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This paper considers a challenging problem of identifying a causal graphical model under the presence of latent variables. While various identifiability conditions have been proposed in the literature, they often require multiple pure…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-03 Seunghyun Lee , Yuqi Gu

Variational inference for latent variable models is prevalent in various machine learning problems, typically solved by maximizing the Evidence Lower Bound (ELBO) of the true data likelihood with respect to a variational distribution.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-11 Guoqing Zheng , Yiming Yang , Jaime Carbonell

The beta distribution serves as a canonical tool for modeling probabilities in statistics and machine learning. However, there is limited work on flexible and computationally convenient stochastic process extensions for modeling dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-18 Changwoo J. Lee , Alessandro Zito , Huiyan Sang , David B. Dunson

Temporal prediction is critical for making intelligent and robust decisions in complex dynamic environments. Motion prediction needs to model the inherently uncertain future which often contains multiple potential outcomes, due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-10 Yichuan Charlie Tang , Ruslan Salakhutdinov

The machine learning community has recently put effort into quantized or low-precision arithmetics to scale large models. This paper proposes performing probabilistic inference in the quantized, discrete parameter space created by these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Aleksanteri Sladek , Martin Trapp , Arno Solin

Traffic prediction is a challenging spatio-temporal forecasting problem that involves highly complex spatio-temporal correlations. This paper proposes a Multi-level Multi-view Augmented Spatio-temporal Transformer (LVSTformer) for traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Jiaqi Lin , Qianqian Ren

This paper is concerned with online time series forecasting, where unknown distribution shifts occur over time, i.e., latent variables influence the mapping from historical to future observations. To develop an automated way of online time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Zijian Li , Changze Zhou , Minghao Fu , Sanjay Manjunath , Fan Feng , Guangyi Chen , Yingyao Hu , Ruichu Cai , Kun Zhang

Disentangled representations, where the higher level data generative factors are reflected in disjoint latent dimensions, offer several benefits such as ease of deriving invariant representations, transferability to other tasks,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-31 Abhishek Kumar , Prasanna Sattigeri , Avinash Balakrishnan

Accurately modeling power distribution grids is crucial for designing effective monitoring and decision making algorithms. This paper addresses the partial observability issue of data-driven distribution modeling in order to improve the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-08 Shanny Lin , Hao Zhu

Recent deep generative models are able to provide photo-realistic images as well as visual or textual content embeddings useful to address various tasks of computer vision and natural language processing. Their usefulness is nevertheless…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-29 Antoine Plumerault , Hervé Le Borgne , Céline Hudelot

Despite advances in deep probabilistic models, learning discrete latent representations remains challenging. This work introduces a novel method to improve inference in discrete Variational Autoencoders by reframing the inference problem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 María Martínez-García , Grace Villacrés , David Mitchell , Pablo M. Olmos

Hybrid continuous-discrete models naturally represent many real-world applications in robotics, finance, and environmental engineering. Inference with large-scale models is challenging because relational structures deteriorate rapidly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Jaesik Choi , Eyal Amir

The growing complexity of the power grid, driven by increasing share of distributed energy resources and by massive deployment of intelligent internet-connected devices, requires new modelling tools for planning and operation. Physics-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-26 Francesco Fusco

Discovering latent representations of the observed world has become increasingly more relevant in data analysis. Much of the effort concentrates on building latent variables which can be used in prediction problems, such as classification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-01-08 Ricardo Silva

In real-world sequential decision making tasks like autonomous driving, robotics, and healthcare, learning from observed state-action trajectories is critical for tasks like imitation, classification, and clustering. For example,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Zichang Ge , Changyu Chen , Arunesh Sinha , Pradeep Varakantham

In an intelligent transportation system, the key problem of traffic forecasting is how to extract periodic temporal dependencies and complex spatial correlations. Current state-of-the-art methods for predicting traffic flow are based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Zichuan Liu , Rui Zhang , Chen Wang , Zhu Xiao , Hongbo Jiang

This work introduces a novel, simple, and flexible method to quantify irreversibility in generic high-dimensional time series based on the well-known mapping to a binary classification problem. Our approach utilizes gradient boosting for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-09 Michele Vodret , Cristiano Pacini , Christian Bongiorno

We present a unified framework for studying the identifiability of representations learned from simultaneously observed views, such as different data modalities. We allow a partially observed setting in which each view constitutes a…

Log-linear models are a classical tool for the analysis of contingency tables. In particular, the subclass of graphical log-linear models provides a general framework for modelling conditional independences. However, with the exception of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-04 Mathias Drton , Thomas S. Richardson

Autonomous driving presents a complex challenge, which is usually addressed with artificial intelligence models that are end-to-end or modular in nature. Within the landscape of modular approaches, a bio-inspired neural circuit policy model…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Anass Bairouk , Mirjana Maras , Simon Herlin , Alexander Amini , Marc Blanchon , Ramin Hasani , Patrick Chareyre , Daniela Rus