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We derive a central limit theorem for a spatial $\Lambda$-Fleming-Viot model with fluctuating population size. At each reproduction, a proportion of the population dies and is replaced by a not necessarily equal mass of new individuals. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Raphaël Forien , Bastian Wiederhold

This letter is meant to be a brief survey of several recent publications providing a simple, sequential explanation of Dark Energy, Inflation and Dark Matter, which leads to a simple picture of the why and the how of the Big Bang, and…

General Physics · Physics 2017-02-01 H. M. Fried , Y. Gabellini

We investigate the salience of extinction risk as a source of impatience. Our framework distinguishes between human extinction risk and individual mortality risk while allowing for various degrees of intergenerational altruism.…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-08 Jakub Growiec , Klaus Prettner

In this paper we review some results on time-homogeneous birth-death processes. Specifically, for truncated birth-death processes with two absorbing or two reflecting endpoints, we recall the necessary and sufficient conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-09 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci

Isolated populations ultimately go extinct because of the intrinsic noise of elementary processes. In multi-population systems extinction of a population may occur via more than one route. We investigate this generic situation in a simple…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-03 Omer Gottesman , Baruch Meerson

Population protocols have been introduced as a model of sensor networks consisting of very limited mobile agents with no control over their own movement. A population protocol corresponds to a collection of anonymous agents, modeled by…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2009-07-20 Olivier Bournez , Philippe Chassaing , Johanne Cohen , Lucas Gerin , Xavier Koegler

We consider birth-and-death stochastic evolution of genotypes with different lengths. The genotypes might mutate that provides a stochastic changing of lengthes by a free diffusion law. The birth and death rates are length dependent which…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-16 Dmitri Finkelshtein , Yuri Kondratiev , Oleksandr Kutoviy , Stanislav Molchanov , Elena Zhizhina

We present numerical results based on a simplified ecological system in evolution, showing features of extinction similar to that claimed for the biosystem on Earth. In the model each species consists of a population in interaction with the…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-28 Guillermo Abramson

Natural selection favors the more successful individuals. This is the elementary premise that pervades common models of evolution. Under extreme conditions, however, the process may no longer be probabilistic. Those that meet certain…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-07 Attila Szolnoki , Alberto Antonioni , Marco Tomassini , Matjaz Perc

We introduce a new model for large scale evolution and extinction in which species are organized into food chains. The system evolves by two processes: origination/speciation and extinction. In the model, extinction of a given species can…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Luis A. N. Amaral , Martin Meyer

In numerous papers, the behaviour of stochastic population models is investigated through the sign of a real quantity which is the growth rate of the population near the extinction set. In many cases, it is proven that when this growth rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-06 Dang H. Nguyen , Edouard Strickler

Despite the importance of the Second Law of Thermodynamics, it is not absolute. Statistical mechanics implies that, given sufficient time, systems near equilibrium will spontaneously fluctuate into lower-entropy states, locally reversing…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2015-05-30 Anthony Aguirre , Sean M. Carroll , Matthew C. Johnson

A birth-death process is a continuous-time Markov chain that counts the number of particles in a system over time. In the general process with $n$ current particles, a new particle is born with instantaneous rate $\lambda_n$ and a particle…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-11 Forrest W. Crawford , Marc A. Suchard

This paper is not (or at least not only) about human infant mortality. In line with reliability theory, "infant" will refer here to the time interval following birth during which the mortality (or failure) rate decreases. This definition…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-03-15 Sylvie Berrut , Violette Pouillard , Peter Richmond , Bertrand M. Roehner

Methods for predicting the probability and timing of a species' extinction are typically based on a combination of theoretical models and empirical data, and focus on single species population dynamics. Of course, species also interact with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-11 Gian Marco Palamara , Gustav W. Delius , Matthew J. Smith , Owen L. Petchey

To assess the number of life-bearing worlds in astrophysical environments, it is necessary to take the intertwined processes of abiogenesis (birth), extinction (death), and transfer of life (migration) into account. We construct a…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-21 Manasvi Lingam , Claudio Grimaldi , Amedeo Balbi

Many real epidemics of an infectious disease are not straightforwardly super- or sub-critical, and the understanding of epidemic models that exhibit such complexity has been identified as a priority for theoretical work. We provide insights…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-23 Graham Brightwell , Thomas House , Malwina Luczak

Models of population growth and extinction are an increasingly popular subject of study. However, consequences of stochasticity and noise in shaping distributions and outcomes are not sufficiently explored. Here we consider a distributed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-11 Bertrand Ottino-Löffler , Mehran Kardar

The asymptotic behavior of a stochastic network represented by a birth and death processes of particles on a compact state space is analyzed. Births: Particles are created at rate $\lambda_+$ and their location is independent of the current…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-12 Philippe Robert

Demographic data and recent experiments verify earlier predictions that mortality has short (few percent of the life span) memory of the previous life history, may be significantly decreased, reset to its value at a much younger age, and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Mark Ya. Azbel'
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