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Related papers: Robust Hypothesis Testing via Lq-Likelihood

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Relative error estimation has been recently used in regression analysis. A crucial issue of the existing relative error estimation procedures is that they are sensitive to outliers. To address this issue, we employ the $\gamma$-likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-17 Kei Hirose , Hiroki Masuda

Traditional likelihood based methods for parameter estimation get highly affected when the given data is contaminated by outliers even in a small proportion. In this paper, we consider a robust parameter estimation method, namely the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-16 Himanshi Singh , Abhik Ghosh , Nil Kamal Hazra

Among the different possible strategies for evaluating the reliability of individual predictions of classifiers, robustness quantification stands out as a method that evaluates how much uncertainty a classifier could cope with before…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Rodrigo F. L. Lassance , Jasper De Bock

The robust Poisson method is becoming increasingly popular when estimating the association of exposures with a binary outcome. Unlike the logistic regression model, the robust Poisson method yields results that can be interpreted as risk or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-14 Denis Talbot , Miceline Mésidor , Yohann Chiu , Marc Simard , Caroline Sirois

Despite the increasing demand for safer machine learning practices, the use of Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) methods in production remains limited. This limitation is exacerbated by the challenge of validating UQ methods in absence of UQ…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Arthur Pignet , Chiara Regniez , John Klein

Training a deep neural network (DNN) often involves stochastic optimization, which means each run will produce a different model. Several works suggest this variability is negligible when models have the same performance, which in the case…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-03 Sinjini Banerjee , Reilly Cannon , Tim Marrinan , Tony Chiang , Anand D. Sarwate

Certifiable, adaptive uncertainty estimates for unknown quantities are an essential ingredient of sequential decision-making algorithms. Standard approaches rely on problem-dependent concentration results and are limited to a specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Nicolas Emmenegger , Mojmír Mutný , Andreas Krause

We establish the asymptotic distribution of likelihood ratio tests (LRTs) in settings where some of the nuisance parameters are unidentifiable under the null hypothesis, parameters of interest lie on the boundary of the parameter space, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Ola Hössjer , Matteo Bottai , J. M. Patrik Albin

In this letter, we consider multiple statistical classification problem where a sequence of n independent and identically distributed observations, that are generated by one of M discrete sources, need to be classified. The source…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Hüseyin Afşer

This paper presents a systematic method to analyze stability and robustness of uncertain Quantum Input-Output Networks (QIONs). A general form of uncertainty is introduced into quantum networks in the SLH formalism. Results of this paper…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-03-04 Peyman Azodi , Alireza Khayatian , Peyman Setoodeh

We present a new way of testing ordered hypotheses against all alternatives which overpowers the classical approach both in simplicity and statistical power. Our new method tests the constrained likelihood ratio statistic against the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-26 Diaa Al Mohamad , Jelle J. Goeman , Erik W. van Zwet , Eric A. Cator

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) has emerged as a promising approach for detecting hallucinations and low-quality output of Large Language Models (LLMs). However, obtaining proper uncertainty scores is complicated by the conditional…

While robust divergence such as density power divergence and $\gamma$-divergence is helpful for robust statistical inference in the presence of outliers, the tuning parameter that controls the degree of robustness is chosen in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-15 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Shouto Yonekura

Statistical prediction plays an important role in many decision processes such as university budgeting (depending on the number of students who will enroll), capital budgeting (depending on the remaining lifetime of a fleet of systems), the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-14 Qinglong Tian , Daniel J. Nordman , William Q. Meeker

Robust reinforcement learning (RRL) aims at seeking a robust policy to optimize the worst case performance over an uncertainty set of Markov decision processes (MDPs). This set contains some perturbed MDPs from a nominal MDP (N-MDP) that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Ukjo Hwang , Songnam Hong

This paper derives a new family of estimators, namely the minimum density power divergence estimators, as a robust generalization of the maximum likelihood estimator for the polytomous logistic regression model. Based on these estimators, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-27 E. Castilla , A. Ghosh , N. Martín , L. Pardo

Modern machine learning models are highly expressive but notoriously difficult to analyze statistically. In particular, while black-box predictors can achieve strong empirical performance, they rarely provide valid hypothesis tests or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Mohamed Salem

This paper focuses on the prominent sphericity test when the dimension $p$ is much lager than sample size $n$. The classical likelihood ratio test(LRT) is no longer applicable when $p\gg n$. Therefore a Quasi-LRT is proposed and asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-04 Zeng Li , Jianfeng Yao

This paper considers the optimal modification of the likelihood ratio test (LRT) for the equality of two high-dimensional covariance matrices. The classical LRT is not well defined when the dimensions are larger than or equal to one of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-06 Qiuyan Zhang , Jiang Hu , Zhidong Bai

Large language models (LLMs) exhibit impressive fluency, but often produce critical errors known as "hallucinations". Uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods are a promising tool for coping with this fundamental shortcoming. Yet, existing…