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Markov state models (MSMs) have been successful in computing metastable states, slow relaxation timescales and associated structural changes, and stationary or kinetic experimental observables of complex molecules from large amounts of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-17 Frank Noe , Hao Wu , Jan-Hendrik Prinz , Nuria Plattner

This article establishes general conditions for posterior consistency of Bayesian finite mixture models with a prior on the number of components. That is, we provide sufficient conditions under which the posterior concentrates on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-09 Jeffrey W. Miller

In this paper we investigate several geometric properties of the set of occupancy measures. In particular, we analyse the structure of the faces generated by a given occupancy measure, together with their relative algebraic interior. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-22 Francois Dufour , Tomas Prieto-Rumeau

Density estimation represents one of the most successful applications of Bayesian nonparametrics. In particular, Dirichlet process mixtures of normals are the gold standard for density estimation and their asymptotic properties have been…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-02 Antonio Canale , Pierpaolo De Blasi

We propose a Bayesian hidden Markov model for analyzing time series and sequential data where a special structure of the transition probability matrix is embedded to model explicit-duration semi-Markovian dynamics. Our formulation allows…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-23 Beniamino Hadj-Amar , Jack Jewson , Mark Fiecas

Hyperexponential stability is investigated for dynamical systems with the use of both, explicit and implicit, Lyapunov function methods. A nonlinear hyperexponential control is designed for stabilizing linear systems. The tuning procedure…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-19 Konstantin Zimenko , Denis Efimov , Andrey Polyakov

We consider a class of filtering problems for large populations where each individual is modeled by the same hidden Markov model (HMM). In this paper, we focus on aggregate inference problems in HMMs with discrete state space and continuous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Qinsheng Zhang , Rahul Singh , Yongxin Chen

In this paper, the problem of non-fragile finite-time stabilization for linear discrete mean-field stochastic systems is studied. The uncertain characteristics in control parameters are assumed to be random satisfying the Bernoulli…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-24 Tianliang Zhang , Feiqi Deng , Peng Shi

In this paper, we show the convergence rates of posterior distributions of the model dynamics in a MDP for both episodic and continuous tasks. The theoretical results hold for general state and action space and the parameter space of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Zhen Li , Eric Laber

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are probabilistic methods in which observations are seen as realizations of a latent Markov process with discrete states that switch over time. Moving beyond standard statistical tests, HMMs offer a statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 S. Mildiner Moraga , E. Aarts

In this paper we examine the use of topological methods for multivariate statistics. Using persistent homology from computational algebraic topology, a random sample is used to construct estimators of persistent homology. This estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-29 Peter Bubenik , Gunnar Carlsson , Peter T. Kim , Zhiming Luo

The conformational kinetics of enzymes can be reliably revealed when they are governed by Markovian dynamics. Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are appropriate especially in the case of conformational states that are hardly distinguishable.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-05 A. Kovalev , N. Zarrabi , F. Werz , M. Boersch , Z. Ristic , H. Lill , D. Bald , C. Tietz , J. Wrachtrup

We provide a general and rigorous proof for the strong consistency of maximum likelihood estimators of the cumulative distribution function of the mixing distribution and structural parameter under finite mixtures of location-scale…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-21 Guanfu Liu , Pengfei Li , Yukun Liu , Xiaolong Pu

State space models have long played an important role in signal processing. The Gaussian case can be treated algorithmically using the famous Kalman filter. Similarly since the 1970s there has been extensive application of Hidden Markov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter Bickel , Yaacov Ritov , Tobias Rydén

In this paper, uniformly unconditionally stable first and second order finite difference schemes are developed for kinetic transport equations in the diffusive scaling. We first derive an approximate evolution equation for the macroscopic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Guoliang Zhang , Hongqiang Zhu , Tao Xiong

The family of log-concave density functions contains various kinds of common probability distributions. Due to the shape restriction, it is possible to find the nonparametric estimate of the density, for example, the nonparametric maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-29 Fuheng Cui , Stephen G. Walker

We develop a predictive-first optimisation framework for streaming hidden Markov models. Unlike classical approaches that prioritise full posterior recovery under a fully specified generative model, we assume access to regime-specific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-13 Gerardo Duran-Martin

We present an abstract framework for establishing smoothing properties within a specific class of inhomogeneous discrete-time Markov processes. These properties, in turn, serve as a basis for demonstrating the existence of density functions…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-20 Clément Rey

There is much interest in the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) as a natural Bayesian nonparametric extension of the ubiquitous Hidden Markov Model for learning from sequential and time-series data. However, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-11 Matthew J. Johnson , Alan S. Willsky

We consider a system of weak* closed sets of finite-dimensional distributions. We show that a corresponding system of random variables can be defined on a probability space with a probability measure determined up to some set of measures,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-02 Victor Ivanenko , Illia Pasichnichenko
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