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Under mild non-degeneracy assumptions on branching rates in each generation, we provide a criterion for almost-sure extinction of a multi-type branching process with time-dependent branching rates. We also provide a criterion for the total…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Pratima Hebbar , Leonid Koralov , Mark Perlman

In this article we study the long time behaviour of measure-valued birth and death processes in continuous time, where the dynamics between jumps are one-dimensional Markov processes including diffusion and jumps. We consider the three…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-07 Pierre Collet , Sylvie Méléard , Jaime San

When computing the expected value of time till extinction of a Birth and Death process, the usual textbook approach results in an extreme case of numerical ill-conditioning, which prevents us from getting accurate answers beyond the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-09 Jan Vrbik

We propose a new deterministic growth model which captures certain features of both the Gompertz and Korf laws. We investigate its main properties, with special attention to the correction factor, the relative growth rate, the inflection…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-31 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Serena Spina

We consider excursions for a class of stochastic processes describing a population of discrete individuals experiencing density-limited growth, such that the population has a finite carrying capacity and behaves qualitatively like the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-10 Todd L. Parsons

We consider continuous-time birth-and-death dynamics in $\mathbb{R}^d$ that admit at least one infinite-volume Gibbs point process based on area interactions as a reversible measure. For a large class of starting measures, we show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Yannic Steenbeck , Alexander Zass , Jonas Köppl , Benedikt Jahnel

In this paper we study a particular class of Piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP's) which are semi-stochastic catastrophe versions of deterministic population growth models. In between successive jumps the process follows a flow…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Branda Goncalves , Thierry Huillet , Eva Löcherbach

The concept of random deaths in a computational model for population dynamics is critically examined. We claim that it is just an artifact, albeit useful, of computational models to limit the size of the populations and has no biological…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. S. Sa' Martins , S. Cebrat

The paper presents a phenomenon occurring in population processes that start near zero and have large carrying capacity. By the classical result of Kurtz~(1970), such processes, normalized by the carrying capacity, converge on finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-19 A. D. Barbour , P. Chigansky , F. C. Klebaner

According to the competitive exclusion principle, in a finite ecosystem, extinction occurs naturally when two or more species compete for the same resources. An important question that arises is: when coexistence is not possible, which…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-16 Marcelo Martins de Oliveira , Ronald Dickman

Suitable assumptions for the Gompertz mortality law take into account the break in the time development observed recently by Wilmoth et al. They show how a drastic reduction in the birth rate and improved living conditions lead to a drastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dietrich Stauffer

This paper is focused on a class of spatial birth and death process of the Euclidean space where the birth rate is constant and the death rate of a given point is the shot noise created at its location by the other points of the current…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-01 Francois Baccelli , Fabien Mathieu , Ilkka Norros

We investigate the dynamics of the voter model in which the population itself changes endogenously via the birth-death process. There are two species of voters, labeled A and B, and the population of each species can grow or shrink by the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-17 Deepak Bhat , Jordi Piñero , S. Redner

A general multi-type population model is considered, where individuals live and reproduce according to their age and type, but also under the influence of the size and composition of the entire population. We describe the dynamics of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Jie Yen Fan , Kais Hamza , Peter Jagers , Fima C. Klebaner

A model for large-scale evolution recently introduced by Amaral and Meyer is studied analytically and numerically. Species are located at different trophic levels and become extinct if their prey becomes extinct. It is proved that this…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-30 Barbara Drossel

Population genetics struggles to model extinction; standard models track the relative rather than absolute fitness of genotypes, while the exceptions describe only the short-term transition from imminent doom to evolutionary rescue. But…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-20 Jason Bertram , Kevin Gomez , Joanna Masel

We study population dynamics through a general growth/degrowth-fragmentation process, with resource consumption and unbounded growth/degrowth, birth and death rates. Our model is structured in a positive trait called energy (which is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Virgile Brodu

Using data drawn from large-scale databases, a number of interesting trends in the fossil record have been observed in recent years. These include the average decline in extinction rates throughout the Phanerozoic, the average increase in…

adap-org · Physics 2007-05-23 M. E. J. Newman , Paolo Sibani

We consider a cyclically competing species model on a ring with global mixing at finite rate, which corresponds to the well-known Lotka-Volterra equation in the limit of infinite mixing rate. Within a perturbation analysis of the model from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-28 Cilie W. Feldager , Namiko Mitarai , Hiroki Ohta

We consider branching processes with interaction in continuous time, both with values in the integers and in the reals (in the second case we restrict ourselves to continuous processes), which model the evolution of the size of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-06 Vi Le , Etienne Pardoux
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