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We study several parameters of a random Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson tree $T_n$ of size $n$ defined in terms of an offspring distribution $\xi$ with mean $1$ and nonzero finite variance $\sigma^2$. Let $f(s)={\bf E}\{s^\xi\}$ be the generating…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Luc Devroye , Marcel K. Goh , Rosie Y. Zhao

Let $\{X_{\mathbf{n}} : \mathbf{n}\in\mathbb{Z}^d\}$ be a weakly dependent stationary field with maxima $M_{A} := \sup\{X_{\mathbf{i}} : \mathbf{i}\in A\}$ for finite $A\subset\mathbb{Z}^d$ and $M_{\mathbf{n}} := \sup\{X_{\mathbf{i}} :…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-20 Natalia Soja-Kukieła

We give a detailed proof, in the identically distributed case, of a conjecture of Feige about the maximum probability that the sum of n independent non-negative integer valued random variables, each of mean 1, exceeds n. The general case is…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-26 John H. Elton

Known Bernstein-type upper bounds on the tail probabilities for sums of independent zero-mean sub-exponential random variables are improved in several ways at once. The new upper bounds have a certain optimality property.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-15 Iosif Pinelis

Two old conjectures from problem sections, one of which from SIAM Review, concern the question of finding distributions that maximize P(Sn <= t), where Sn is the sum of i.i.d. random variables X1, ..., Xn on the interval [0,1], satisfying…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-13 Ludolf E. Meester

Large deviation behavior of the largest eigenvalue $\lambda_1$ of Gaussian networks (Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graphs $\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$ with i.i.d. Gaussian weights on the edges) has been the topic of considerable interest. Recently in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-17 Shirshendu Ganguly , Kyeongsik Nam

The exact expression for the probability density $p_{_N}(x)$ for sums of a finite number $N$ of random independent terms is obtained. It is shown that the very tail of $p_{_N}(x)$ has a Gaussian form if and only if all the random terms are…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-29 Michael I. Tribelsky

Consider a branching random walk $(G_u)_{u\in \mathbb T}$ on the general linear group $\textrm{GL}(V)$ of a finite dimensional space $V$, where $\mathbb T$ is the associated genealogical tree with nodes $u$. For any starting point $v \in V…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Ion Grama , Sebastian Mentemeier , Hui Xiao

Let ${\mathbf T}_n$ be a uniformly random tree with vertex set $[n]=\{1,\ldots,n\}$, let $\Delta_{{\mathbf T}_n}$ be the largest vertex degree in ${\mathbf T}_n$, and let $\lambda_1({\mathbf T}_n),\ldots,\lambda_n({\mathbf T}_n)$ be the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-03 Louigi Addario-Berry , Gábor Lugosi , Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira

We study the $k$-largest eigenvalues of heavy-tailed sample covariance matrices of the form $\bX\bX^\T$ in an asymptotic framework, where the dimension of the data and the sample size tend to infinity. To this end, we assume that the rows…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-13 Richard A. Davis , Oliver Pfaffel

The paper presents a systematic theory for asymptotic inference of autocovariances of stationary processes. We consider nonparametric tests for serial correlations based on the maximum (or ${\cal L}^\infty$) and the quadratic (or ${\cal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Han Xiao , Wei Biao Wu

Max-stable random fields can be constructed according to Schlather (2002) with a random function or a stationary process and a kind of random event magnitude. These are applied for the modelling of natural hazards. We simply extend these…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-22 Mathias Raschke

Modelling multivariate tail dependence is one of the key challenges in extreme-value theory. Multivariate extremes are usually characterized using parametric models, some of which have simpler submodels at the boundary of their parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-17 Anna Kiriliouk

This paper considers a variation of the full-information secretary problem where the random variables to be observed are independent but not necessary identically distributed. The main result is a sharp lower bound for the optimal win…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-12 Pieter C. Allaart , Jose A. Islas

The extremal tail probabilities of moving sums in a marked Poisson random field is examined here. These sums are computed by adding up the weighted occurrences of events lying within a scanning set of fixed shape and size. Change of measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Hock Peng Chan

We study the maximum of a Brownian motion with a parabolic drift; this is a random variable that often occurs as a limit of the maximum of discrete processes whose expectations have a maximum at an interior point. We give series expansions…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-03 Svante Janson , Guy Louchard , Anders Martin-Löf

Suppose that $(Z_n)_{n\geq0}$ is a supercritical branching process in independent and identically distributed random environment. The right tail function of the scaled growth rate for $(Z_n)_{n\geq0}$ is studied. The upper bounds for…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Yinna Ye

We provide the asymptotic minimax detection boundary for a bump, i.e. an abrupt change, in the mean function of a stationary Gaussian process. This will be characterized in terms of the asymptotic behavior of the bump length and height as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-07 Farida Enikeeva , Axel Munk , Markus Pohlmann , Frank Werner

We present a series of closed-form maximum entropy upper bounds for the differential entropy of a continuous univariate random variable and study the properties of that series. We then show how to use those generic bounds for upper bounding…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Frank Nielsen , Richard Nock

The maximum score estimator of Manski (1975) provides an elegant approach to estimate slope coefficient in binary choice models without requiring parametric assumptions on the error distribution. However, under i.i.d. sampling, it admits a…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-14 Harold D. Chiang , Ahnaf Rafi