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We are interested in modelling Darwinian evolution, resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. Our models are rooted in the microscopic, stochastic description of a population…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Nicolas Champagnat , Régis Ferrière , Sylvie Méléard

Generating function equation has been derived for the probability distribution of the number of nodes with $k \ge 0$ outgoing lines in randomly evolving special trees. The stochastic properties of end-nodes (k=0) have been analyzed, and it…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 L. Pal

Many biological studies involve inferring the evolutionary history of a sample of individuals from a large population and interpreting the reconstructed tree. Such an ascertained tree typically represents only a small part of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-13 Michael Celentano , William S. DeWitt , Sebastian Prillo , Yun S. Song

The dynamics of a population exhibiting exponential growth can be modelled as a birth-death process, which naturally captures the stochastic variation in population size over time. In this article, we consider a supercritical birth-death…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-07 Anastasia Ignatieva , Jotun Hein , Paul A. Jenkins

Our understanding of past evolutionary change is often based on reconstructions based on incomplete data, raising fundamental questions about the degree to which we can make reliable inferences about past evolutionary processes. This was…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-06 Niklas Hohmann

We consider a birth and death process in which death is due to both `natural death' and to competition between individuals, modelled as a quadratic function of population size. The resulting `logistic branching process' has been proposed as…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-23 Alison Etheridge , Shidong Wang , Feng Yu

The goal of these lectures is to review some mathematical aspects of random tree models used in evolutionary biology to model gene trees or species trees. We start with stochastic models of tree shapes (finite trees without edge lengths),…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Amaury Lambert

For many taxa, the current high rates of extinction are likely to result in a significant loss of biodiversity. The evolutionary heritage of biodiversity is frequently quantified by a measure called phylogenetic diversity (PD). We predict…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-06-13 Amaury Lambert , Mike Steel

The reconstruction of phylogenies from DNA or protein sequences is a major task of computational evolutionary biology. Common phenomena, notably variations in mutation rates across genomes and incongruences between gene lineage histories,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-30 Elchanan Mossel , Sebastien Roch

In molecular systematics, evolutionary trees are reconstructed from sequences at the tips under simple models of site substitution. A central question is how much sequence data is required to reconstruct a tree accurately? The answer…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-18 Iain Martyn , Mike Steel

Understanding how stochastic and non-linear deterministic processes interact is a major challenge in population dynamics theory. After a short review, we introduce a stochastic individual-centered particle model to describe the evolution in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-29 Regis Ferriere , Viet Chi Tran

In this paper we review some results on time-homogeneous birth-death processes. Specifically, for truncated birth-death processes with two absorbing or two reflecting endpoints, we recall the necessary and sufficient conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-09 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci

We propose a modelling framework to analyse the stochastic behaviour of heterogeneous, multi-scale cellular populations. We illustrate our methodology with a particular example in which we study a population with an oxygen-regulated…

Biological Physics · Physics 2017-09-01 Roberto de la Cruz , Pilar Guerrero , Fabian Spill , Tomás Alarcón

We study time continuous branching processes with exponentially distributed lifetimes, with two types of cells that proliferate according to binary fission. A range of possible system dynamics are considered, each of which is characterized…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Nam H Nguyen , Marek Kimmel

A multi-type branching process is defined as a random tree with labeled vertices, where each vertex produces offspring independently according to the same multivariate probability distribution. We demonstrate that in realizations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-31 Jochem Hoogendijk , Ivan Kryven , Rik Versendaal

Stem cells, through their ability to produce daughter stem cells and differentiate into specialized cells, are essential in the growth, maintenance, and repair of biological tissues. Understanding the dynamics of cell populations in the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-02 Huyen Nguyen , Haim Bar , Zhiyi Chi , Vladimir Pozdnyakov

Gene gains and losses have shaped the gene repertoire of species since the universal last common ancestor to species today. Genes in extant species were gained at different historical times via de novo creation of new genes, duplication of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-19 Haiming Tang , Paul Thomas , Haoran Xia

A class of models for large-scale evolution and mass extinctions is presented. These models incorporate environmental changes on all scales, from influences on a single species to global effects. This is a step towards a unified picture of…

adap-org · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Wilke , S. Altmeyer , T. Martinetz

This paper deals with the stochastic modeling of a class of heterogeneous population in a random environment, called birth-death-swap. In addition to demographic events, swap events, i.e. moves between subgroups, occur in the population.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-28 Sarah Kaakai , Nicole El Karoui

Binary trees are fundamental objects in models of evolutionary biology and population genetics. Here, we discuss some of their combinatorial and structural properties as they depend on the tree class considered. Furthermore, the process by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-30 Thomas Wiehe