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The paper introduces novel methodologies for the identification of coefficients of switched autoregressive and switched autoregressive exogenous linear models. We consider cases which system's outputs are contaminated by possibly large…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-02 Sarah Hojjatinia , Constantino M. Lagoa , Fabrizio Dabbene

This work is concerned with the estimation of multidimensional regression and the asymptotic behaviour of the test involved in selecting models. The main problem with such models is that we need to know the covariance matrix of the noise to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-20 Joseph Rynkiewicz

Bifurcating autoregressive processes, which can be seen as an adaptation of au-toregressive processes for a binary tree structure, have been extensively studied during the last decade in a parametric context. In this work we do not specify…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-12 Siméon Valère Bitseki Penda , Adélaïde Olivier

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the deviation inequalities and the moderate deviation principle of the least squares estimators of the unknown parameters of general $p$th-order bifurcating autoregressive processes, under…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-12 Hacène Djellout , Valère Bitseki Penda

The paper deals with the nonparametric estimation problem at a given fixed point for an autoregressive model with unknown distributed noise. Kernel estimate modifications are proposed. Asymptotic minimax and efficiency properties for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-19 Ouerdia Arkoun , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

Linear Least Squares is a very well known technique for parameter estimation, which is used even when sub-optimal, because of its very low computational requirements and the fact that exact knowledge of the noise statistics is not required.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2017-11-01 Michael Krikheli , Amir Leshem

This paper studies the residual empirical process of long- and short-memory time series regression models and establishes its uniform expansion under a general framework. The results are applied to the stochastic regression models and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-16 Ngai Hang Chan , Shiqing Ling

We study the problem of parameter estimation for discretely observed stochastic processes driven by additive small L\'{e}vy noises. We do not impose any moment condition on the driving L\'{e}vy process. Under certain regularity conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-23 Hongwei Long , Yasutaka Shimizu , Wei Sun

This paper focuses on the problem of recursive nonlinear least squares parameter estimation in multi-agent networks, in which the individual agents observe sequentially over time an independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.)…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-20 Anit Kumar Sahu , Soummya Kar , Jose' M. F. Moura , H. Vincent Poor

We study the problem of parameter estimation for discretely observed stochastic differential equations driven by small fractional noise. Under some conditions, we obtain strong consistency and rate of convergence of the least square…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-24 S. Nakajima , S. Nakamura , Y. Shimizu

This paper focuses on recursive estimation of time varying autoregressive processes in a nonparametric setting. The stability of the model is revisited and uniform results are provided when the time-varying autoregressive parameters belong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Eric Moulines , Pierre Priouret , François Roueff

We prove a new and general concentration inequality for the excess risk in least-squares regression with random design and heteroscedastic noise. No specific structure is required on the model, except the existence of a suitable function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-12 Adrien Saumard

In this note, we give a short information-theoretic proof of the consistency of the Gaussian maximum likelihood estimator in linear auto-regressive models. Our proof yields nearly optimal non-asymptotic rates for parameter recovery and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Ingvar Ziemann

We consider a finite impulse response system with centered independent sub-Gaussian design covariates and noise components that are not necessarily identically distributed. We derive non-asymptotic near-optimal estimation and prediction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-02 Boualem Djehiche , Othmane Mazhar , Cristian R. Rojas

In this paper, we consider the normalized least squares estimator of the parameter in a mildly stationary first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) model with dependent errors which are modeled as a mildly stationary AR(1) process. By martingale…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-08 Hui Jiang , Guangyu Yang , Mingming Yu

We provide new asymptotic theory for kernel density estimators, when these are applied to autoregressive processes exhibiting moderate deviations from a unit root. This fills a gap in the existing literature, which has to date considered…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-19 James A. Duffy

A general method of minimization using correlation coefficients and order statistics is evaluated relative to least squares procedures in the estimation of parameters for normal data in simple linear regression.

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-09 Rudy Gideon

We consider stationary autoregressive processes with coefficients restricted to an ellipsoid, which includes autoregressive processes with absolutely summable coefficients. We provide consistency results under different norms for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-09 Alessio Sancetta

We consider maximum likelihood estimation for both causal and noncausal autoregressive time series processes with non-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable noise. A nondegenerate limiting distribution is given for maximum likelihood estimators of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Beth Andrews , Matthew Calder , Richard A. Davis

We consider the problem of recursively and causally reconstructing time sequences of sparse signals (with unknown and time-varying sparsity patterns) from a limited number of noisy linear measurements. The sparsity pattern is assumed to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-07-28 Namrata Vaswani