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The Linear Multistep Method Particle Filter (LMM PF) is a method for predicting the evolution in time of a evolutionary system governed by a system of differential equations. If some of the parameters of the governing equations are…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2016-05-18 Daniela Calvetti , Salvatore Cuomo , Monica Pragliola , Erkki Somersalo , Gerardo Toraldo

This paper proposes a recursive interval-valued estimation framework for identifying the parameters of linearly parameterized systems which may be slowly time-varying. It is assumed that the model error (which may consist in measurement…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-22 Laurent Bako , Seydi Ndiaye , Eric Blanco

We propose a novel method for maximum likelihood-based parameter inference in nonlinear and/or non-Gaussian state space models. The method is an iterative procedure with three steps. At each iteration a particle filter is used to estimate…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-22 Johan Dahlin , Fredrik Lindsten

This paper presents a novel online identification algorithm for nonlinear regression models. The online identification problem is challenging due to the presence of nonlinear structure in the models. Previous works usually ignore the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-21 Guang-Yong Chen , Min Gan , Jing Chen , Long Chen

In this study, we develop a deterministic nonlinear filtering algorithm based on a high-dimensional version of Kitagawa (1987) to evaluate the likelihood function of models that allow for stochastic volatility and jumps whose arrival…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-02 Jean-François Bégin , Mathieu Boudreault

We introduce a new method for online parameter estimation in stochastic interacting particle systems, based on continuous observation of a small number of particles from the system. Our method recursively updates the model parameters using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

We propose a moving horizon estimation scheme for joint state and parameter estimation for nonlinear uncertain discrete-time systems. We establish robust exponential convergence of the combined estimation error subject to process…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-25 Julian D. Schiller , Matthias A. Müller

Many problems in the geophysical sciences demand the ability to calibrate the parameters and predict the time evolution of complex dynamical models using sequentially-collected data. Here we introduce a general methodology for the joint…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-12 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Inés P. Mariño , Joaquín Míguez

In this paper we propose an enhanced version of the residual sub-sampling method (RSM) in [9] for adaptive interpolation by radial basis functions (RBFs). More precisely, we introduce in the context of sub-sampling methods a maximum profile…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-29 R. Cavoretto A. De Rossi

Multi-sensor state space models underpin fusion applications in networks of sensors. Estimation of latent parameters in these models has the potential to provide highly desirable capabilities such as network self-calibration. Conventional…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-01-04 Murat Uney , Bernard Mulgrew , Daniel E Clark

Particle Marginal Metropolis-Hastings (PMMH) is a general approach to Bayesian inference when the likelihood is intractable, but can be estimated unbiasedly. Our article develops an efficient PMMH method that scales up better to higher…

Computation · Statistics 2023-05-10 David Gunawan , Pratiti Chatterjee , Robert Kohn

State estimation in stochastic dynamical systems with noisy measurements is a challenge. While the Kalman filter is optimal for linear systems with independent Gaussian white noise, real-world conditions often deviate from these…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-12 Hassan Mortada , Cyril Falcon , Yanis Kahil , Mathéo Clavaud , Jean-Philippe Michel

Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) offer a powerful stochastic modeling framework that combines deterministic trajectories with random perturbations at random times. Estimating their local characteristics (particularly the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-29 Romain Azaïs , Solune Denis

This paper presents a novel algorithm, the particle-based, rapid incremental smoother (PaRIS), for efficient online approximation of smoothed expectations of additive state functionals in general hidden Markov models. The algorithm, which…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-25 Jimmy Olsson , Johan Westerborn

We consider state and parameter estimation in multiple target tracking problems with data association uncertainties and unknown number of targets. We show how the problem can be recast into a conditionally linear Gaussian state-space model…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-05 Juho Kokkala , Simo Särkkä

This paper introduces a novel optimization-based approach for parametric nonlinear system identification. Building upon the prediction error method framework, traditionally used for linear system identification, we extend its capabilities…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Léo Simpson , Jonas Asprion , Simon Muntwiler , Johannes Köhler , Moritz Diehl

This paper deals with the identification of piecewise affine state-space models. These models are obtained by partitioning the state or input domain into a finite number of regions and by considering affine submodels in each region. The…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Rafael Rui , Tohid Ardeshiri , Alexandre Bazanella

This paper presents an approach for simultaneous estimation of the state and unknown parameters in a sequential data assimilation framework. The state augmentation technique, in which the state vector is augmented by the model parameters,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-07-19 Naratip Santitissadeekorn , Chris Jones

Due to the limitations of the robotic sensors, during a robotic manipulation task, the acquisition of the object's state can be unreliable and noisy. Combining an accurate model of multi-body dynamic system with Bayesian filtering methods…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Shuai Li , Siwei Lyu , Jeff Trinkle

To overcome the curse of dimensionality and curse of modeling in Dynamic Programming (DP) methods for solving classical Markov Decision Process (MDP) problems, Reinforcement Learning (RL) algorithms are popular. In this paper, we consider…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-29 Arghyadip Roy , Vivek Borkar , Abhay Karandikar , Prasanna Chaporkar