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In this paper we consider portmanteau tests for testing the adequacy of multiplicative seasonal autoregressive moving-average (SARMA) models under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent.We relax the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara , Abdoulkarim Ilmi Amir

High-dimensional time series are a core ingredient of the statistical modeling toolkit, for which numerous estimation methods are known.But when observations are scarce or corrupted, the learning task becomes much harder.The question is:…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-06 Guillaume Dalle , Yohann de Castro

When data is collected in an adaptive manner, even simple methods like ordinary least squares can exhibit non-normal asymptotic behavior. As an undesirable consequence, hypothesis tests and confidence intervals based on asymptotic normality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Koulik Khamaru , Yash Deshpande , Tor Lattimore , Lester Mackey , Martin J. Wainwright

We propose a differentiable nonlinear least squares framework to account for uncertainty in relative pose estimation from feature correspondences. Specifically, we introduce a symmetric version of the probabilistic normal epipolar…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Dominik Muhle , Lukas Koestler , Krishna Murthy Jatavallabhula , Daniel Cremers

Within the context of recursive least squares (RLS) parameter estimation, the goal of the present paper is to study the effect of regularization-induced bias on the transient and asymptotic accuracy of the parameter estimates. We consider…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-01 Brian Lai , Syed Aseem Ul Islam , Dennis S. Bernstein

In this paper, we study non-asymptotic deviation bounds of the least squares estimator in Gaussian AR($n$) processes. By relying on martingale concentration inequalities and a tail-bound for $\chi^2$ distributed variables, we provide a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-26 Rodrigo A. González , Cristian R. Rojas

We study the least squares estimator in the residual variance estimation context. We show that the mean squared differences of paired observations are asymptotically normally distributed. We further establish that, by regressing the mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-12 Tiejun Tong , Yanyuan Ma , Yuedong Wang

We consider an RCAR$(p)$ process and we establish that the standard estimation lacks consistency as soon as there exists a nonzero serial correlation in the coefficients. We give the correct asymptotic behavior and some simulations come to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Frédéric Proïa , Marius Soltane

Consider a process satisfying a stochastic differential equation with unknown drift parameter, and suppose that discrete observations are given. It is known that a simple least squares estimator (LSE) can be consistent, but numerically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-17 Yasutaka Shimizu

We study the problem of parameter estimation for reflected stochastic processes driven by a standard Brownian motion. The estimator is obtained using nonlinear least squares method based on discretely observed processes. Under some certain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Han Yuecai , Zhang Dingwen

A novel first-order autoregressive moving average model for analyzing discrete-time series observed at irregularly spaced times is introduced. Under Gaussianity, it is established that the model is strictly stationary and ergodic. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-31 Cesar Ojeda , Wilfredo Palma , Susana Eyheramendy , Felipe Elorrieta

The paper presents a systematic theory for asymptotic inference of autocovariances of stationary processes. We consider nonparametric tests for serial correlations based on the maximum (or ${\cal L}^\infty$) and the quadratic (or ${\cal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Han Xiao , Wei Biao Wu

We propose a class of tests for linear regression on concomitants (induced order statistics). These tests are based on sequential sums of regression residuals. We self-center and self-normalize these sums. The resulting process is called an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Artyom Kovalevskii

Linear regression without correspondences is the problem of performing a linear regression fit to a dataset for which the correspondences between the independent samples and the observations are unknown. Such a problem naturally arises in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-07 Manolis C. Tsakiris , Liangzu Peng , Aldo Conca , Laurent Kneip , Yuanming Shi , Hayoung Choi

This study introduces a novel spatial autoregressive model in which the dependent variable is a function that may exhibit functional autocorrelation with the outcome functions of nearby units. This model can be characterized as a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-02 Tadao Hoshino

In this paper, the estimation of parameters in the harmonic regression with cyclically dependent errors is addressed. Asymptotic properties of the least-squares estimates are analyzed by simulation experiments. By numerical simulation, we…

Time-irreversibility is a distinctive feature of non-equilibrium dynamics and several measures of irreversibility have been introduced to assess the distance from thermal equilibrium of a stochastically driven system. While the dynamical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-14 Grzegorz Gradziuk , Gabriel Torregrosa , Chase P. Broedersz

This paper considers the problem of estimating a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with an additive stationary gaussian noise having unknown correlation function. A general model selection procedure on the basis of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-10 Victor Konev , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

Random variables in metric spaces indexed by time and observed at equally spaced time points are receiving increased attention due to their broad applicability. The absence of inherent structure in metric spaces has resulted in a literature…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-24 Matthieu Bulté , Helle Sørensen

We constuct a sequential adaptive procedure for estimating the autoregressive function at a given point in nonparametric autoregression models with Gaussian noise. We make use of the sequential kernel estimators. The optimal adaptive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-12 Ouerdia Arkoun