetic field dynamical characteristics. However, considering that such models operate only above a lower magnetic field threshold,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-07-17 Sabrina Sanchez , Alexandre Fournier , Katia Pinheiro , Julien Aubert

The Sun's magnetic dynamo cycle features a distinct pattern: a propagating region of sunspot emergence appears around 30 degrees latitude and vanishes near the equator every 11 years. Moreover, longitudinal flows called "torsional…

Predictions of solar cycle 24 obtained from advection-dominated and diffusion-dominated kinematic dynamo models are different if the Babcock-Leighton mechanism is the only source of the poloidal field. Yeates et al. (2008) argue that the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-07 Soumitra Hazra , Allan Sacha Brun , Dibyendu Nandy

We develop a model of the solar dynamo in which, on the one hand, we follow the Babcock-Leighton approach to include surface processes like the production of poloidal field from the decay of active regions, and, on the other hand, we…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-06 Dibyendu Nandy , Arnab Rai Choudhuri

Context. The solar dynamo consists of a process that converts poloidal field to toroidal field followed by a process which creates new poloidal field from the toroidal field. Aims. Our aim is to observe the poloidal and toroidal fields…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-01-10 R. H. Cameron , T. L Duvall , M. Schüssler , H. Schunker

Like the solar cycle, stellar activity cycles are also irregular. Observations reveal that rapidly rotating (young) Sun-like stars exhibit a high level of activity with no Maunder-like grand minima and rarely display smooth regular activity…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-05-10 Vindya Vashishth , Bidya Binay Karak , Leonid Kitchatinov

The hemispheric asymmetry of sunspot activity observed possesses a regular component varying on a time scale of several solar cycles whose origin and properties are currently debated. This paper addresses the question of whether the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-08 Alexander Nepomnyashchikh , Sudip Mandal , Dipankar Banerjee , Leonid Kitchatinov

Computational heliophysics has shed light on the fundamental physical processes inside the Sun, such as the differential rotation, meridional circulation, and dynamo-generation of magnetic fields. However, despite the substantial advances,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-25 A. G. Kosovichev , G. Guerrero , A. M. Stejko , V. V. Pipin , A. V. Getling

Space-weather and disturbances in the heliosphere are manifestations of the solar magnetic field, which is solely driven by the interior dynamo, and constraining the solar interior magnetic field and its oscillatory behavior is one of the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-29 Soumyadeep Chatterjee , Gopal Hazra

A brief summary of the various observations and constraints that underlie solar dynamo research are presented. The arguments that indicate that the solar dynamo is an alpha-omega dynamo of the Babcock-Leighton type are then shortly…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-09-26 R. H. Cameron , M. Dikpati , A. Brandenburg

Observations of the solar magnetic cycle showed that the amplitude of the cycle did not grow all the time in the past. Thus, there must be a mechanism to halt the growth of the magnetic field in the Sun. We demonstrate a recently proposed…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-02-02 Bidya Binay Karak

The most widely accepted model of the solar cycle is the flux transport dynamo model. This model evolved out of the traditional $\alpha \Omega$ dynamo model which was first developed at a time when the existence of the Sun's meridional…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-26 Gopal Hazra , Dibyendu Nandy , Leonid Kitchatinov , Arnab Rai Choudhuri