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The filtering of a Markov diffusion process on a manifold from counting process observations leads to `large' changes in the conditional distribution upon an observed event, corresponding to a multiplication of the density by the intensity…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-01 Simone Carlo Surace , Anna Kutschireiter , Jean-Pascal Pfister

This paper considers an optimization problem for a dynamical system whose evolution depends on a collection of binary decision variables. We develop scalable approximation algorithms with provable suboptimality bounds to provide…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-31 Insoon Yang , Samuel A. Burden , Ram Rajagopal , S. Shankar Sastry , Claire J. Tomlin

Multi-object state estimation is a fundamental problem for robotic applications where a robot must interact with other moving objects. Typically, other objects' relevant state features are not directly observable, and must instead be…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Angad Singh , Omar Makhlouf , Maximilian Igl , Joao Messias , Arnaud Doucet , Shimon Whiteson

A reduced-order model algorithm, based on approximations of Lax pairs, is proposed to solve nonlinear evolution partial differential equations. Contrary to other reduced-order methods, like Proper Orthogonal Decomposition, the space where…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-11-20 Jean-Frédéric Gerbeau , Damiano Lombardi

In this paper we discuss new adaptive proposal strategies for sequential Monte Carlo algorithms--also known as particle filters--relying on criteria evaluating the quality of the proposed particles. The choice of the proposal distribution…

Computation · Statistics 2008-08-25 Julien Cornebise , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

In this paper, we investigate the problem of stochastic multi-level compositional optimization, where the objective function is a composition of multiple smooth but possibly non-convex functions. Existing methods for solving this problem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-20 Wei Jiang , Bokun Wang , Yibo Wang , Lijun Zhang , Tianbao Yang

Langevin (stochastic differential) equations are routinely used to describe particle-laden flows. They predict Gaussian probability density functions (PDFs) of a particle's trajectory and velocity, even though experimentally observed…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-03-11 Daniel Domínguez-Vázquez , Gustaaf B. Jacobs , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

We propose a novel projection-based particle method for solving the McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations. Our approach is based on a projection-type estimation of the marginal density of the solution in each time step. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-07 Denis Belomestny , John Schoenmakers

Particle-based methods include a variety of techniques, such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC), for approximating a probabilistic target distribution with a set of weighted particles. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-03 Hadi Mohasel Afshar , Gilad Francis , Sally Cripps

By approximating posterior distributions with weighted samples, particle filters (PFs) provide an efficient mechanism for solving non-linear sequential state estimation problems. While the effectiveness of particle filters has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Xiongjie Chen , Yunpeng Li

In this paper we consider adaptive deep neural network approximation for stochastic dynamical systems. Based on the Liouville equation associated with the stochastic dynamical systems, a new temporal KRnet (tKRnet) is proposed to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Junjie He , Qifeng Liao , Xiaoliang Wan

The stochastic gradient Langevin Dynamics is one of the most fundamental algorithms to solve sampling problems and non-convex optimization appearing in several machine learning applications. Especially, its variance reduced versions have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-22 Yuri Kinoshita , Taiji Suzuki

Particle flow filters solve Bayesian inference problems by smoothly transforming a set of particles into samples from the posterior distribution. Particles move in state space under the flow of an McKean-Vlasov-Ito process. This work…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-02 Amit N Subrahmanya , Andrey A Popov , Adrian Sandu

This paper presents an adaptive Kalman filter for a linear dynamic system perturbed by an additive disturbance. The objective is to estimate both of the state and the unknown disturbance concurrently, while learning the disturbance as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Taeyoung Lee

Filtering is concerned with the sequential estimation of the state, and uncertainties, of a Markovian system, given noisy observations. It is particularly difficult to achieve accurate filtering in complex dynamical systems, such as those…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-14 Wonjung Lee , Andrew Stuart

Probabilistic Logic Programming (PLP) languages enable programmers to specify systems that combine logical models with statistical knowledge. The inference problem, to determine the probability of query answers in PLP, is intractable in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-03-25 Arun Nampally , C. R. Ramakrishnan

For continuous-time linear stochastic dynamical systems driven by Wiener processes, we consider the problem of designing ensemble filters when the observation process is randomly time-sampled. We propose a continuous-discrete McKean--Vlasov…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Aneel Tanwani , Olga Yufereva

We introduce a probabilistic approach to the LMS filter. By means of an efficient approximation, this approach provides an adaptable step-size LMS algorithm together with a measure of uncertainty about the estimation. In addition, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-11 Jesus Fernandez-Bes , Víctor Elvira , Steven Van Vaerenbergh

In this paper, we study the Euler--Maruyama scheme for a particle method to approximate the McKean--Vlasov dynamics of calibrated local-stochastic volatility (LSV) models. Given the open question of well-posedness of the original problem,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-04 Christoph Reisinger , Maria Olympia Tsianni

We develop a (nearly) unbiased particle filtering algorithm for a specific class of continuous-time state-space models, such that (a) the latent process $X_t$ is a linear Gaussian diffusion; and (b) the observations arise from a Poisson…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-07 Ruiyang Jin , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Nicolas Chopin