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It is well understood that Bayesian decision theory and average case analysis are essentially identical. However, if one is interested in performing uncertainty quantification for a numerical task, it can be argued that standard approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-16 Chris. J. Oates , Jon Cockayne , Dennis Prangle , T. J. Sullivan , Mark Girolami

The quasi-optimality criterion chooses the regularization parameter in inverse problems without taking into account the noise level. This rule works remarkably well in practice, although Bakushinskii has shown that there are always…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Frank Bauer , Markus Reiss

The basic idea of voting protocols is that nodes query a sample of other nodes and adjust their own opinion throughout several rounds based on the proportion of the sampled opinions. In the classic model, it is assumed that all nodes have…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-28 Abraham Gutierrez , Sebastian Müller , Stjepan Šebek

A quota mechanism, such as a mandatory grading curve, links together multiple decisions. We analyze the performance of quota mechanisms when the number of linked decisions is finite and the designer has imperfect knowledge of the type…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-04-10 Ian Ball , Deniz Kattwinkel

Contributing to the toolbox for interpreting election results, we evaluate the robustness of election winners to random noise. We compare the robustness of different voting rules and evaluate the robustness of real-world election winners…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-08-30 Niclas Boehmer , Robert Bredereck , Piotr Faliszewski , Rolf Niedermeier

This paper studies the problem of finding the median of N distinct numbers distributed across networked agents. Each agent updates its estimate for the median from noisy local observations of one of the N numbers and information from…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Shuhua Yu , Yuan Chen , Soummya Kar

Motivated by the difficulty of specifying complete ordinal preferences over a large set of $m$ candidates, we study voting rules that are computable by querying voters about $t < m$ candidates. Generalizing prior works that focused on…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Daniel Halpern , Safwan Hossain , Jamie Tucker-Foltz

Parametric estimation for diffusion processes is considered for high frequency observations over a fixed time interval. The processes solve stochastic differential equations with an unknown parameter in the diffusion coefficient. We find…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-03 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

A semantics is given to possibilistic logic, a logic that handles weighted classical logic formulae, and where weights are interpreted as lower bounds on degrees of certainty or possibility, in the sense of Zadeh's possibility theory. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Jerome Lang , Didier Dubois , Henri Prade

The voting method, an ensemble approach for fundamental frequency estimation, is empirically known for its robustness but lacks thorough investigation. This paper provides a principled analysis and improvement of this technique. First, we…

Sound · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Junya Koguchi , Tomoki Koriyama

We consider a general framework of online learning with expert advice where regret is defined with respect to sequences of experts accepted by a weighted automaton. Our framework covers several problems previously studied, including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-24 Mehryar Mohri , Scott Yang

In this paper, we consider lightweight decentralised algorithms for achieving consensus in distributed systems. Each member of a distributed group has a private value from a fixed set consisting of, say, two elements, and the goal is for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-20 James Cruise , Ayalvadi Ganesh

We present novel bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions under the $\ell_\infty$ norm. These are nearly optimal in various precise senses, including a kind of instance-optimality. Our data-dependent convergence guarantees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Aryeh Kontorovich , Amichai Painsky

We study multiwinner elections with approval-based preferences. An instance of a multiwinner election consists of a set of alternatives, a population of voters---each voter approves a subset of alternatives, and the desired committee size…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-10-15 Piotr Skowron

In this article we discuss estimation of the common variance of several normal populations with tree order restricted means. We discuss the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator of the variance as the number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-24 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Sanjay Chaudhuri

In this paper, we study the problem of estimating uniformly well the mean values of several distributions given a finite budget of samples. If the variance of the distributions were known, one could design an optimal sampling strategy by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-07-17 Alexandra Carpentier , Alessandro Lazaric , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh , Rémi Munos , Peter Auer , András Antos

The important Kemeny problem, which consists of computing median consensus rankings of an election with respect to the Kemeny voting rule, admits important applications in biology and computational social choice and was generalized recently…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-01 Xuan Kien Phung , Sylvie Hamel

The paper studies average consensus with random topologies (intermittent links) \emph{and} noisy channels. Consensus with noise in the network links leads to the bias-variance dilemma--running consensus for long reduces the bias of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2008-09-08 Soummya Kar , José M. F. Moura

A distributed average consensus algorithm robust to a wide range of impulsive channel noise distributions is proposed. This work is the first of its kind in the literature to propose a consensus algorithm which relaxes the requirement of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-22 Sivaraman Dasarathan , Cihan Tepedelenlioglu , Mahesh Banavar , Andreas Spanias

We study how we can adapt a predictor to a non-stationary environment with advises from multiple experts. We study the problem under complete feedback when the best expert changes over time from a decision theoretic point of view. Proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-08 Vishnu Raj , Sheetal Kalyani
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