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Anomaly detection in continuous-time dynamic graphs is an emerging field yet under-explored in the context of learning algorithms. In this paper, we pioneer structured analyses of link-level anomalies and graph representation learning for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Tim Poštuvan , Claas Grohnfeldt , Michele Russo , Giulio Lovisotto

An important approach for efficient inference in probabilistic graphical models exploits symmetries among objects in the domain. Symmetric variables (states) are collapsed into meta-variables (meta-states) and inference algorithms are run…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-07-01 Ankit Anand , Aditya Grover , Mausam , Parag Singla

Probabilistic Graphical Models are often used to understand dynamics of a system. They can model relationships between features (nodes) and the underlying distribution. Theoretically these models can represent very complex dependency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Harsh Shrivastava , Urszula Chajewska

In this survey we discuss the recent causal panel data literature. This recent literature has focused on credibly estimating causal effects of binary interventions in settings with longitudinal data, emphasizing practical advice for…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-26 Dmitry Arkhangelsky , Guido Imbens

Many real-world objects can be modeled as a stream of events on the nodes of a graph. In this paper, we propose a class of graphical event models named temporal point process graphical models for representing the temporal dependencies among…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Yalong Lyu , Huiyuan Wang , Wei Lin

A graphical model is a statistical model that is associated to a graph whose nodes correspond to variables of interest. The edges of the graph reflect allowed conditional dependencies among the variables. Graphical models admit…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-09 Mathias Drton , Marloes H. Maathuis

A class of multivariate mixed survival models for continuous and discrete time with a complex covariance structure is introduced in a context of quantitative genetic applications. The methods introduced can be used in many applications in…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-06 Rafael Pimentel Maia , Per Madsen , Rodrigo Labouriau

The modeling of conversational context plays a vital role in emotion recognition from conversation (ERC). In this paper, we put forward a novel idea of encoding the utterances with a directed acyclic graph (DAG) to better model the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Weizhou Shen , Siyue Wu , Yunyi Yang , Xiaojun Quan

We introduce a directed, weighted random graph model, where the edge-weights are independent and beta-distributed with parameters depending on their endpoints. We will show that the row- and column-sums of the transformed edge-weight matrix…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-09 Marianna Bolla , Ahmed Elbanna , Jozsef Mala

Causal structure learning from observational data remains a non-trivial task due to various factors such as finite sampling, unobserved confounding factors, and measurement errors. Constraint-based and score-based methods tend to suffer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-09 Rezaur Rashid , Jawad Chowdhury , Gabriel Terejanu

Graphs are important data representations for describing objects and their relationships, which appear in a wide diversity of real-world scenarios. As one of a critical problem in this area, graph generation considers learning the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-06 Xiaojie Guo , Liang Zhao

This thesis studies two problems in modern statistics. First, we study selective inference, or inference for hypothesis that are chosen after looking at the data. The motiving application is inference for regression coefficients selected by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-02 Jason D. Lee

Graphical models are useful tools for describing structured high-dimensional probability distributions. Development of efficient algorithms for learning graphical models with least amount of data remains an active research topic.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-18 Marc Vuffray , Sidhant Misra , Andrey Y. Lokhov

Statistical inference for exponential-family models of random graphs with dependent edges is challenging. We stress the importance of additional structure and show that additional structure facilitates statistical inference. A simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-13 Michael Schweinberger , Jonathan Stewart

Structure learning methods for covariance and concentration graphs are often validated on synthetic models, usually obtained by randomly generating: (i) an undirected graph, and (ii) a compatible symmetric positive definite (SPD) matrix. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-20 Irene Córdoba , Gherardo Varando , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga

Graphical models with heavy-tailed factors can be used to model extremal dependence or causality between extreme events. In a Bayesian network, variables are recursively defined in terms of their parents according to a directed acyclic…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Johan Segers , Stefka Asenova

Undirected graphical models have been successfully used to jointly model the spatial and the spectral dependencies in earth observing hyperspectral images. They produce less noisy, smooth, and spatially coherent land cover maps and give top…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-12-05 Utsav B. Gewali , Sildomar T. Monteiro

We propose a new adequacy test and a graphical evaluation tool for nonlinear dynamic models. The proposed techniques can be applied in any setup where parametric conditional distribution of the data is specified, in particular to models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-02 Igor L. Kheifets

Simulation-based inference methods that feature correct conditional coverage of confidence sets based on observations that have been compressed to a scalar test statistic require accurate modeling of either the p-value function or the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-18 Ali Al Kadhim , Harrison B. Prosper

Recursive max-linear vectors provide models for causal dependence between large values of random variables that are supported on directed acyclic graphs, but the standard assumption that all nodes of such a graph are observed can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-10 Mario Krali , Anthony C. Davison , Claudia Klüppelberg
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