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Particle filtering is a popular method for inferring latent states in stochastic dynamical systems, whose theoretical properties have been well studied in machine learning and statistics communities. In many control problems, e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Simon S. Du , Wei Hu , Zhiyuan Li , Ruoqi Shen , Zhao Song , Jiajun Wu

We propose a high order adaptive-rank implicit integrators for stiff time-dependent PDEs, leveraging extended Krylov subspaces to efficiently and adaptively populate low-rank solution bases. This allows for the accurate representation of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-05 Hamad El Kahza , William Taitano , Jing-Mei Qiu , Luis Chacón

Online convex optimization is a sequential prediction framework with the goal to track and adapt to the environment through evaluating proper convex loss functions. We study efficient particle filtering methods from the perspective of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-23 Mahdi Azarafrooz

During the past decades the study of strongly interacting fluids experienced a tremendous progress. In the relativistic heavy ion accelerators, specially the RHIC and LHC colliders, it became possible to study not only fluids made of…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2013-09-09 D. A. Fogaça , F. S. Navarra , L. G. Ferreira Filho

This paper develops a particle filter maximum likelihood estimator for the competitive storage model. The estimator is suitable for inference problems in commodity markets where only reliable price data is available for estimation, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-10 Tore Selland Kleppe , Atle Oglend

We study the problem of optimal estimation and control of linear systems using quantized measurements, with a focus on applications over sensor networks. We show that the state conditioned on a causal quantization of the measurements can be…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Ravi Teja Sukhavasi , Babak Hassibi

In the following article we develop a particle filter for approximating Feynman-Kac models with indicator potentials. Examples of such models include approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) posteriors associated with hidden Markov models…

Computation · Statistics 2013-04-02 Ajay Jasra , Anthony Lee , Christopher Yau , Xiaole Zhang

A Monte Carlo filter, based on the idea of averaging over characteristics and fashioned after a particle-based time-discretized approximation to the Kushner-Stratonovich (KS) nonlinear filtering equation, is proposed. A key aspect of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-15 S Sarkar , S R Chowdhury , M Venugopal , R M Vasu , D Roy

Due to the highly non-convex nature of large-scale robust parameter estimation, avoiding poor local minima is challenging in real-world applications where input data is contaminated by a large or unknown fraction of outliers. In this paper,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-23 Huu Le , Christopher Zach

We present an efficient approach to simulate real-time quantum dynamics using Projected Variational Quantum Dynamics (PVQD), where the computational cost is reduced by strategically optimizing only a subset of the variational parameters at…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-01-06 Harshdeep Singh , Sonjoy Majumder , Sabyashachi Mishra

Inference and simulation in the context of high-dimensional dynamical systems remain computationally challenging problems. Some form of dimensionality reduction is required to make the problem tractable in general. In this paper, we propose…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-04 Jonathan Schmidt , Philipp Hennig , Jörg Nick , Filip Tronarp

We quantify the performance of approximations to stochastic filtering by the Kullback-Leibler divergence to the optimal Bayesian filter. Using a two-state Markov process that drives a Brownian measurement process as prototypical test case,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-26 Rahul O. Ramakrishnan , Andrea Auconi , Benjamin M. Friedrich

In this paper, we study nonconvex constrained optimization problems with both equality and inequality constraints, covering deterministic and stochastic settings. We propose a novel first-order algorithm framework that employs a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Qiankun Shi , Xiao Wang

Sequential Monte Carlo squared (SMC$^2$) methods can be used for parameter inference of intractable likelihood state-space models. These methods replace the likelihood with an unbiased particle filter estimator, similarly to particle Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-24 Imke Botha , Robert Kohn , Leah South , Christopher Drovandi

Recursive estimates of large systems of equations in the context of least squares fitting is a common practice in different fields of study. For example, recursive adaptive filtering is extensively used in signal processing and control…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-01-04 Nasser Kazemi , Mauricio Sacchi

We suppose that a L\'evy process is observed at discrete time points. Starting from an asymptotically minimax family of estimators for the continuous part of the L\'evy Khinchine characteristics, i.e., the covariance, we derive a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Katerina Papagiannouli

Accurate estimation of the dynamic states of a synchronous machine (e.g., rotor s angle and speed) is essential in monitoring and controlling transient stability of a power system. It is well known that the covariance matrixes of process…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-02-06 Shahrokh Akhlaghi , Ning Zhou , Zhenyu Huang

We use statistical learning methods to construct an adaptive state estimator for nonlinear stochastic systems. Optimal state estimation, in the form of a Kalman filter, requires knowledge of the system's process and measurement uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-05 Michael Busch , Jeff Moehlis

Local stochastic volatility refers to a popular model class in applied mathematical finance that allows for "calibration-on-the-fly", typically via a particle method, derived from a formal McKean-Vlasov equation. Well-posedness of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-13 Peter K. Friz , Benjamin Jourdain , Thomas Wagenhofer , Alexandre Zhou

In this work, we consider a differential description of the evolution of the state of a reaction-diffusion system under environmental fluctuations. We are interested in estimating the state of the system when only partial observations are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-13 Augusto Magalhães , Otacílio B. L. Neto , Francesco Corona